Jev thinks "I don't know'', but doesn't say it: Introducing Sys1Cal-v1 Dataset for Probability Calibration

Jev is a commercial System One model from TypeSafe AI that does not generate text: given a state and typed questions, it returns a choice from fixed options, a position on a rubric, or the probability that a statement is true, with probabilities the vendor describes as calibrated. Such models target small decisions in information access pipelines, such as routing queries, checking grounding, moderating content, or rating against a rubric. We evaluate Jev (jev-1.13.0) zero-shot on 37 datasets spanning classification, routing, natural language inference, reading comprehension, commonsense reasoning, moderation, legal clause analysis and rubric scoring, with one frozen template per dataset and full evaluation splits: 346,009 requests for under USD 10. For reference, we score Qwen3.8-27B and Gemma-4-E4B on identical requests via their exact next-token probabilities over the options. Jev reaches 95-99% accuracy on IMDB, SST-2, HellaSwag and ARC and 86.7% on Belebele across 122 languages. It beats Qwen on 27 of 37 datasets, with none of Qwen's nine leads outside the bootstrap intervals, and Gemma on all 37. All three models degrade on low-resource languages, fine-grained or noisy labels, and rubric-based quality judgments. Jev's choice probabilities are well calibrated and support selective prediction. Binary probabilities rank well but are poorly placed relative to a fixed 0.5 threshold; thresholds tuned on training data raise micro-F1 on UNFAIR-ToS from 0.50 to 0.75. Jev answers MMLU's calculation-heavy questions more accurately than other MMLU questions (94% vs. 91%), whereas both open models, and all three on C-Eval, find them harder. Rotating the options leaves Jev's accuracy unchanged and withholding the question drops it to near chance, ruling out shallow memorization but not memorized question-answer pairs. We release the code, harness and all raw responses.

A decision model can give probabilities that sum to one for every question yet disagree with itself when the same decision is broken into smaller steps. We study this form of probabilistic coherence in Jev and the English Laya checkpoint, using 2,500 matched examples per system across TREC, CLINC150, and MASSIVE. Across 72,000 classification questions, we compare direct fine-label predictions with broad-category probabilities and predictions reconstructed through those categories. Both systems show substantial disagreement: mean category-level total variation ranges from 0.219 to 0.349 for Jev and from 0.424 to 0.689 for Laya, on a scale where zero means exact agreement. The consequences differ sharply. On CLINC150, reconstruction reduces Jev's accuracy by 22.9 percentage points (paired 95% bootstrap interval: [-24.9, -20.9]) and improves Laya's by 21.3 points ([18.0, 24.5]). The same directions hold across all three datasets, with all six unadjusted accuracy-change intervals excluding zero. Improved accuracy can also accompany less reliable confidence: on MASSIVE, Laya gains 9.2 accuracy points while its expected calibration error rises from 0.046 to 0.124. Error analysis identifies both broad-category mistakes and within-category confusions. These findings show why decision systems need joint evaluation of accuracy, confidence calibration, and probability coherence in the workflow used by an application.

Jev is a non-generative "System One" model that assigns probabilities to predefined answer options and cannot answer outside them. Its accuracy and calibration on medical question-answering and case-based diagnostic-reasoning tasks are unknown. We evaluated Jev 1.13 on four medical benchmarks: MetaMedQA, PubMedQA, DiagnosisArena-MCQ and the NEJM Case Challenges. GPT-6 Sol, with (medium) and without reasoning, was the reference. The primary outcome was top-1 accuracy; key secondary outcomes were calibration, selective prediction and recognition of unanswerable questions. All 8,469 requests returned a valid answer. Jev's accuracy was similar to that of GPT-6 Sol with medium reasoning on PubMedQA (78.4% vs 78.2%;), lower on MetaMedQA (74.8% vs 82.7%) and much lower on DiagnosisArena-MCQ (59.8% vs 82.4%;) and the NEJM cases (61.8% vs 82.4%). On MetaMedQA, Jev's probabilities were the best calibrated (expected calibration error 0.063 vs 0.146), and its answers with a probability of at least 0.9 (52.9% of questions) were 93.4% accurate, but GPT-6 Sol was as accurate when it accepted a similar proportion of questions. On DiagnosisArena-MCQ, Jev's probabilities discriminated poorly (AUROC 0.645 vs 0.768). Of the 162 questions whose correct answer was "I don't know or cannot answer", Jev chose that option for 10.5% (GPT-6 Sol, 8.6%). Median latency was 0.27-0.31 s; all 2,823 items cost USD 0.08. Jev was fast and inexpensive, and its accuracy was similar to that of a frontier LLM on research abstracts but lower on examination questions and much lower on complex diagnostic cases. Task-specific validation is required before clinical use.