Learning to Transfer Across Modes: Towards Unified Urban Mobility Forecasting

Multi-modality transportation refers to urban systems composed of multiple transportation modes, such as traffic flow and public transit, whose dynamics are coupled by shared temporal patterns. Accurate multi-modality transportation forecasting remains challenging because (1) different modalities exhibit distinct spectral characteristics and (2) interact unevenly across frequencies, whereas most existing methods operate primarily in the time domain or rely on coarse feature fusion. To address these limitations, we propose a lightweight yet effective Frequency-Domain Multi-Modality modeling (FreMo) that explicitly exploits the frequency domain to enable adaptive and selective cross-modality synergy. FreMo disentangles modality-wise spectral refinement from cross-modality synergy and supports plug-and-play integration with general time series backbones. Specifically, FreMo introduces a Modality-Wise Frequency Filter (MFF) to adaptively refine spectral components within each modality, emphasizing informative frequencies while suppressing noise. FreMo further incorporates a Frequency-Guided Synergy Integrator (FSI) that selectively aggregates information across modalities based on their relative contribution at each frequency, facilitating effective cross-modality knowledge sharing while mitigating negative transfer. Extensive experiments on real-world datasets show that FreMo consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, with superior performance and generalization across diverse forecasting scenarios. The code is available at https://github.com/beginner-sketch/FreMo.

Multi-Modality Spatio-Temporal Forecasting (MoSTF) extends traditional spatio-temporal forecasting by incorporating diverse traffic modalities. Despite significant recent strides in spatio-temporal modeling, existing approaches often fail to explicitly model the coupling relationships between different modality variables. Accurate MoSTF is challenging, as it requires modeling (1) temporal dynamic heterogeneity under exogenous influences and (2) heterogeneous spatial dependencies alongside complex cross-variable couplings. To address these challenges, we propose the Dual-Domain Spectral Filtering Network (DSFNet). Our framework employs dual-domain spectral filtering to capture heterogeneous spatial patterns and explicitly model the relationships between variables. Unlike graph-based message passing or dense attention over node-modality pairs, DSFNet factorizes space-modality interactions into feature-domain and spatial-domain spectral operators, enabling scalable modeling of nonlocal dependencies and cross-modality couplings. Furthermore, we introduce an external gating mechanism to adaptively regulate temporal dynamics under external influences. We validate our method through extensive experiments on five representative real-world traffic datasets. Compared with the second-best baselines, DSFNet reduces MAE by 3.21%-10.16% across these datasets. The results demonstrate that DSFNet significantly outperforms existing state-of-the-art baselines in accuracy while exhibiting efficiency and robustness.

Traffic prediction is fundamental to intelligent transportation systems and urban computing, yet many cities continue to suffer from traffic data scarcity due to limited sensor deployment and uneven urban development. Cross-city knowledge transfer has thus attracted increasing attention, enabling data-rich cities to assist data-scarce ones. However, centralized approaches raise privacy concerns, while existing federated methods struggle with pronounced spatiotemporal heterogeneity across cities. To address these challenges, we propose MoE-FedTP, a personalized federated cross-city spatiotemporal prediction framework based on lightweight Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) networks. MoE-FedTP first employs spatiotemporal neural networks to extract features from both source and target cities, then introduces a set of expert networks derived from different source cities through partial parameter sharing. A gating mechanism dynamically fuses the experts to capture diverse traffic dynamics, achieving fine-grained modeling of urban heterogeneity while preserving privacy. Experiments on four real-world traffic datasets show that MoE-FedTP consistently outperforms state-of-the-art cross-city and federated learning baselines, demonstrating its effectiveness in enhancing prediction accuracy for data-scarce cities.