LLM-Guided Measurement Credibility Correction for Trustworthy Industrial Process Inference

Process industries rely on time-series forecasting and soft sensing to estimate quality variables that are hard to measure online. Labeled data are scarce, operating regimes change frequently, and retraining models or rebuilding alignment pipelines for each scenario is costly. Such settings often provide variable tables and process documents that record variable names, units, physical meanings, and process roles. However, standard time-series backbones usually treat inputs as anonymous numerical columns. Existing text-enhanced methods also rarely make the semantic-logical relations between input variables and the prediction target available to the model within each numerical window. To address this problem, this article proposes Task-Semantic Field Factorization (TSF), a large language model (LLM)-guided framework. TSF builds a task-semantic field from task protocols and variable documents before training and uses the LLM only for offline semantic construction. Online training and inference remain with conventional time-series backbones. During training and inference, the current numerical window activates variable semantics, so semantic information participates in each prediction and supports adaptation to different prediction targets and operating shifts. On multiple complex industrial forecasting and soft-sensing tasks, TSF reduces MAE by 6.4% on average in improved settings, with the largest reduction reaching 25.5%. It adds only about 1.8--3.0k parameters, with less than 0.008 ms/step of additional online inference overhead. These results show that TSF turns existing process documents into measurable forecasting gains across backbones and semantic generators while remaining lightweight for deployment.

For trained operators, gauge reading requires little specialized knowledge, low cognitive effort, and high repeatability. Yet Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) remain unreliable in continuous-valued measurement despite strong results on general multimodal benchmarks. Existing benchmarks expose this weakness but isolate measurement from realistic, knowledge-grounded settings, with limited situated context, specialized instruments, real-world noise, and matched diagnostic annotations, reducing realism and constraining root-cause analysis. We introduce InSituMeasure to evaluate situated measurement grounding. It contains 2,922 real industrial monitoring scenes across eight functional categories of professional engineering instruments, with dense gauge-attribute annotations and noise tags for failure diagnosis. We define metrics for numerical accuracy under predefined tolerances and unit consistency, rejection of fake or unanswerable tasks, and alignment between model failures and annotated error factors. Across 24 state-of-the-art MLLMs, the best model reaches only 25.7% joint value-unit accuracy and 51.8% confidence-diagnosis F1, revealing a substantial gap between general multimodal competence and reliable situated measurement. Further analysis identifies failures from text-induced shortcuts, overconfident responses, and authentic industrial noise, including mixed disturbances, viewpoint deviation, occlusion, and environmental interference.

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used in social science as scalable measurement tools for converting unstructured text into variables that can enter standard empirical designs. Measurement validity demands more than high average accuracy, which requires well calibrated confidence that faithfully reflects the empirical probability of each measurement being correct. This paper studies the model miscalibration in LLM-based social science measurement. We begin with a case study on FOMC and show that confidence based filtering can change downstream regression estimates when LLM confidence is miscalibrated. We then audit calibration across 14 social science constructs covering both proprietary models, including GPT-5-mini, DeepSeek-V3.2, and open source models. Across tasks and model families, reported confidence is poorly aligned with tolerance-based correctness. As a simple mitigation, we propose a soft label distillation pipeline for calibrating Bert with LLM. The method converts an LLM score and its verbalized confidence into a soft target distribution, then trains a smaller discriminative classifier on encoder models for these targets. Averaged across datasets, this approach reduces ECE by 43.2% and Brier by 34.0%. These results suggest that LLM-based social science pipelines should treat calibration as part of measurement validity, rather than as an optional post-processing concern.