Revisiting WEASEL 2.0: Reproduction, Sensitivity, and an Adaptive Ensemble-Size Rule

Time series data is very common in many real-world applications and in numerous domains, with increasing interest for automated information extraction using machine learning. One of these subfields is time series clustering, which consists in identifying clusters among a set of time series in an unsupervised fashion. Most time series clustering algorithms suffer from the same balancing act: they trade clustering performance for faster runtimes or vice versa. We present a novel time series clustering algorithm that we call CLUES-WEASEL, which stands for CLustering with the UnsupervisEd Second version of Word ExtrAction for time SEries cLassification. CLUES-WEASEL extracts features using the unsupervised version of the transformation step of WEASEL 2.0, which is a time series classification algorithm, then reduces these features using principal component analysis, and finally performs clustering with the $k$-means algorithm using these reduced extracted features. Through extensive experiments, we prove that CLUES-WEASEL is significantly better than any other existing time series clustering algorithm while being (much) faster than any state-of-the-art one. We also show that the architecture of CLUES-WEASEL can work well with other time series feature extraction algorithms. Our findings highlight the relevance of CLUES-WEASEL for time series clustering.

A representation family is a distinct way of extracting features from time series. Ensemble algorithms that combine several representation families remain the most accurate approach to time series classification. Current state-of-the-art ensembles, most notably HIVE-COTE2.0, pair a bespoke classification algorithm with each representation family and combine their predictions using a fixed, non-adaptive rule. We present TIGER (Time-series classification with In-context-learning Gated Ensemble of Representations), which instead applies the same small portfolio of three general-purpose classifiers (Ridge, Extra Trees, and Naive Bayes) to four representations from four distinct families, stacking the resulting twelve base learners' predictions into a meta-feature matrix. The final prediction is produced by an adaptive meta-classification rule that chooses, independently for each data set, between a weighted hard majority vote and TabICLv2, a pretrained tabular foundation model used in-context as a meta-classifier, based on the mean number of training samples available per class. On a 142-data-set benchmark drawn from the UCR time series classification archive, TIGER obtains the best mean accuracy, balanced accuracy, and F1-score among six compared algorithms, including HIVE-COTE2.0, and significantly outperforms each of the other five individually. TIGER's adaptive rule also meaningfully outperforms either of its two constituent meta-classification methods used alone, and its single hyperparameter, tuned using only a twenty-data-set development subset, is shown to generalize to the full evaluation benchmark. We further characterize TIGER's design through an extensive set of ablation experiments and report the design alternatives that we investigated and ultimately discarded.

Time series classification (TSC) exhibits a sharp trade-off between accuracy and computational scalability. Meta-ensembles like HIVE-COTE 2.0 reach state-of-the-art accuracy but require extensive compute, whereas ultra-fast random convolutional transforms (e.g., MiniRocket, Hydra) run in seconds but struggle with phase-independent distributions, signal kinematics, and decision tree fragmentation on large class counts. In this work, we present CADENCE (Confidence-Adaptive Dual-Expert Network for time series Classification Excellence), a unified, CPU-native dual-expert architecture. CADENCE decouples representation learning into two specialized pathways: (i) a Convolutional Linear Expert pairing 10,000 deterministic dilated features with closed-form L2-regularized Woodbury ridge classification, and (ii) a Distributional Interval Expert pairing competing dilated kernels (Hydra) with dyadic Cornish-Fisher moment approximations across signal kinematics and FFT spectral bands, fitted with an ExtraTrees ensemble. An internal validation meta-router with rare-class preservation dynamically selects between pure expert routing and confidence-weighted soft blending, followed by a full refit on 100% of training data. Evaluated across all 109 equal-length UCR Archive datasets over 30 resamples (3,270 total runs), CADENCE achieves a grand mean accuracy of 0.8864. This ranks #2 across the archive, surpassed only by HIVE-COTE 2.0 (0.8895, p_Holm = 0.295, no statistically significant difference), while outperforming Hydra+MultiRocket (0.8818), MultiRocket (0.8797), and HIVE-COTE 1.0 (0.8786, p_Holm = 0.048). CADENCE closes the gap to HIVE-COTE 2.0 to 0.31 percentage points while taking an average of only 17.53 seconds per dataset on a dual-core CPU. Source code and evaluation scripts: https://github.com/onisa-jr/CADENCE.git