Evaluation of Population Initialization Methods for Genetic Programming-based Symbolic Regression

Symbolic regression (SR) with genetic programming (GP) aims to discover interpretable mathematical expressions directly from data. Despite its strong empirical success, the theoretical understanding of why GP-based SR generalizes beyond the training data remains limited. In this work, we provide a learning-theoretic analysis of SR models represented as expression trees. We derive a generalization bound for GP-style SR under constraints on tree size, depth, and learnable constants. Our result decomposes the generalization gap into two interpretable components: a structure-selection term, reflecting the combinatorial complexity of choosing an expression-tree structure, and a constant-fitting term, capturing the complexity of optimizing numerical constants within a fixed structure. This decomposition provides a theoretical perspective on several widely used practices in GP, including parsimony pressure, depth limits, numerically stable operators, and interval arithmetic. In particular, our analysis shows how structural restrictions reduce hypothesis-class growth while stability mechanisms control the sensitivity of predictions to parameter perturbations. By linking these practical design choices to explicit complexity terms in the generalization bound, our work offers a principled explanation for commonly observed empirical behaviors in GP-based SR and contributes towards a more rigorous understanding of its generalization properties.

Mathematical formulas serve as a language through which humans communicate with nature. Discovering mathematical laws from scientific data to describe natural phenomena has been a long-standing pursuit of humanity for centuries. In the field of artificial intelligence, this challenge is known as the symbolic regression problem. Among existing symbolic regression approaches, Genetic Programming (GP) based on evolutionary algorithms remains one of the most classical and widely adopted methods. GP simulates the evolutionary process across generations through genetic mutation and crossover. However, mutations and crossovers in GP are entirely random. While this randomness effectively mimics natural evolution, it inevitably produces both beneficial and detrimental variations. If there existed a metaphorical God capable of foreseeing which genetic mutations or crossovers would yield superior outcomes and performing targeted gene editing accordingly, the efficiency of evolution could be substantially improved. Motivated by this idea, we propose in this paper a symbolic regression approach based on gene editing, termed GESR. In GESR, we trained two "hands of God" (two BERT models). Among them, the first leverages the BERT's masked language modeling capability to guide the mutation of genes (expression symbols). The other BERT model guides the crossover of individual genes by predicting the crossover point. Experimental results demonstrate that GESR significantly improves computational efficiency compared with traditional GP algorithms and achieves strong overall performance across multiple symbolic regression tasks.

Symbolic regression with genetic programming (GPSR) may suffer from overfitting and structural bloat, especially when noise is present. In this paper we evaluate description length (DL) and fractional Bayes factor (FBF) criteria as principled, data-efficient alternatives to heuristics for selecting compact expressions that generalise well. We implement DL using a Fisher-information-based parameter encoding and compare it to AIC and BIC across multiple datasets, including noisy synthetic benchmarks and real-world regression problems. We study three search/selection strategies: (i) multi-objective search for accuracy and program length followed by DL/FBF selection; (ii) multi-objective search using DL directly as an objective; and (iii) single-objective optimisation with DL/FBF as the fitness. Across datasets we find that DL/FBF post-selection improves test performance compared to AIC/BIC baseline and that BIC in combination with the same function complexity penalty from DL/FBF produces similar results. In contrast, using DL/FBF directly as a fitness function in single-objective GPSR frequently induces premature convergence to overly simple models. We conclude with practical guidance for using DL/FBF as robust model-selection tools in genetic programming workflows.