Brain-PACE: A Deep Siamese MRI Framework for Modelling Longitudinal Brain Acceleration
Authors: Samuel Maddox (School of Computing Sciences, University of East Anglia), Jacob Newman (School of Computing Sciences, University of East Anglia), Saber Sami (Norwich Medical School, University of East Anglia), Michal Mackiewicz (School of Computing Sciences, University of East Anglia), +3 more
Abstract
Brain age estimation has become a popular research proxy for assessing brain health and disease, yet longitudinal trajectories of brain ageing are still poorly defined, and clinical use is limited. Building on existing Siamese longitudinal frameworks, we develop Brain-Predicted Age Acceleration (Brain-PACE) to directly estimate the pace of structural brain ageing from paired T1-weighted MRI. Brain-PACE identified accelerated ageing in 42.6% of participants with mild cognitive impairment. Faster Brain-PACE was associated with greater functional and cognitive impairment (FAQ; r=0.35, ADAS13; r=0.30, CDR-SB; r=0.32) and greater regional tau burden in the posterior cingulate (r=0.59), precuneus (r=0.47), and entorhinal cortex (r=0.37). These associations were stronger than those observed when pace was calculated indirectly from repeated cross-sectional brain age estimates, suggesting that direct longitudinal modelling captures complementary information relevant to ongoing pathological change. Methodologically, Brain-PACE extends the LILAC framework by combining spatial attention with soft label distribution learning and a Cram'er distance objective, improving probabilistic performance and reducing prediction bias while providing measures of predictive uncertainty. Together, these findings support Brain-PACE as a complementary longitudinal imaging phenotype with sensitivity to relevant clinical and biological changes in early neurodegeneration.
BrainAGE is a promising imaging-derived biomarker of neurobiological ageing and disease risk, yet current approaches rely predominantly on T1-weighted structural MRI, overlooking functional vascular changes that may precede tissue damage and cognitive decline. DeepCBV maps, synthesized from non-contrast MRI, offer a scalable alternative to contrast-enhanced perfusion imaging by capturing vascular information relevant to early neurodegeneration. We developed a multimodal BrainAGE framework that combines predictions from two separate three-dimensional convolutional neural networks: one trained only on structural MRI scans and another trained only on DeepCBV maps. Each model was trained and validated on 2851 scans from 13 open-source datasets and was evaluated for concordance with MCI and AD. The combined model achieved the most accurate brain age gap for CN controls, with a mean absolute error of 3.95 years, outperforming models trained on MRI or DeepCBV alone. Saliency maps revealed complementary modality contributions: MRI emphasized white matter and cortical atrophy, while DeepCBV highlighted vascular-rich and periventricular regions implicated in hypoperfusion and early cerebrovascular dysfunction, consistent with known patterns of normal ageing. Next, we observed that BrainAGE increased stepwise across diagnostic strata (CN < MCI < AD) and correlated with cognitive impairment. DeepCBV-based BrainAGE showed a particularly strong separation between stable versus progressive MCI, suggesting sensitivity to prodromal vascular changes that precede overt atrophy. Integrating structural MRI with deep learning-derived vascular measures substantially enhances BrainAGE estimation and improves sensitivity to MCI and AD progression, supporting its potential role in risk stratification, early detection and monitoring of therapeutic response.
The accurate quantification of brain age from MRI has emerged as an important biomarker of brain health. However, existing approaches are often restricted to narrow age ranges and single-modality MRI data, limiting their capacity to capture the coordinated macro- and microstructural changes that unfold across the human lifespan. To address these limitations, we developed a multi-modal brain age framework to characterize the integrated evolution of brain morphology and white matter organization. Our model adopts a two-stage architecture, where modalities are processed independently and integrated via late fusion in both stages: first to classify each subject into one of six developmental stages, and then to estimate age within the predicted stage. This design enables a unified and lifespan-spanning assessment of brain maturity across diverse developmental periods.
Defining vascular age in terms of physiological function has become one focal point of the extensive studies to categorize and track chronological age. Transcranial Doppler (TCD) is a method by which cerebral blood flow velocity is measured along the major arteries feeding the human brain. This study aims to use features extracted from TCD to estimate chronological age and assess accelerated aging in subjects with various brain diseases. We predict subjects with various brain diseases to present with accelerated cerebrovascular aging when tested on various regression models trained by healthy subjects. 168 healthy subjects and 277 diseased subjects with bilateral TCD recordings of the middle cerebral artery were analyzed using the Morphological Analysis and Clustering of Intracranial Pressure (MOCAIP) algorithm. MOCAIP-generated features and heart rate variability features were used as input features for regression models to predict the brain vascular age. 66 subjects with acute stroke, 27 subjects with post stroke, 26 subjects with Alzheimer's disease, 23 subjects with mild cognitive impairment, and 135 established subjects were tested against the machine learning model to assess for accelerated cerebrovascular age. The trained model, on average, predicted healthy subjects' cerebrovascular age to be 3.69 years above their chronological age. Subjects with different disease conditions exhibited varying levels of age acceleration. The differences in healthy and diseased subjects' performances suggest that features generated using TCD may be relevant when evaluating accelerated cerebrovascular aging. Moreover, imbalanced datasets have been observed to affect the performance of machine-learning-based brain age prediction models.