Spatio-Temporal Scheduling Prediction Under Backhaul Delay for Resilient Coordinated Beamforming
Authors: Prashant Kumar Singh, Shubham Vaishnav, Ahmet Hasim Gökceoglu, Li Wang
Organizations: Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden · Huawei R&D, Stockholm, Sweden
Abstract
Coordinated beamforming in distributed 5G networks relies on the timely exchange of inter-cell scheduling information, but backhaul latency makes this information stale. Even a single transmission time interval (TTI) of delay can reduce CBF-SLNR performance below the uncoordinated baseline, because the precoder suppresses interference toward users that are no longer active. Coordination on stale information is therefore worse than no coordination at all. To address this, we propose a two-stage predictive framework in which a Spectral Temporal Graph Neural Network (StemGNN) predicts future user equipment (UE) scheduling states from delayed historical observations, and the predictions replace stale inputs to the CBF-SLNR precoder. Evaluated on a three-cell massive MIMO downlink with 60 UEs and 64 antennas per base station under Quadriga Urban Micro (UMi) channels and a proportional fair scheduler, StemGNN achieves a mean scheduling prediction accuracy of 87.57%, outperforming LSTM, GRU, Simple RNN, and Markov chain baselines at all evaluated horizons, with gains of up to 7.71% over LSTM at longer horizons where inter-UE structural dependencies dominate over temporal autocorrelation. When integrated into coordinated beamforming, the predictions recover 57-73% of the sum rate loss caused by one TTI of backhaul delay, improving sum rate by 9.58-14.35% over the no-prediction baseline and recovering up to 83% of the Lag-1 fairness loss for cell-edge users, with fairness gains persisting at higher lag values where throughput gains diminish. These results show that treating backhaul latency as a spatio-temporal forecasting problem is an effective approach for robust inter-cell coordination in delay-constrained networks.
Ultra Reliable and Low Latency Communications (URLLC) was one of the main motivations behind 5G, with 3GPP advertising 1-10 ms latency targets for applications such as industrial automation, Vehicle-To-Everything (V2X), tactical edge networking, and unmanned-system control. Years on, real 5G Time Division Duplexing (TDD) networks still show median Uplink (UL) round-trip times in the 50-70 ms range, largely because of the Scheduling Request (SR) procedure that a User Equipment (UE) must complete before transmitting UL data. Existing remedies, primarily Configured Grant (CG) scheduling, only eliminate this overhead for strictly periodic traffic and require cross-layer synchronization, which has limited their adoption. We propose AUGUSTE (Anticipatory Uplink Grants for URLLC via Self-Adapting Temporal Estimation), a learning-based Medium Access Control (MAC) scheduling framework that embeds online Machine Learning (ML) models in the UL scheduler to predict packet arrivals and proactively allocate resources before an SR is issued. An adaptive state machine alternates between a learning phase that collects unbiased arrival statistics and a confident phase that exploits the learned predictions to schedule only when traffic is expected. We evaluate AUGUSTE on a real 5G testbed running OpenAirInterface across three URLLC traffic patterns (request-response, ML edge inference, and periodic autonomous reporting), and show that it operates at the best achievable point on the latency-overhead trade-off: it matches always-on scheduling's median Round Trip Time (RTT) (around 10 ms, halving the 20 ms SR-based baseline) at roughly one-tenth its resource cost (7-10 percent overhead).
The efficient operation of modern cellular networks hinges on the accurate analysis of spatio-temporal traffic data. Mastering these patterns is essential for core network functions, chiefly forecasting future load to pre-empt congestion and imputing missing values caused by sensor failures or transmission errors to ensure data continuity. While deeply connected, forecasting and imputation have historically evolved as separate sub-fields. The dominant paradigm, Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks (STGNNs), while effective, are often specialized, computationally intensive, and exhibit limited generalization. Concurrently, adapting large pre-trained language models (LLMs) offers a powerful alternative for sequence modeling, yet existing approaches provide weak structural guidance, leading to unstable convergence and a narrow focus on forecasting. To bridge these gaps, we propose U-STS-LLM, a unified framework built on a spatio-temporally steered LLM. Our core innovation is a Dynamic Spatio-Temporal Attention Bias Generator that synthesizes a persistent functional graph with transient nodal states to explicitly steer the LLM's attention. Coupled with a partially frozen backbone tuned via Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) and a Gated Adaptive Fusion mechanism, the model achieves stable, parameter-efficient adaptation. Trained under a unified multi-task objective, U-STS-LLM learns a holistic data representation. Extensive experiments on real-world cellular datasets demonstrate that U-STS-LLM establishes new state-of-the-art performance in both long-horizon forecasting and high-missing-rate imputation, while maintaining remarkable training efficiency and stability, offering a novel blueprint for harnessing foundation models in structured, non-linguistic domains.
Link Adaptation (LA) in 5G NR is inherently reactive, relying on channel measurements and HARQ feedback that may become quickly obsolete when the channel changes quickly. This data is also noisy, making it hard to track accurately, and has to be fed to real-time controllers with feedback-loop effects which are hard to troubleshoot. This explains why most practical deployments select simple but robust algorithms, which accept that the lag can leave the scheduler operating at overly aggressive or unnecessarily conservative rates, trading spectrum efficiency for predictable performance. In this paper, we improve on this status-quo with NOSTRAdAMUS, a predictive LA framework which adds foresight to existing algorithms without replacing or redesigning them. NOSTRAdAMUS predicts whether a retransmission will occur in the next radio frame from recent HARQ history, and applies corrections to the Modulation and Coding Scheme (MCS) selected by the underlying policy. We benchmark several ML models and show that Gradient Boosting achieves 82.9% accuracy overall with high-confidence interventions that are correct 94.2% of the time, and an inference latency of 5.5 {\mu}s. We train the model based on data collected Over-the-Air (OTA) on the X5G testbed, using the open-source OpenAirInterface (OAI) 5G stack, NVIDIA Aerial, and COTS O-RAN Radio Units and User Equipments. The model is then deployed as a dApp, which we evaluate OTA as well as on various channels with hardware-in-the-loop channel emulators. This includes 3GPP TDL and CDL channels, SISO and MIMO configurations, and pedestrian and vehicular mobility. Our evaluation shows that without retraining, and across this variety of scenarios, the dApp augments two SOTA LA algorithms, and increases goodput by up to 71.5% while reducing retransmissions by up to 71.8%. This demonstrates the robustness and generalization capabilities of our approach.
Tamerlan Aghayev, Maxime Elkael, Michele Polese +5