Operating Regimes of Decentralized Learning Under Mobility and Bandwidth Constraints

Decentralised federated learning, based on peer-to-peer communication, is increasingly proposed for on-device training of machine learning models, promising a privacy-preserving, communication-efficient training process with no risk of single-point failure. However, the role of structural and temporal inhomogeneities in such fully decentralised settings remains poorly understood. Here, we investigate their effects when model parameters are locally averaged during aggregation. We show that the decentralised federated learning process is governed, both in the early phase and the late, stationary limit, by the same dynamics as a lazy random-walk diffusion process on temporal networks. Based on this mapping, we demonstrate that the typical experimental scenario used in decentralised federated learning leads to unrealistically rapid convergence because of ignoring the temporal and structural inhomogeneities inherent in the communication network. We analyse real-world temporal networks and find that inhomogeneities most often dramatically slow down diffusion, hence the convergence process.

Decentralised federated learning removes the aggregation server but makes collaboration dependent on transient peer availability. In mobile and intermittently connected systems, evaluating a promising peer consumes contact time and may cause the exchange opportunity itself to vanish, so that the evidence a learner gathers about a peer is perishable: it decays because links expire and because peer models drift while old measurements age. This paper develops a self-contained theory of optimal stopping for the resulting peer-selection problem. We formalise a receiver's within-contact decision as a finite-horizon Markov optimal-stopping problem with costly information acquisition and a future-arrival outside option, and prove that it admits an optimal policy characterised by a reservation value (Snell-envelope structure). Around this formulation we prove: (i) stage-uniform, drift-aware concentration and a maximin certification rule that is correct with high probability together with a finite-sample identification bound; (ii) a mobility-aware value of-information stopping rule and comparative statics showing that higher link hazard lowers the value of continued probing and enlarges the stopping region; (iii) a closed-form value of waiting under marked-Poisson contact arrivals, together with a search-theoretic reservation value whose comparative statics we characterise; and (iv) a myopic-optimality theorem establishing that, in sufficiently volatile (monotone) mobility regimes, the one-step confidence-safe rule is a sound surrogate for the optimal policy and never stops prematurely. We instantiate the theory as PROSE (Perishable-evidence Reservation-value Optimal Stopping for Exchange), a lightweight, fully local policy, and delineate the static contact and drift-free limits in which classical sequential decision problems are recovered. The development is entirely analytical.

Optimization theory is a widely used tool for intelligent decision-making. While classical optimization deals with fixed, time-invariant objective functions, many modern applications operate in dynamic environments where data arrive sequentially, and the learning objective evolves over time, often under decentralized data and communication constraints. Motivated by these trends, we study decentralized optimization from streaming data through a structured time-varying formulation in which the global objective is a temporally weighted average of losses observed across the network. We analyze multi-iteration decentralized first-order methods, including decentralized gradient descent. For strongly convex and smooth losses, we develop guarantees for the Euclidean-norm \emph{tracking error} through a contraction-mapping viewpoint. The resulting bounds decompose the tracking error into a fixed-point tracking component and a bias term induced by decentralization and data heterogeneity. We specialize our analysis to uniform and exponentially discounted weights, as well as their finite-memory \emph{windowed} counterparts. The bounds explicitly characterize the roles of the temporal weighting rule, per-step iteration budget, step size, and network connectivity. Uniform weighting yields a vanishing fixed-point tracking contribution of order $\mathcal O(1/t)$, whereas discounted and windowed strategies generally induce non-vanishing tracking floors governed by the discount factor and effective memory, respectively. In all cases, decentralization induces an additional non-zero bias floor under a constant step size. Numerical experiments illustrate the predicted trends.