PopPert: Population-level Joint-Distribution Modeling for Single-Cell Perturbation Prediction
Authors: Handong Wang, Jiaxin Qi, Haochen Feng, Baisheng Lai
Organizations: Computer Network Information Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences · University of Chinese Academy of Sciences
Abstract
Predicting transcriptional responses to specific perturbations is critical for understanding cellular regulatory mechanisms and accelerating drug discovery. Single-cell RNA sequencing destroys each measured cell, yielding only unpaired populations of control and perturbed cells. However, existing methods typically model perturbation prediction at the single-cell level and assume cell-to-cell correspondence, which conflicts with the unpaired nature of the observed data. To address this challenge, we propose PopPert, a framework that explicitly parameterizes population-level joint gene expression distributions for collective transcriptional state modeling. Given a control population distribution and a perturbation condition, PopPert predicts perturbation-induced changes in distribution parameters, eliminating the need for cell-level correspondence and reducing sensitivity to single-cell noise. To effectively capture gene co-expression patterns, PopPert leverages a low-rank Gaussian Copula to model cross-gene statistical dependencies and construct the joint gene expression distribution, additionally allowing sampling of synthetic perturbed single-cell profiles. Across multiple single-cell benchmarks spanning both genetic and chemical perturbations, PopPert achieves superior overall performance in differential expression recovery, perturbation effect estimation, and population-level distribution matching. These results establish population-level joint distribution learning as an effective paradigm for predicting transcriptional responses from unpaired single-cell populations. Code for PopPert is publicly available at https://github.com/whd1125/PopPert.
Predicting cellular transcriptional responses to genetic perturbations is a central problem in single-cell biology, especially in the zero-shot setting where the perturbed gene or gene combination is unseen during training. A major difficulty is that perturbation effects are not determined by expression state alone: they depend on how the perturbed gene product influences other genes and proteins, how those downstream factors act on cis-regulatory elements, and which regulatory programs are active in the current cell state. To better capture this biological complexity, we propose CisTransCell, a cell-conditioned multi-modal framework for single-cell perturbation prediction that augments each gene with two complementary priors: a regulatory-sequence prior that captures how the gene is controlled, and a coding-sequence prior that captures what the gene product does. By integrating these priors with cellular expression state, CisTransCell models perturbation response as a cascade from gene function to regulatory control to downstream transcriptional change. Experiments on benchmark single-cell perturbation datasets show that CisTransCell achieves strong performance in zero-shot perturbation prediction.
Single-cell perturbation models can reduce costly wet-lab screening by predicting how cells respond transcriptionally to interventions. While recent generative models improve population-level prediction, individual generated cells are not explicitly checked for biological consistency. We introduce PerturbCellRL, a reinforcement learning (RL) framework that post-trains a pretrained single-cell transcriptomic generator using a suite of cell-level verifiers as rewards. These verifiers define four rewards: Pearson top-k similarity, RMSE top-k proximity, DE Spearman, and Pathway activity. The Pathway activity verifier rewards cells whose pathway responses match known perturbation biology. We evaluate PerturbCellRL on multiple genetic and chemical perturbation benchmarks. Across these benchmarks, PerturbCellRL improves over the pretrained flow-matching generator on reward-aligned evaluation metrics and a held-out evaluation metric. Moreover, PerturbCellRL remains competitive with state-of-the-art methods on population-level metrics. Together, these results frame trustworthy single-cell prediction as verifier-guided generative alignment, moving beyond matching expression distributions toward predictions whose single-cell perturbation effects are explicitly checked for biological consistency.
In this work, we introduce CellxPert, a scalable multimodal foundation model that unifies single-cell and spatial multi-omics within a common representation space. CellxPert jointly encodes transcriptomic (scRNA-seq), chromatin-accessibility (ATAC-seq), and surface-proteomic (CITE-seq) measurements, while directly incorporating MERFISH and imaging mass-cytometry data as 2D or 3D spatial-visual layers. CellxPert facilitates four key downstream tasks out of the box: (i) cell-type annotation across a broad ontology of 154 largely overlapping identities -- the largest label space addressed to date and a stringent test of fine-grained discrimination, (ii) efficient fine-tuning using Low Rank Adaptation (LoRA), (iii) genome-wide transcriptomic response prediction to in-silico perturbations (ISP), and (iv) seamless multi-omic integration across various assays and platforms. Unlike current single-cell foundation models, which approximate gene perturbations by deleting or reordering tokenized gene expression ranks, CellxPert employs a Metropolis-Hastings sampler whose proposal kernel uses the model's masked conditional distributions to transition to new transcriptomic states conditioned on the perturbed genes. This Markov-chain procedure mitigates out-of-distribution artifacts introduced by abrupt token manipulation and produces trajectories that are biologically interpretable. Evaluations on PBMC68K, Replogle Perturb-seq, Systema, and BMMC benchmarks show that CellxPert surpasses classical and state-of-the-art baselines in cell-type annotation, perturbation response prediction, and multi-omic integration.
Andac Demir, Erik W. Anderson, Jeremy L. Jenkins +1