An adaptive multi-fuzzy logic model for diagnosing transformer faults using dynamic weight optimization

Transformers now underpin critical AI systems across industry and research. Yet their faults can silently alter model behavior without runtime errors, and existing techniques offer little support for tracing these failures to their component and root cause. Such faults evade detection because loss and numerical values stay normal, and the visible symptom rarely identifies the component responsible. We present DEFault++, a hierarchical learning-based technique that first detects a fault, then identifies the affected component, and finally the cause within it, helping developers effectively debug transformer models. DEFault++ organizes component-level runtime measurements with a Fault Propagation Graph (FPG), a structural prior over the architecture's dependency paths, and reports the evidence behind each diagnosis. To train and evaluate it, we construct DEFault-bench, a benchmark of 5,556 labeled runs from mutation testing across seven models, nine tasks, and both encoder and decoder architectures. DEFault++ improves fault detection over four prior techniques, reaching an F1 of 0.826--0.909, and in a developer study with 21 participants, it raises repair accuracy from 57.1% to 83.3%. These results show that transformer fault diagnosis benefits from component-level measurements and architecture-aware reasoning rather than model-level behavior alone, and DEFault-bench provides a foundation for further research on transformer fault diagnosis.

Accurate modeling and forecasting of power transformer thermal behavior are critical for reliability, asset lifetime, and optimized power system operation. Numerical approaches such as finite element methods (FEM) and computational fluid dynamics (CFD) offer high fidelity but are computationally expensive, require complex mesh generation, and are often impractical for real-time or large-scale applications, particularly when transformer geometries are unknown. Lumped-parameter thermal models are more practical but depend on transformer-specific thermal constants and may fail to capture dynamic responses under varying operating and environmental conditions. Purely data-driven machine learning methods, including artificial neural networks, convolutional neural networks, and long short-term memory (LSTM) networks, have shown success in forecasting transformer temperatures but typically require large volumes of high-quality training data and may produce physically inconsistent or uninterpretable results. This paper develops a physics-aware Neural Ordinary Differential Equation (Neural ODE) framework for forecasting transformer thermal behavior from real-world time-series data. Neural ODEs model system dynamics in continuous time, providing smooth trajectory prediction and a natural representation of continuously evolving thermal dynamics. A key contribution is the integration of simplified heat-transfer equations directly into the Neural ODE formulation. The model is evaluated across datasets from fifteen transformers in different regions of Norway with varying designs and cooling mechanisms. The results demonstrate that the developed Neural ODE framework provides a standardized, physics-aware, and robust forecasting approach for heterogeneous transformer units.

Preventing machine failure is inherently superior to reactive remediation, particularly for critical assets like gas turbines, where early fault detection (FD) is a cornerstone of industrial sustainability. However, modern deep learning-based FD models often face a significant trade-off between architectural complexity and real-time operational constraints, often hindered by a lack of temporal context within restricted vibration signal windows. To address these challenges, this study proposes a Temporal Cross-Modal Knowledge-Distillation Transfer-Learning (TCMKDTL) framework. The framework employs a "privileged" teacher model trained on expansive temporal windows incorporating both past and future signal context to distill latent feature-based knowledge into a compact student model. To mitigate issues of data scarcity and domain shift, the framework leverages robust pre-training on benchmark datasets (such as CWRU) followed by adaptation to target industrial data. Extensive evaluation using experimental and industrial gas turbine (MGT-40) datasets demonstrates that TCMKDTL achieves superior feature separability and diagnostic accuracy compared to conventional pre-trained architectures. Ultimately, this approach enables high-performance, unsupervised anomaly detection suitable for deployment on resource-constrained industrial hardware.