AF-Mamba: Efficient Long-Term Signal Modeling for Early Prediction of Atrial Fibrillation Onset

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia and is associated with increased risks of stroke, heart failure, and mortality. Recent ECG foundation models offer transferable representations for automated AF detection. However, their relative effectiveness remains unclear because existing studies use different datasets, preprocessing procedures, classifiers, and validation protocols. This study presents FOUND-AF, a unified, leakage-controlled, and deployment-oriented benchmarking framework that evaluates the quality of pretrained ECG representations under identical experimental conditions. Nine publicly available foundation models from five families, including HuBERT-ECG, CLEF, ST-MEM, ECG-JEPA, and ECGFounder, were evaluated across four heterogeneous ECG datasets, namely AFDB, CinC2017, CPSC2021, and LTAFDB. All models were used as frozen feature extractors with standardized preprocessing, model-native resampling, a fixed XGBoost classifier, and recording-level grouped cross-validation. The evaluation included classification metrics, receiver operating characteristic analysis, paired recording-level bootstrap comparisons with Holm correction, embedding-space visualization, and computational efficiency profiling. The ECGFounder model consistently achieved the strongest overall performance across datasets while offering a favorable trade-off between accuracy, model size, inference time, and memory usage. FOUND-AF therefore provides a reproducible framework for selecting ECG foundation models and demonstrates that compact, clinically pretrained encoders can support robust and computationally efficient AF detection across heterogeneous acquisition settings.

Objective: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia experienced by intensive care unit (ICU) patients and can cause adverse health effects. In this study, we publish a labelled ICU dataset and benchmarks for AF detection. Methods: We compared machine learning models across three data-driven artificial intelligence (AI) approaches: feature-based classifiers, deep learning (DL), and ECG foundation models (FMs). This comparison addresses a critical gap in the literature and aims to pinpoint which AI approach is best for accurate AF detection. Electrocardiograms (ECGs) from a Canadian ICU and the 2021 PhysioNet/Computing in Cardiology Challenge were used to conduct the experiments. Multiple training configurations were tested, ranging from zero-shot inference to transfer learning. Results: On average and across both datasets, ECG FMs performed best, followed by DL, then feature-based classifiers. The model that achieved the top F1 score on our ICU test set was ECG-FM through a transfer learning strategy (F1=0.89). Conclusion: This study demonstrates promising potential for using AI to build an automatic patient monitoring system. Significance: By publishing our labelled ICU dataset (LinkToBeAdded) and performance benchmarks, this work enables the research community to continue advancing the state-of-the-art in AF detection in the ICU. https://physionet.org/content/kingston-icu-af/

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major complication following embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS), elevating the risk of recurrent stroke and mortality. Early identification is clinically important, yet existing tools face limitations in accuracy, scalability, and cost. Machine learning (ML) offers promise but is hindered by small ESUS cohorts and high-dimensional medical features. To address these challenges, we introduce supervised and unsupervised hypergraph-based pre-training strategies to improve AF prediction in ESUS patients. We first pre-train hypergraph-based patient embedding models on a large stroke cohort (7,780 patients) to capture salient features and higher-order interactions. The resulting embeddings are transferred to a smaller ESUS cohort (510 patients), reducing feature dimensionality while preserving clinically meaningful information, enabling effective prediction with lightweight models. Experiments show that both pre-training approaches outperform traditional models trained on raw data, improving accuracy and robustness. This framework offers a scalable and efficient solution for AF risk prediction after stroke.