A Shared Encoder Is Not a Shared Task: Conditional Comparison for Deep Expert Pools

Sharing a deep encoder does not, by itself, fix the central confound of task-comparison scores. We show that cross-evaluated heads on a frozen shared representation inherit the extrapolation confound of shallow exchange scores: pure input rotations with fixed labels inflate a deep exchange score from about 0 to 0.80, while representation-novelty scores are blind in the complementary direction (flat under label permutations that change the task completely). Transplanting a conditional two-discriminator discrepancy into the embedding space resolves both blind spots: the functional axis stays within +-0.001 under rotations and tracks label-permutation drift mass monotonically. Built into a mixture-of-heads lifecycle, the two-axis gate attains better decision quality with fewer heads than exchange or novelty triggers at a matched training budget. On generalized category discovery, the same chunk-level functional axis separates semantic novelty from photometric shift with AUROC 0.98-0.99 where per-input OOD scores (MSP, Energy, Mahalanobis, KNN) sit near chance for that distinction. All findings replicate across frozen ImageNet-21k ViT-B/16 and self-supervised DINOv2 backbones on CIFAR-100, and extend to residual adapter pools with recurrence, where a null-calibrated novelty trigger never fires on mechanism changes while the two-axis gate handles them with full recurrence reuse. We state explicitly the common-factoring condition under which embedding-space conclusions transfer to the original mechanism.

This version reports a reproducibility audit of the frozen-encoder experiments presented in version 1. The numerical discrimination results are reproducible from the preserved artifacts, but their original attribution to interferometric pretraining is not supported. The released checkpoint contains a nested model state that loads without missing parameters, whereas loading the outer checkpoint dictionary leaves almost the entire EfficientNet-B0 feature stack uninitialized. Preserved embeddings labelled as interferometric have norms of order $10^{-12}$, matching freshly initialized EfficientNet-B0 networks and differing by more than twelve orders of magnitude from the preserved ImageNet embeddings. A second, separately preserved near-zero embedding set produces almost the same IMS 4th-test anomaly scores ($r=0.987$) and record-level discrimination (AUC $0.9812$ versus $0.9818$). We therefore withdraw the causal claim that IMS performance demonstrates a morphological prior transferred from gravitational-wave instrumentation. We reanalyse the controlled IMS splits at matched observed false-positive rates and add multivariate classical signal baselines. The near-zero representations retain strong tail separation, particularly in the 2nd and 4th IMS runs, but this is now interpreted as an exploratory architecture-and-initialization effect coupled to Mahalanobis scoring. A separate PRONOSTIA audit shows that the original large warning times were induced by a lifetime-fraction baseline; under fixed-time evaluation, a ten-feature classical baseline outperforms the preserved encoder scores. These results illustrate how checkpoint provenance, finite-sample calibration, architecture, and target-domain baselines can create an appearance of cross-domain transfer. They also define the controls required before assigning physical meaning to frozen-representation anomaly scores.

Long-tailed recognition suffers from a persistent head--tail trade-off: improving tail performance often degrades head accuracy and can increase training instability. Despite strong empirical results from re-weighting, decoupled training, and multi-expert methods, key design choices about representation sharing between head and tail classes and supervision weighting across class groups remain largely heuristic. In this work, we propose OSDTW, a principled task-decomposition framework that partitions the original single-label recognition problem into a head task and a tail task, implemented with a shared encoder and task-specific decoders. To handle the mutual exclusivity and statistical dependence between the two label groups, we introduce a factorized model and show that the resulting Kullback--Leibler divergence-based generalization error can be written as the sum of task-wise terms up to an additive constant, yielding a well-defined task-wise objective. We further develop a three-stage training pipeline: independent task training to estimate task-wise optima and the Fisher information matrix, weighted joint training to learn a shared encoder, and branch assembly to construct the final decoupled model. Under a block-diagonal Fisher approximation, we derive a computable second-order expansion of the expected generalization error, decomposing it into encoder variance, encoder bias, and decoder variance. This bias--variance decomposition provides a computable proxy to select the shared depth and task weights, enabling efficient hyper-parameter search. Experiments on standard long-tailed benchmarks demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach over strong baselines.