Industrial process monitoring is fundamental to the safety and economic performance of modern process plants. Current practice remains a one-task-one-model paradigm that is label-inefficient and prone to degradation under operating drift. Foundation models have reshaped language, vision, and generic time-series forecasting, but it has not been adapted to industrial process monitoring. This setting poses domain-specific challenges, including safety-critical decisions and asymmetric sampling between process variables and laboratory measurements. We propose the industrial process monitoring foundation model (IPM-FM). It first learns general-purpose representations from unlabeled industrial process data through self-supervised pretraining, then adapts to specific monitoring tasks using a small amount of task-labeled data, and finally produces calibrated predictions through an uncertainty-aware prediction head. IPM-FM integrates a self-supervised Informer backbone with a multi-criteria consensus feature selector, a recursive lag-feature regression head, and a calibrated Monte Carlo dropout uncertainty module. On a seven-year hydrotreater dataset for diesel flash-point soft sensing, IPM-FM attains an RMSE of 2.99, R2 of 0.50, and 97% coverage of its 95% predictive interval, outperforming the strongest classical and from-scratch sequence baselines by 8.3% and 14.6% in RMSE respectively, supporting the viability of a unified pretraining--adaptation framework for industrial process monitoring.
Predictive process monitoring (PPM) leverages event logs to forecast the future of running process instances, for instance, predicting the next activity, the remaining time until case completion, or the time to the next event. While PPM research in recent years has been dominated by deep sequence models trained from scratch, such as Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models, foundation-model approaches---particularly large language models (LLMs)---are increasingly explored for PPM. At the same time, tabular foundation models with in-context learning capabilities offer a promising alternative but have not yet been systematically benchmarked for PPM. Thus, it remains unclear whether classical sequence-based models remain competitive in this evolving landscape. This paper compares the three modeling paradigms both conceptually and empirically through a controlled benchmark across multiple datasets and prediction tasks. The results show that sequence models consistently perform best for next activity prediction, whereas tabular foundation models are competitive on temporal tasks, with LLMs usually lagging behind despite higher cost.
Lennart Fertig, Lukas Kirchdorfer, Tobias Sesterhenn
Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prediction is essential for industrial predictive maintenance, yet many learning-based approaches rely on extensive feature engineering or large labeled datasets to train task-specific sequence models. In this work, we introduce a lightweight learning approach, in which we leverage a frozen pretrained time-series foundation model (TSFM) and combine it with a small regression head for RUL estimation from multivariate sensor streams. More specifically, we use Chronos-2 as a frozen backbone to extract context window features and train a lightweight regression neural network for RUL prediction. Experiments on real-world industrial sensor data from two device types show that Chronos-2 features consistently improve over recurrent, convolutional, Transformer-based, and gradient-boosting baselines under the same preprocessing and evaluation protocol. We further analyze the impact of context length and find that performance improves significantly with longer histories, indicating that TSFM representation offer a practical and data-efficient alternative for RUL estimation in industrial settings.
Amir El-Ghoussani, Michele De Vita, Ronald Naumann +1
Process industries rely on time-series forecasting and soft sensing to estimate quality variables that are hard to measure online. Labeled data are scarce, operating regimes change frequently, and retraining models or rebuilding alignment pipelines for each scenario is costly. Such settings often provide variable tables and process documents that record variable names, units, physical meanings, and process roles. However, standard time-series backbones usually treat inputs as anonymous numerical columns. Existing text-enhanced methods also rarely make the semantic-logical relations between input variables and the prediction target available to the model within each numerical window. To address this problem, this article proposes Task-Semantic Field Factorization (TSF), a large language model (LLM)-guided framework. TSF builds a task-semantic field from task protocols and variable documents before training and uses the LLM only for offline semantic construction. Online training and inference remain with conventional time-series backbones. During training and inference, the current numerical window activates variable semantics, so semantic information participates in each prediction and supports adaptation to different prediction targets and operating shifts. On multiple complex industrial forecasting and soft-sensing tasks, TSF reduces MAE by 6.4% on average in improved settings, with the largest reduction reaching 25.5%. It adds only about 1.8--3.0k parameters, with less than 0.008 ms/step of additional online inference overhead. These results show that TSF turns existing process documents into measurable forecasting gains across backbones and semantic generators while remaining lightweight for deployment.