Bootstrapping Self-Supervised Learning of Binary Classification Using Error Bounds: A Case Study on a Robotic Insertion Task

The widespread adoption of machine learning in critical applications demands techniques to mitigate high-consequence errors. Our method utilizes a dual-classifier GBDT pipeline to distinguish routine human-like errors from high-risk non-human misclassifications. Evaluated across three domains, animal breed classification, skin lesion diagnosis (ISIC 2018), and prostate histopathology (SICAPv2), our framework demonstrates robust safety improvements. To address real-world deployment concerns, our results confirm the pipeline introduces negligible inference latency (1.60% overhead for the animal dataset, 1.84% for ISIC, and 1.70% for SICAPv2) while outperforming traditional Maximum Class Probability (MCP) baselines in correction precision. Our conservative correction strategy successfully reduced dangerous non-human errors by 34.1% in ISIC and 12.57% in SICAPv2, improving super-class diagnostic safety to 90.41% and 92.13% respectively. This proves that safety-critical reliability can be substantially enhanced post-hoc without expensive model retraining. keywords: Error Analysis, Post-hoc Correction, Trustworthy AI.

A prediction that is both confident and wrong is a critical reliability failure because it can bypass abstention and human review precisely when the model is mistaken. Empirical risk minimization (ERM) controls average loss but not this failure directly, while calibration, uncertainty estimation, conformal risk control, and selective prediction methods target related reliability properties rather than bounding the joint failure event during training. We propose ReliableNet, which constrains the Joint Confident-Wrong (JCW) probability, the probability that a prediction is simultaneously confident and incorrect, below a user-specified risk budget $α\in(0,1)$. We formulate this as a chance-constrained ERM problem, use a conservative smooth inner approximation whose population feasibility implies the original JCW constraint. Across four tabular and two image datasets, ReliableNet is the only method certified within the JCW budget for every dataset and seed in distribution, when compared against baselines spanning ERM, post-hoc calibration, conformal risk control, and selective prediction. Under demographic, ambiguity, spurious-correlation, novel-class, and covariate shifts, it achieves the lowest empirical JCW among the compared methods while remaining very competitive in accuracy, coverage, calibration, and selective prediction. Risk-coverage results further indicate that ReliableNet achieves better selective ranking than the benchmark methods on most datasets. Overall, ReliableNet provides a principled approach to trustworthy classification.

Robotic manipulation often requires object specific programming, manual data annotation, or calibrated perception pipelines, which limits rapid deployment in practical settings. Learning from demonstration offers a more direct alternative, but collecting demonstrations can still demand human teleoperation or kinesthetic teaching. This paper presents a self supervised visual manipulation method in which a robot automatically generates demonstrations around a target pose and learns relative pose corrections directly from wrist mounted RGB images. The proposed pipeline uses ROS~2 and Isaac Sim to collect labeled image-pose pairs without requiring explicit camera to robot extrinsic calibration. Separate datasets are generated for planar refinement and coarse three dimensional approach, and a convolutional network is trained to regress relative translation and rotation from single frame RGB observations. During execution, a coarse to fine controller first approaches the object using models trained with height variation and then refines the final alignment using planar data. The method is evaluated both in simulation and on a real UR5e collaborative robot equipped with a gripper and a monocular camera. In simulation, the refinement stage reduces the final planar dispersion from 9.69 mm to 5.38 mm. In real world experiments, the system performs end to end grasp attempts on three physical objects and reaches success rates of 66.6% and 63.6% for two objects without object rotation, while still maintaining partial robustness under rotated conditions. These results show that automatically generated demonstrations can support practical visual manipulation with limited setup effort, while also exposing remaining challenges in depth prediction and object dependent generalization.