Physics-Informed Machine Learning in Prognostics and Health Management: A Systematic Literature Review
Authors: Christopher Braun, Julian Raible, Marco F. Huber
Organizations: Institute of Industrial Manufacturing and Management IFF, University of Stuttgart, Allmandring 35, Stuttgart, 70569, Baden-Württemberg, Germany. · Fraunhofer Institute for Manufacturing Engineering and Automation IPA, Nobelstraße 12, Stuttgart, 70569, Baden-Württemberg, Germany.
Abstract
In modern industry, keeping complex systems reliable, safe, and efficient hinges on Prognostics and Health Management (PHM). Machine Learning (ML) has largely driven advancements in diagnostics and prognostics, yet purely data-driven models face inherent limitations, such as poor generalization, an inability to infer causal relationships, and a lack of interpretability. Physics-Informed Machine Learning (PIML) helps mitigate these limitations by incorporating prior physical knowledge directly into the ML pipeline, thereby fostering growing interest in its application to PHM. This work investigates how PIML is being leveraged in the context of PHM through a systematic literature review of 212 studies. The review introduces a four-class classification scheme, consisting of observational bias, inductive bias, learning bias, and hybrid approaches, and further categorizes studies by PHM task. Across all four classes, the reviewed studies consistently demonstrate improved predictive performance over conventional baselines across a broad range of assets, although the literature is heavily skewed toward lithium-ion batteries and bearings, and dominated by problem-specific solutions. Overall, the review indicates that physics-informed approaches already provide tangible benefits, whereas claims of improvements concerning some of the aforementioned limitations lack sufficient supporting evidence. Future research should prioritize transferable design patterns, benchmarks comparing integration strategies, and uncertainty-aware models that are lightweight and robust enough for online deployment in real-world settings.
The integration of machine learning with domain-specific physics is transforming the design, monitoring, and control of electricity systems, where data scarcity, limited interpretability, and the need to enforce physical laws constrain purely data-driven models. Physics-informed machine learning (PIML) addresses these limitations by embedding governing equations directly into the learning process, yielding accurate, efficient, and scalable solutions for Industry 4.0 applications. This article reviews hybrid PIML architectures for electricity systems, including physics-informed neural networks (PINNs), Deep Operator Networks (DeepONets), Fourier Neural Operators, Extreme Learning Machine-enhanced PINNs, graph-based PINNs (PIGNNs), and domain-decomposition PINNs. Each approach is examined through case studies spanning field analysis, fault detection, digital twins, surrogate modeling, and control optimization. The review shows that embedding Maxwell's equations and other first-principles constraints substantially improves predictive accuracy under sparse and noisy data, reduces simulation time by orders of magnitude relative to finite element methods, and enhances generalization across operating regimes. Hybrid frameworks consistently outperform purely data-driven baselines on parameter sensitivity, dynamic behavior, and robustness, while supporting real-time digital-twin calibration and uncertainty quantification. Persistent challenges include training instability for stiff multi-scale problems, computational cost of high-fidelity models, and the absence of standardized benchmarks. The findings demonstrate that PIML enables a paradigm shift from black-box data-driven methods to transparent, physics-informed strategies, positioning the field for sustained innovation in resilient and intelligent electricity systems.
Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) provide a framework for integrating physical laws with data. However, their application to Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) remains constrained by the limited uncertainty quantification (UQ) capabilities. Most existing PINN-based prognostics approaches are deterministic or account only for epistemic uncertainty, limiting their suitability for risk-aware decision-making. This work introduces a heteroscedastic Bayesian Physics-Informed Neural Network (B-PINN) framework that jointly models epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty, yielding full predictive posteriors for spatiotemporal insulation material ageing estimation. The approach integrates Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) with physics-based residual enforcement and prior distributions, enabling probabilistic inference within a physics-informed learning architecture. The framework is evaluated on transformer insulation ageing application, validated with a finite-element thermal model and field measurements from a solar power plant, and benchmarked against deterministic PINNs, dropout-based PINNs (d-PINNs), and alternative B-PINN variants. Results show that the proposed B-PINN provides improved predictive accuracy and better-calibrated uncertainty estimates than competing approaches. A systematic sensitivity study further analyzes the impact of boundary-condition, initial-condition, and residual sampling strategies on accuracy, calibration, and generalization, and the influence of measurement noise on aleatoric uncertainty. Overall, the findings highlight the capability of Bayesian physics-informed learning to support uncertainty-aware prognostics and informed decision-making in transformer asset management by tracking aleatoric and epistemic sources of uncertainty.
Industrial Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) provides a representative case study for a broader challenge in applied machine learning: translating published papers into executable, benchmark-ready implementations. Reproducing under-specified methods in PHM is particularly difficult due to restricted access to industrial datasets, incomplete reporting of preprocessing and evaluation protocols, and implicit design choices (e.g., windowing, target construction, data splits) that critically affect performance. Existing paper-to-code systems generate implementations for individual papers, but these artifacts are often not directly comparable due to inconsistencies in assumptions and evaluation settings. We introduce \emph{agentic, framework-based PHM paper reproduction}, where an agent translates a paper into a shared PHM benchmark framework via a \emph{slot-binding interface}. This interface maps equations and protocol descriptions into structured components (task definitions, dataset adapters, windowing, targets, models, and evaluators), while explicitly recording unresolved assumptions. The resulting implementations are validated against standardized task contracts and evaluation hooks, enabling consistent and comparable benchmarking. We evaluate this approach on 16 PHM papers, comparing framework-enhanced, skill-based and prompt-based agentic reproduction against a recent framework-free paper-reproduction agent. We assess reproduction success, model-based code evaluation, framework binding of paper assumptions, and cross-paper benchmark comparability under standardized protocols. Our results show that coupling agentic generation with a shared framework transforms paper reproduction from isolated code synthesis into executable, assumption-aware, and systematically comparable benchmark implementations.