Regularized Machine Learning for System Identification of Ship Free-Running Manoeuvres from CFD-Based Synthetic Data: A Comparative Study

Accurate prediction of hydrodynamic performance is central to ship design, yet high-fidelity computational fluid dynamics remains prohibitively expensive for large-scale parametric exploration. This motivates the development of data-driven surrogate models that provide rapid approximations to hydrodynamic predictions at substantially reduced cost. We present ShipNet, a geometric deep-learning surrogate that predicts both hull-surface pressure distributions and far-field free-surface wave patterns directly from hull geometry and speed. The network employs a regularized dynamic graph convolutional backbone on hull point clouds, with a multi-head decoder for simultaneous near-body pressure and free-surface elevation outputs. Training data consist of 420 inviscid free-surface simulations generated using a potential-flow panel method for two parent yacht hulls, each parameterized into 70 variants and evaluated at three speeds. ShipNet predicts per-point pressure coefficient and two-dimensional wave elevation map using a composite loss that combines point-wise regression and image-structure terms. On a geometry-held-out test set, ShipNet achieves R^2=0.98 for hull pressure and R^2=0.91 for wave fields. Inference requires approximately 0.15s per case, yielding over a 550x speedup relative to the potential-flow solver on conventional hardware. Limitations include the restricted geometry and speed ranges and the inviscid training data, while future work will extend the model to high-fidelity viscous simulations with physics-informed regularization.

Modern container ships face higher wind loads due to increased windage areas, making accurate predictions of wind loads essential for mooring design. Existing empirical models, largely developed for container ships with smaller windage areas and simpler geometrical configurations than those of modern large-scale vessels, often lack accuracy and do not account for the influence of nearby structures. This study proposes a multi-fidelity surrogate modelling framework for the prediction of wind-load coefficients, combining empirical correlations with simplified and detailed CFD models for ships in open-sea and harbor environments. The approach relies on recursive co-kriging to consistently fuse information across fidelity levels, enabling accurate predictions at a reduced computational cost. A sensitivity analysis is used to identify the most influential geometric parameters, and the resulting reduced parameter space is explored through sequential sampling to efficiently construct the training database. The surrogate models are validated over a wide range of loading configurations and for two distinct harbor environments. The results demonstrate that the multi-fidelity approach significantly improves prediction accuracy compared to single-fidelity models, while substantially reducing the reliance on high-fidelity simulations. In particular, the proposed framework captures the dependence of wind loads on key geometric parameters and consistently outperforms traditional empirical correlations, providing a robust and efficient tool for engineering applications.

The simulation of fluid flows is computationally expensive due to the complexity of its governing partial differential equations. Machine learning models offer a potential surrogate, enabling learning from simulations and significantly faster predictions of flow fields. However, these models require large training datasets, which introduces a trade-off between dataset generation cost and predictive accuracy. In this work, we investigate the relationship between the size of the training-set and accuracy of the prediction when learning steady flow fields in an industrial-scale stirred vessel. A data set of steady flows is generated using Reynolds Averaged Navier Stokes (RANS) simulations in a range of realistic operating conditions, including impeller speeds and liquid heights. We train implicit neural representations of flow fields and compare purely data-driven and constrained variants. Model performance is evaluated using global mean squared error (MSE), qualitative spatial comparisons of predicted and reference flow fields, and tracer transport simulations. We find that the prediction error decreases monotonically with increasing training data, but also that it exhibits clear diminishing returns beyond moderate dataset sizes. Physics-based constraints significantly improve accuracy and reduce variability across training runs in low-data regimes, and they lead to more stable tracer-transport behavior. Furthermore, reasonable interpolation can be achieved over different impeller speeds and liquid heights. However, these benefits come with an increase in the complexity of training, and their relative advantage diminishes as the training set grows.