More Sensors Only One Field: Rethinking Continual Spatio-Temporal Forecasting

Traffic forecasting uses recent measurements by sensors installed at chosen locations to forecast the future road traffic. Existing work either assumes all locations are equipped with sensors or focuses on short-term forecast. This paper studies partial sensing forecast of long-term traffic, assuming sensors are available only at some locations. The problem is challenging due to the unknown data distribution at unsensed locations, the intricate spatio-temporal correlation in long-term forecasting, as well as noise to traffic patterns. We propose a Spatio-temporal Long-term Partial sensing Forecast model (SLPF) for traffic prediction, with several novel contributions, including a rank-based embedding technique to reduce the impact of noise in data, a spatial transfer matrix to overcome the spatial distribution shift from sensed locations to unsensed locations, and a multi-step training process that utilizes all available data to successively refine the model parameters for better accuracy. Extensive experiments on several real-world traffic datasets demonstrate its superior performance. Our source code is at https://github.com/zbliu98/SLPF

Traffic forecasting is a fundamental component of intelligent transportation systems, yet remains challenging in real-world settings due to irregular sensor distributions and the high computational cost of modeling large-scale spatiotemporal dependencies. In practical traffic networks, sensors are unevenly distributed across regions, leading to non-uniform spatial structures that limit the effectiveness and scalability of existing graph-based and attention-based models. To address these challenges, we propose PatchSTG, a patch-based spatiotemporal graph Transformer designed for efficient forecasting on irregular sensor networks. The key idea is to introduce a hierarchical spatial representation that partitions sensors into balanced, locality-preserving patches based on geographic information. On top of this structure, a dual attention encoder alternates between intra-patch attention for capturing local interactions and inter-patch attention for modeling global dependencies, reducing computational complexity from quadratic to near-linear scaling. We evaluate PatchSTG on real-world traffic data from Rhode Island and additional large-scale datasets. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model achieves stable and competitive forecasting performance across multiple horizons, while significantly improving computational efficiency. Ablation studies further validate the effectiveness of spatial partitioning and dual attention in capturing both local and long-range traffic dynamics. These results suggest that patch-based spatiotemporal modeling provides a scalable and effective framework for traffic forecasting under irregular spatial settings.

In recent years, the integration of non-topological space modeling with temporal learning methods has emerged as an effective approach for capturing spatio-temporal information in non-Euclidean graphs. However, most existing methods rely on static underlying graph structures, which are inadequate for capturing the continuously expanding and evolving patterns in streaming traffic networks. To address this challenge, we propose a simple yet efficient dual-branch continual learning framework for traffic prediction, named CoMemNet. The fast-converging Online branch undertakes the primary prediction tasks, while the momentum-updated Target branch extracts historical information using Wasserstein Distance features to create a Dynamic Contrastive Sampler (DC Sampler). This sampler selects a node set with significant dynamic network feature changes for training, effectively mitigating the issue of catastrophic forgetting. Additionally, the backbone incorporates a lightweight Node-Adaptive Temporal Memory Buffer (TMRB-N) to consolidate old knowledge through memory replay and address the risk of memory explosion. Finally, we provide two newly curated open-source datasets. Experimental results demonstrate that CoMemNet achieves state-of-the-art (SOTA) performance across all three large-scale real-world datasets. The code is available at: https://github.com/meiwu5/CoMemNet.