Activation steering modifies a language model by adding a learned direction to its hidden activations, enabling targeted behavioral changes without retraining. While effective, steering often produces unintended side effects on other behaviors, making it difficult to deploy safely. We therefore ask: can these side effects be forecasted before steering is applied? We answer this question by constructing a cross-effect matrix over a taxonomy of 67 behaviors across three open-weight language models. We find that side effects are common, structured, and often asymmetric, revealing interactions that cannot be explained by existing similarity-based heuristics. Despite this complexity, we show that side effects are largely predictable before steering is performed. Their magnitude depends primarily on the target behavior, while their direction can be forecasted from the model's unsteered representations with substantially higher accuracy than simple baselines. Our results demonstrate that activation steering has systematic and forecastable side effects, enabling proactive safety auditing and more informed deployment of steering interventions.
Activation steering has emerged as a popular inference-time technique for modulating the behavior of large language models (LLMs). By constructing a steering vector from examples of a target behavior and injecting it into intermediate activations during inference, activation steering enables flexible behavioral control while avoiding the permanent parameter updates required by finetuning. Meanwhile, recent work has identified emergent misalignment (EM) as a significant safety concern, wherein models finetuned on unsafe examples from a narrow task may unexpectedly generalize to broadly unsafe behavior on unrelated tasks. Although finetuning-induced EM has been extensively studied, whether activation steering can induce EM remains comparatively under-explored, despite its increasing use as a model-control technique. In this paper, we present a comprehensive study of activation-steering-induced emergent misalignment, substantially expanding the evaluation scope beyond existing pioneering work. First, we show that activation steering can induce broad misalignment, even in the recent Qwen-3.5 series. Moreover, activation-steered models produce harmful responses with stronger semantic relevance and higher coherence than their finetuned counterparts, making the resulting misalignment potentially more harmful. Second, we characterize properties of AS-induced EM by analyzing key steering-specific factors, including steering magnitude, the low-rank structure of the steering subspace, and the number of epochs during steering-vector construction. Third, we evaluate the robustness and sensitivity of AS-induced EM across diverse model families, model scales, target tasks, and intervention layers. Our findings reveal activation steering as a significant yet under-examined source of emergent misalignment and provide an activation-space perspective for understanding the mechanisms and safety risks of EM.
Activation steering promises modular control of language model behavior: a behavior such as politeness corresponds to a direction in a model's activations, and adding that direction while it generates should switch the behavior on and leave everything else alone. It does not. We ask what decides which other behaviors move, and by how much, and find that it is the model rather than the behavior being steered. A steer relaxes the model toward a small set of behaviors it already favors, chiefly refusal, sycophancy, and poeticism, and that set is much the same whatever is steered. Three results across 24 behaviors and ten instruction-tuned models support this, every effect read off the generated text by a language-model judge rather than off a probe. That readout matters: all 24 behaviors are linearly decodable, but only 20 change what the model writes. First, a direction carrying no behavioral content, matched to a real steer only in the size of the vector it adds, moves the same behaviors in the same order as real steers do, while producing none of the behaviors that need a specific direction. Second, most interference runs one way, so it cannot be an overlap between two directions: steering profanity makes the model toxic, while steering toxicity leaves profanity untouched. Third, with a behavior held out entirely, geometry measured on the others explains almost none of the interference it takes part in. The account holds on all ten models, the pull toward defaults strongest below 10B parameters and weakening in each family's largest. Reading a steer as a perturbation whose endpoint the model fixes implies that disentangling behavior directions cannot by itself make steering modular.
Activation steering offers a lightweight approach to control language models' behavior at inference time, but whether it succeeds or fails heavily depends on the prompt, concept, model, and steering configuration. Finding the regime and boundaries of successful steering typically requires expensive grid searches and post-hoc evaluation of full autoregressive rollouts. In this work, we investigate whether steerability can be predicted from the model's internal states at the beginning of the generation process, e.g., after generating the first few tokens, and how to leverage such a predictor to improve steering success rate. To this end, we first introduce ASTEER, a testbed including 1.4M steered generations, spanning 150 concepts with each steering success/failure labeled. Leveraging this testbed, we analyze the model's early decoding dynamics by extracting features that compare hidden states before and after steering across layers and initial decoding steps. These features help us understand how steering's effects propagate along layers and token positions, which provide key information for steerability prediction. We then train a Gradient Boosting Decision Trees (GBDT) classifier on these features to predict whether an intervention will under-steer, succeed, or over-steer without requiring full rollout. Our predictor achieves around 0.7 macro-F1 score on unseen concepts, demonstrating that early hidden states encode substantial, structured information about eventual steering efficacy. We further leverage this steerability predictor as guidance for steering strength searching, achieving near-optimal performance with a small fraction of decoding cost.