Beyond Nominal Equilibria: Risk-Averse Multi-Population Mean-Field Games

Deploying multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) in the real world is often limited by model mismatches between the training simulators and the true environment, which could be further amplified through strategic interactions and result in severe performance degradation upon deployment. Distributional robustness offers a principled response by optimizing policies against worst-case transition models drawn from an uncertainty set, but standard robust MARL frameworks become increasingly intractable as the number of agents grows. This paper develops an infinite-horizon, stationary mean-field game framework that incorporates distributional model uncertainty directly into the population-coupled dynamics. We establish a robust dynamic programming principle with a contractive Bellman operator and prove the existence of a stationary robust mean-field equilibrium via a fixed-point argument. We further develop the first concrete algorithm with convergence guarantees. We then connect the mean-field solution to a finite-population robust game whose ambiguity sets depend on the empirical distribution, showing that the mean-field equilibrium policy induces approximate equilibrium behavior as the population size increases. Under a contractive robust-dynamics regime, we further obtain explicit non-asymptotic error bounds. Numerical experiments further illustrate the qualitative and quantitative impact of robustness under multiple uncertainty models, validating our theoretical findings.

Mean Field Games (MFGs) provide a powerful framework for modeling the collective behavior of large populations of interacting agents. In this paper, we address the problem of Imitation Learning (IL) in MFGs subject to common noise, where the population distribution evolves stochastically. This stochasticity compels agents to adopt population-aware policies to respond to aggregate shocks. We formulate two distinct learning objectives: recovering a Nash equilibrium and maximizing performance against an expert population. We investigate two imitation proxies: Behavioral Cloning (BC) and Adversarial (ADV) divergence. We then establish finite-sample error bounds showing that minimizing these proxies effectively controls both the policy's exploitability and its performance gap relative to the expert. Furthermore, we propose a numerical framework using generalized Fictitious Play and Deep Learning to compute expert population-aware policies. Through experiments on three environments we demonstrate that standard population-unaware policies fail to capture the equilibrium dynamics. Our results highlight that learning population-aware policies is crucial to avoid being misled by the randomness inherent in common noise.

We propose and study distributionally robust Markov games (DR-MGs) with the average-reward criterion as a crucial framework for multi-agent decision-making under model mismatches and over extended horizons. Under a standard irreducible assumption, we first derive a correspondence between the optimal policies and the solutions of the robust Bellman equation, based on which we further show the existence of a stationary Nash Equilibrium (NE) of the game. We further study DR-MGs under a more general weakly communicating setting. We construct a set-valued map based on the constant-gain optimal robust Bellman operator and show that its value is a subset of the best-response policies. We further prove that this map admits a fixed point, which implies the existence of NE. We then design two algorithms, Robust Nash-Iteration and robust TD Descent, with provably convergent guarantees. Finally, we show that the NE under average-reward can be approximated by the ones for the discounted DR-MGs as the discount factor approaches one. Our studies provide a comprehensive theoretical and algorithmic foundation for decision-making in complex, uncertain, and long-running multi-player environments.