Multiplicative Optimism for Constant Regret in Games

Can simple learning rules keep their regret bounded in self-play? Recent work achieves constant regret bounds through modified regularization and higher-order prediction. Yet for Optimistic Hedge, arguably the most canonical method in games, the best known individual regret bound remains logarithmic. In this work, we prove that plain Optimistic Hedge with a constant step size can attain $O_{n,d}(1)$ individual regret in general-sum games with $n$ players and $d=(d_1,\ldots,d_n)$ actions, under expected loss-vector feedback. As a corollary, its time-averaged play enjoys an $O_{n,d}(1/T)$ coarse correlated equilibrium (CCE) gap. Our analysis represents Optimistic Hedge as a real-analytic recurrence on a compact space, which yields an exact finite-order difference relation that eliminates horizon dependence. Our proof hinges on nonconstructive Noetherianity argument of Frisch (1967), so the $(n,d)$-dependence remains implicit.

We introduce an uncoupled learning algorithm which, when employed by all players of an arbitrary $N$-player normal form game with up to $K$ actions per player, guarantees $O(N^3\log^2 K)$ individual regret, uniformly over the horizon of play. The proposed algorithm - which we call higher-order optimism with discounting (HOOD) is a variant of optimistic follow-the-regularized-leader (OptFTRL) that combines a discounted $(N+1)$-th order predictor with entropic regularization over a suitable "lifting" of the game's strategy space. This combination of ingredients is purposefully designed to dampen large oscillations of the induced sequence of play in a controlled manner, removing in this way a key stumbling block of previous attempts to achieve constant regret in general games. Our approach bears several striking similarities to the concurrent - and completely independent - work of Liu, Farina, and Ozdaglar (arXiv:2608.31166), who very recently derived an $O(N^{21}\log^{4} K)$ regret bound through the use of higher-order optimism and an exponential moving average estimator.

We give deterministic and uncoupled learning dynamics for finite multiplayer general-sum games under full-information feedback that achieve constant individual swap regret in self-play, independent of the horizon $T$. With $n$ players and at most $m$ actions each, every player's individual swap regret is $O(\sqrt n\,m\log m\log^{5/2}(nm))$ at every finite horizon. The dynamics use the classical Blum-Mansour framework with optimism. Each player predicts the deviation gains, uses these predictions to update a row-stochastic transition matrix, and plays its stationary distribution. Our new ingredients include a tailored row normalization map and a two-scale higher-order predictor. An adversarially robust variant, obtained through a generic common-prefix switching wrapper, preserves the self-play bound up to a universal constant and guarantees individual swap regret at most $7\sqrt{mT\log m}$ in the adversarial setting.