Is Monte Carlo Tree Search Just Every-Visit Monte Carlo Control?

The asymptotic behaviour of Monte Carlo Exploring Starts (MCES) is a long-standing open question in reinforcement learning, even in the tabular setting. We investigated the convergence properties of tabular MCES by constructing examples in which the algorithm converges to suboptimal solutions. This paper presents new counterexamples for both initial-visit and first-visit MCES and gives a convergence-restoring modification for the initial-visit case. We show that stable suboptimal solutions may exist for initial-visit MCES with sample-average updates even when greedy actions are updated more often than non-greedy actions on average. However, by scaling learning rates inversely to update frequencies on a state-by-state basis, convergence to optimality is guaranteed. Unlike previous uniformisation methods, this modification is applicable to large-scale problems that require approximating the estimated value function. We then extend the example to show that sample-average first-visit MCES may also converge to suboptimal solutions. This largely settles a fundamental open problem and shows that exploring starts alone do not guarantee convergence to optimality. More broadly, these results highlight that convergence depends critically on the relative size and frequency of updates applied to different actions, making the choice of learning rates and the balance between exploration and exploitation central to the analysis of MCES and the implementation of scalable Monte Carlo control methods.

Probabilistic search algorithms, such as Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS), have proven very effective in solving sequential decision-making tasks under uncertainty. However, interpreting asymmetric search trees that incorporate bandit-based tree traversal and simulation-based value estimation is difficult for end users based solely on raw tree statistics. While prior work requires hand-crafted formal logic constraints that must be updated when the problem changes, we present a framework that enables large language models (LLMs) to generate evidence-grounded explanations of MCTS decisions from recorded search traces in an end-to-end manner. Our framework maps natural-language questions to a structured set of intent categories, determines whether the existing tree contains sufficient evidence, triggers targeted expansion when needed, and generates explanations using tree statistics such as visit counts, value estimates, and risk information. Experimental results provide the first evidence that LLMs can serve as end-to-end explainers for probabilistic search, without requiring intermediate formal representations.

Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) is a widely used approach for policy improvement and action selection in Reinforcement Learning. Due to its sequential and deterministic nature, principled runtime-scaling of MCTS with parallel compute remains a major challenge. We introduce Particle MCTS (PMCTS), a parallel MCTS algorithm which is suited for neural network evaluations, designed for GPU-acceleration with batch-parallelization and retains MCTS's principled approximate policy improvement interpretation. Empirically, PMCTS scales well with parallel compute and consistently outperforms or compares well to the popular heuristic-based baselines across a range of popular discrete- and continuous-action benchmark domains, including Chess, 19x19 Go, 9x9 Go, Gardner Chess, Snake, classical control environments from Brax and LLM reasoning in Sokoban.