RCSP: Risk-Sensitive Conjectural Scenario Planning for Safe Dynamic Robot Navigation

For autonomous space exploration, robotic agents need to perform motion planning in which environmental interactions may be unknown. Learning these interactions, such as terrain mechanics for wheeled robots, can introduce uncertainties that lead to risky motion plans and potentially hazardous operations or mission failures. Moreover, uncertainties induced by perception-based systems can exacerbate the problem of safe motion planning. In this letter, we address the problem of performing cost-optimal kinodynamic motion planning with risk awareness. We approach this in two steps. First, a sampling-based planner (AO-RRT) generates a dynamically feasible, risk-aware, and asymptotically cost-optimal trajectory. Second, we formulate motion planning as a nonlinear optimization problem and solve it using sequential convex programming (SCP), using the AO-RRT trajectory as an initial solution. By quantifying risk using conditional value-at-risk (CVaR), we demonstrate a reduction in risk by over $\sim$97% across trajectories in simulation and hardware experiments.

Safe and efficient robot navigation in crowds requires anticipating pedestrian motion despite uncertain and potentially shifting prediction errors. Existing reactive methods can produce oscillatory behavior, while predictive planners often treat forecasts as exact or rely on restrictive error models. Incorporating conservative uncertainty sets as hard constraints can also render model predictive control (MPC) infeasible. We propose \textit{CoCoNav}, a crowd-navigation framework that combines online conformal calibration with runtime-certified planning. A horizon-specific conformal proportional--integral controller adapts trajectory-error bounds to regulate long-run empirical coverage, enabling the framework to respond to changing prediction errors. A \textit{relax-then-verify} planner preserves solver feasibility by generating nominal trajectories with soft-constrained MPC and separately certifying them, together with contingency maneuvers, against the calibrated bounds before execution. Simulations and quadruped experiments show that CoCoNav achieves a favorable balance among collision avoidance, task success, and navigation efficiency relative to the evaluated baselines.

This paper addresses the motion control problem for mobile robots in obstacle-cluttered environments. The mobile robot has partial environment information only, and aims to move from an initial position to a target position without collisions. For this purpose, a reactive planning based control strategy (RPCS) is proposed. First, the initial and target positions are connected as a reference trajectory. Then, a reactive planning strategy (RPS) is developed to ensure the collision avoidance by modifying the reference trajectory locally based on the partial environment information. Next, an adaptive tracking control strategy (ATCS) is proposed to track the reference trajectory with potentially local modifications via the discretization techniques. Finally, the RPS and ATCS are combined to establish the RPCS, whose efficacy and advantages are illustrated by numerical examples.