Safe and efficient robot navigation in crowds requires anticipating pedestrian motion despite uncertain and potentially shifting prediction errors. Existing reactive methods can produce oscillatory behavior, while predictive planners often treat forecasts as exact or rely on restrictive error models. Incorporating conservative uncertainty sets as hard constraints can also render model predictive control (MPC) infeasible. We propose \textit{CoCoNav}, a crowd-navigation framework that combines online conformal calibration with runtime-certified planning. A horizon-specific conformal proportional--integral controller adapts trajectory-error bounds to regulate long-run empirical coverage, enabling the framework to respond to changing prediction errors. A \textit{relax-then-verify} planner preserves solver feasibility by generating nominal trajectories with soft-constrained MPC and separately certifying them, together with contingency maneuvers, against the calibrated bounds before execution. Simulations and quadruped experiments show that CoCoNav achieves a favorable balance among collision avoidance, task success, and navigation efficiency relative to the evaluated baselines.
Safe and socially compliant navigation remains a fundamental challenge for autonomous robots operating in human-populated environments. Beyond collision avoidance, robots must anticipate human motion and respect personal space to ensure human comfort. Model Predictive Control (MPC) offers a robust alternative to classical and data-driven methods, although its effectiveness strongly depends on accurate human motion prediction and efficient computation. This paper introduces SFM-NMPC, a Social Force Model-based Non-linear Model Predictive Control framework that embeds human motion prediction directly within the optimization loop. By incorporating the Social Force Model into the dynamic model of surrounding agents, the controller jointly predicts the trajectories of humans and robots over the prediction horizon, thereby enabling socially-aware planning. A tailored set of social cost functions guides the optimization toward human-compliant behaviors. Despite the increased model complexity, the proposed formulation runs in real time at 20 Hz. Extensive simulated testing in crowded environments demonstrates that SFM-NMPC outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in social compliance metrics while maintaining efficient and smooth navigation. Visual trajectory analysis and an ablation study further highlight the contribution of the embedded SFM dynamics and social cost terms, confirming the effectiveness of the proposed approach for real-world social navigation.
Mobile robots can fail before they collide: a velocity that is safe now may commit the robot to a passage that moving obstacles will soon close. We study this predictive near-miss commitment problem and propose Risk-Sensitive Conjectural Scenario Planning (RCSP), a planning layer that evaluates candidate commands against plausible short-horizon obstacle futures. RCSP maintains a lightweight belief over local motion conjectures, samples future interactions, penalizes high-risk tails, and executes through a local safety check. In controlled MuJoCo bottleneck tasks, the RCSP planner reaches the goal without collisions and yields higher secondary safety and path-quality point estimates than a non-adaptive predictor, with additional latency. In ROS2/Gazebo, adding the local safety layer to a standard Nav2 stack reduces dynamic near-miss failures. On official DynaBARN/Jackal transfer, tuned DWA and TEB remain stronger on strict benchmark success, revealing the boundary of the approach. These simulation results position RCSP as a predictive-risk module that complements existing navigation stacks in dynamic bottleneck regimes.
Convex free regions provide a structured and optimization-friendly representation of collision-free space for robot navigation in unknown and cluttered environments. However, existing methods typically enlarge local collision-free regions mainly according to surrounding obstacle geometry. In cluttered environments, such strategies may fail to generate regions that both accommodate robot geometry and preserve traversable extension along candidate motion directions, thereby limiting downstream traversal, especially in narrow passages. Even when such a region is available, safe motion generation remains challenging, because safety checking at discretized trajectory samples does not guarantee continuously collision-free motion when robot geometry is modeled explicitly. To address these issues, we propose a navigation framework that jointly incorporates candidate motion directions and robot geometry into convex free-region generation, and achieves continuously collision-free motion through continuous-safe trajectory generation. Within each region, the framework performs geometry-aware target pose selection and trajectory generation, together with Lipschitz-based continuous safety certification and local refinement. The resulting free regions and candidate motions are maintained in a region-based graph to support incremental planning. Quantitative results in cluttered 2D navigation scenarios show that the proposed method generates free regions better aligned with downstream traversal and enables reliable collision-free navigation, while additional 3D and real-world experiments on a quadrupedal robot and a UAV demonstrate the extensibility and practical applicability of the framework. The open-source project can be found at https://github.com/ZhichengSong6/FRGraph.