Clinical Risk Prediction

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21 papers in the last four weeks, up 600% on the four weeks before. 0.2% of all new papers.

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  1. SepsisLens: Structure-Preserving Sequence Modelling for Decomposable Early Sepsis Warning

    Oct 6, 2026Yikun Ou, Wei LiInterpretable MLClinical Prediction

    School of Computer Science, University of Sydney Sydney, Australia

  2. Cite What You Explore: Budget-Aware LLM Reasoning over Medical KGs with Verifiable Evidence

    Oct 6, 2026Chen Chen, Dongjie Wang, Mei Liu +1LLM Reasoning with GraphsEvidence-Grounded Reasoning

    Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, University of Kansas, USA · Health Outcomes and Biomedical Informatics, University of Florida, USA

  3. DeepAJM: Deep Association Joint Model for Irregularly Sampled data

    Oct 5, 2026Barsha Halder, Jeffrey A. ThompsonIrregular Time-Series ModelingSurvival Analysis

    Department of Biostatistics & Data Science, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, KS, USA

  4. Latent Similarity Gaussian Processes: A Theory-Grounded Approach to Personalized Suicide-Risk Forecasting for Clinical Decision-Support

    Oct 5, 2026Yaniv Yacoby, Weiwei Pan, Hope Neveux +4Latent Variable ModelsSuicide Risk Modeling

    Wellesley College · Harvard University · Harvard University Harvard Medical School Massachusetts General Hospital

  5. LifeLong Digital Twin: A Unified Modeling Paradigm and Agent Harness for Event-Driven Lifelong Health State Trajectories

    Oct 4, 2026Jin Jiang, Sean Yates, Jasper Chong +4Clinical PredictionDigital Twins

    Peking University · VITA-Med Group

  6. Fixing a Model That Learned Worse Cancer Means Lower Risk: Monotonic Constraints in Bladder Cancer Recurrence Prediction

    Oct 1, 2026Saram Abbas, David Thomas, Naeem Soomro +3Counterfactual EvaluationGradient-Boosted Decision Trees

    School of Engineering, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK · Electronics and Computer Science, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK · Department of Urology, Freeman Hospital, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK +1

  7. Explainable Suicide Risk Assessment on Social Media with Multi-Task QLoRA

    Sep 30, 2026Xuan Zhong Feng, Geoffrey Martin, Hexin Dong +1Social Media AnalysisMulti-Task Learning

    Department of Population Health Sciences, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, NY, USA · Systems Engineering, Cornell University, New York, NY, USA

  8. OverdoseMoE: A Multi-Expert Framework for Opioid Overdose Risk Prediction

    Sep 30, 2026Mingchen Li, Rohan Pandey, Junhui Qian +3Mixture of ExpertsLongitudinal EHR Modeling

    Manning College of Information and Computer Sciences, UMass Amherst, Amherst, MA, USA · Center for Healthcare Organization and Implementation Research, VA Bedford Health Care, Bedford, MA, USA · Miner School of Computer and Information Sciences, UMass Lowell, Lowell, MA, USA

  9. From Image Interpretation to Clinical Reasoning: Upstream Physician-Context-Aware Multimodal Learning with Causal Reinforcement Learning

    Sep 30, 2026Jialu Pi, Yanan Ma, Weijie Chen +8Clinical Outcome PredictionMultimodal Reasoning

    Dept. of Radiology, Mayo Clinic, Phoenix, AZ, USA · School of Computing and Augmented Intelligence, Arizona State University, Tempe, USA · Dept. of Radiology, Mayo Clinic, Phoenix, USA +2

  10. Disentangling Lung-Cancer CT/LDCT AI: A Systematic Evidence Map of Clinical Tasks, Evidence Chains, and Translational Gaps

    Sep 28, 2026Surajit DasMedical Image AnalysisComputed Tomography

  11. Unknown is not normal: separating language-model extraction from rule-based decision logic for clinical risk scores

    Sep 28, 2026Nicolás Vera ZúñigaClinical Decision SupportLearning with Missing Data

    Independent Researcher, Chile

  12. A Leakage-Aware Multimodal Evaluation Framework for Early Intraoperative Acute Kidney Injury Prediction

    Sep 22, 2026Quang Minh Nguyen, Duc Minh Le, Ho Nhat Minh Nguyen +2Temporal Convolutional NetworksClinical Prediction

    National Economics University, Hanoi, Vietnam

  13. MedGate-Fusion: Integrating First-Encounter Semantic Narratives and Physiological Biomarkers for Prospective Stroke Risk Stratification

    Sep 21, 2026Hemn Khdr, Mohammad Noaeen, Karim Keshavjee +2Multimodal FusionClinical Risk Prediction

    Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada · Department of Information Technology Management, Toronto Metropolitan University, Toronto, Canada · Faculty of Information, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada +1

  14. Pharmacokinetic State Space Models for Unbiased Prediction of Haemodynamic Collapse

    Sep 21, 2026Rithin Nagaraj, Sudiksha Chindula, Bhaskarjyoti DasClinical PredictionClinical Risk Prediction

    Department of Computer Science and Engineering, PES University, Bengaluru, 560085, India · Department of Computer Science and Engineering (AIML), PES University, Bengaluru, 560085, India

  15. Misaligned Clinical Risk Classification and Cost Asymmetry in Open-Weight Large Language Models

    Sep 21, 2026Star S. D. Liu, Xiyu Ding, Robert B. Barrett +3Cost-Sensitive LearningLLM Interpretability

    Biomedical Informatics and Data Science, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA · Microsoft, Redmond, WA, USA · National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA

  16. Mammography Foundation Models for Opportunistic Prediction of Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events

    Sep 16, 2026Paula Feldman, Nusrat Binta Nizam, Sunwoo Kwak +3Medical Imaging Foundation ModelsClinical Outcome Prediction

    Department of Radiology, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, NY, USA · Cornell Tech, New York, NY, USA · Cornell University, New York, NY, USA

  17. Knowledge-Enriched Structured EHR Features for 30-Day Hospital Readmission Prediction on MIMIC-IV

    Sep 14, 2026Mohamad Najafi, Hongyun Fu, Mathias Brochhausen +2Clinical Outcome PredictionElectronic Health Records

    Old Dominion University, Virginia, USA · University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, Arkansas, USA

  18. Patient-Reported Survey Data Improve Prediction of Opioid Use Disorder

    Sep 14, 2026Xiyue Jiang, Zihan Ding, Grace Han +3Clinical Outcome PredictionElectronic Health Records

    Department of Applied Mathematics & Statistics, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY, USA · Department of Computer Science, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY, USA · Department of Biomedical Informatics, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY, USA +1

  19. Optimizing for the decision not the prediction: an exploration of Smooth Net Benefit as a training objective

    Sep 14, 2026Koen M. F. Gorgels, Lasai Barreñada, Maarten van Smeden +3Predict-Then-OptimizeDecision-Focused Learning

    Department of Data Science and Biostatistics, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht, the Netherlands · Coo peratie VGZ, Arnhem, the Netherlands · Department of Development and Regeneration, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium

  20. Target leakage, not model class, explains reported accuracy in survey-based cardiovascular screening: a leakage-tiered audit of glass-box and tabular foundation models

    Sep 11, 2026Raad Bin Tareaf, Murad Al-Rajab, Samia Loucif +2Data LeakageTabular Foundation Models

    Data Science and AI Cluster, XU Exponential University of Applied Sciences, Potsdam, Germany · German University of Digital Science, Potsdam, Germany · College of Engineering, Abu Dhabi University, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates +2

  21. Emergency Department Revisit Quality Review Screening: Exploring Human Decision-Making and Artificial Intelligence Support

    Sep 9, 2026Jonathan A. Handler, Marlene I. Robles-Granda, Jacob E. Mefford +5Clinical Decision SupportClinical Decision-Making

    Clinical Intelligence and Advanced Data Lab, OSF HealthCare, Peoria, IL · Digital Innovation Development, OSF HealthCare, Peoria, IL · OnCall, OSF HealthCare, Peoria, IL +7

  22. In Medical Claims Data, Enhancing Predictive Performance for Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events Using Cross Attention

    Sep 9, 2026Yuhei Fujioka, Daitaro Misawa, Tatsuyoshi Ikenoue +1Clinical Outcome PredictionClinical Risk Prediction

    Human Health Sciences, Kyoto University Graduate School of Medicine · Cancerscan Inc. Tokyo, Japan · Data Science and AI Innovation Research Promotion Center, Shiga University Shiga, Japan

  23. Geographically Regularized AUC-Maximizing Personalized Federated Learning

    Sep 8, 2026Mayu Hiraishi, Kensuke Tanioka, Toshio ShimokawaClinical Risk PredictionFederated Learning

    Department of Medicine · Wakayama Medical University · Wakayama, Japan +3

  24. Bag of Tricks or Bag of Myths? Reducing Modeling Complexity with Task Knowledge in Explainable Suicide Risk Assessment

    Sep 7, 2026Shlok Shelat, Shrey Salvi, Souvik Roy +2Language Model EnsemblesSuicide Risk Modeling

    Indian AI Research Organisation · Ahmedabad University · University of Maryland, Baltimore County

  25. Translation of Black-Box Clinical Prediction Models into Standalone Transparent Nomograms: Temporal External Validation in Heart Transplantation

    Sep 7, 2026Henry Pigot, Paulo J. G. Lisboa, Sandra Ortega-Martorell +3Surrogate ModelingHealthcare

    Department of Translational Medicine, Artificial Intelligence and Bioinformatics in Cardiothoracic Sciences Research Unit, Lund University, Lund, Sweden · Artificial Intelligence and Digital Technologies Research Institute, Liverpool John Moores University, Liverpool, UK · Department of Thoracic and Vascular Surgery, Skåne University Hospital, Lund, Sweden

  26. Assessing Suicide Risk in Arabic Crisis Helpline Calls: A Comparison of Arabic and English Large Language Models

    Aug 31, 2026Linhai Ma, Rita El Hachem, Mahatab El Hajj +2Multilingual Language Model EvaluationArabic NLP

    Department of Emergency Medicine, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA. · Department of Epidemiology and Population Health, American University of Beirut, Beirut, Lebanon. · Embrace, Mental Health Center, Beirut, Lebanon.

  27. DIASENTINEL: An Auditable Multi-Agent System for Guideline-Grounded Diabetes Risk Screening

    Aug 31, 2026Yung Wei Shueh, Zhi-Jie Chen, Chia-Hsuan Hsu +9Multi-Agent LLM SystemsMedical Report Generation

    Far Eastern Memorial Hospital, Taiwan · University of Michigan, USA · Rutgers University, USA +1

  28. Gaussian Meta-Space Augmentation for Stacking Ensembles in Multimodal IPMN Risk Stratification

    Aug 11, 2026Max A. Nelson, Eminenur Sen Tasci, Zhixiang Wang +12Ensemble LearningOrdinal Regression

    Machine & Hybrid Intelligence Lab, Department of Radiology, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, USA · Department of Computer Science, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA · Istanbul Faculty of Medicine, Istanbul University, Istanbul, Turkey +2

  29. A Domain-Structured Ensemble Framework for Perioperative Outcome Prediction Using Electronic Health Record Data

    Aug 9, 2026Shikhar Shukla, Cristina BarboiEnsemble LearningClinical Outcome Prediction

    BioHealth Informatics Indiana University Indianapolis Indianapolis, USA · Department of Anesthesiology Indiana University School of Medicine Indianapolis, USA

  30. A Comparative Study of Feature Selection Methods for EHR Diagnosis Codes in Opioid Use Disorder Prediction

    Aug 4, 2026Zihan Ding, Yinan Liu, Tengfei Ma +6Clinical Outcome PredictionFeature Selection

    Stony Brook University · Rutgers University · University of Vermont