When Correlations Mislead: Confounder-Aware Multi-View Urban Region Representation Learning
Authors: Sean Bin Yang, Ying Sun, Zongyi Xu, Tung Kieu, Jilin Hu, Bin Yang, Kristian Torp, Hua Lu, +1 more
Organizations: Aalborg University, Aalborg, Denmark · Chongqing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Chongqing, China · East China Normal University, Shanghai, China
Urban region representation learning commonly combines heterogeneous data sources, such as mobility flows, points of interest, and land-use information, to support tasks including mobility analysis, public safety forecasting, and service demand estimation. Existing multi-view methods typically improve region embeddings by strengthening interactions across views. However, such methods often overlook view-specific regional structures and may propagate correlations induced by shared latent factors, which can reduce the stability of downstream predictions. To overcome this major limitation, we propose CURE, a confounder-aware framework for multi-view urban region representation learning. CURE first encodes each view with its regional graph structure, estimates a shared latent component, and then reduces its projected influence before cross-view interaction. A hierarchical graph-aware fusion module subsequently aggregates the residual view representations using local and global regional contexts Experiments on three real-world cities show that CURE improves predictive performance, remains robust under missing and noisy input views, and provides reliable cross-view integration through shared component separation and context-dependent view weighting.
Urban region embeddings have shown promising results in diverse urban sensing tasks such as crime, income, and service-call prediction. Recent methods improve representation quality by integrating mobility data with auxiliary modalities, using cross-view attention or contrastive objectives to align heterogeneous features into a unified region representation. However, leveraging the temporal dynamics of human mobility remains under-explored. Regional inflow and outflow fluctuate throughout the day, and inter-region connections emerge, persist, and dissolve over time. Moreover, prevailing fusion strategies combine views additively and miss the joint signal that emerges only when views co-occur. To address these gaps, we propose Mobility Stream-Structure Synergy (MoSS), which derives complementary views from mobility data: a Sequence view that preserves each region's hourly inflow/outflow profile, and a Structure view based on zigzag persistence diagrams that capture how regional connectivity emerges, persists, and dissolves over time. A synergy module then extracts emergent representations from the co-occurrence of these views through multi-degree interactions, explicitly capturing higher-order signal across views. Extensive experiments on New York City and Chicago show that MoSS achieves state-of-the-art performance across three downstream tasks using mobility data alone, outperforming baselines that rely on auxiliary modalities.
Urban representation learning encodes complex urban environments into general-purpose embeddings for diverse downstream tasks and emerging urban foundation models. However, current evaluations are limited, typically focusing on one or two cities and tasks and relying on random splits that introduce spatial leakage, leading to inflated performance and weak support for cross-location generalization and fair comparison. To address this, we propose CityRep, a unified benchmark that evaluates urban representations across data modalities, cities, and tasks using spatially structured splits. CityRep consists of three key components: (1) a spatial unit-agnostic evaluation framework that supports heterogeneous urban representations through a standardized alignment module; (2) a unified evaluation protocol using block-based spatial splits to mitigate spatial leakage and enable rigorous model comparison; and (3) an extensible multi-city, multi-task benchmark suite spanning 8 cities and 8 tasks across regression, classification, and distribution prediction. We evaluate 11 representative urban representation models. Results show that performance is highly sensitive to the split protocol, with random splits inflating scores and altering model rankings. We also observe substantial variability across cities and tasks, underscoring the need for generalization-aware evaluation. CityRep is released as a reproducible benchmark with datasets, evaluation pipelines, and diagnostic tools to facilitate fair comparison and support future research in urban representation learning towards urban foundation models.
Urban region profiling constitutes a core problem in urban computing, supporting applications such as population estimation, economic assessment, and environmental monitoring. Existing methods typically formulate this task as multimodal representation learning, fusing heterogeneous urban data, e.g., satellite imagery, points of interest, textual descriptions, and 3D building information, into latent embeddings for prediction. However, these approaches are largely correlation-driven, assume cross-modal consistency, and rely on static pipelines, which limit their robustness in heterogeneous or unseen urban regions. We propose UrbanAgent, an agentic framework that reframes urban region profiling as a reasoning-driven inference problem. UrbanAgent instantiates an independent agent for each data modality and performs structured multi-agent collaborative reasoning to explicitly address cross-modal inconsistencies rather than absorbing them into a single representation. In addition, UrbanAgent extends indicator prediction as a closed-loop process of active evidence acquisition and iterative reasoning, enabling agents to verify uncertain inferences through tool-augmented retrieval of external knowledge optimized via reinforcement learning. Extensive experiments on global urban datasets for Carbon emissions, GDP, and Population estimation show that UrbanAgent consistently outperforms existing baselines, achieving an average improvement of 8.1% in R2, and exhibiting strong generalization performance in unseen-city settings.