Reliability-Aware Future Conditioning for Temporally Robust Robot Manipulation

Multi-step robot manipulation requires acting under uncertainty about how the scene will evolve, making exploration and policy adaptation challenging. We study whether short-horizon, task-consistent future videos can provide useful structured priors for control and reinforcement-learning fine-tuning. We formalize this idea through Future-Experience Conditioning (FEC), a simple interface that conditions closed-loop policies on a latent representation of a short future video. In our simulation setup, future clips are generated in three stages, an LLM reasoner operating over a task ontology initialized from the current scene state, a robot-free digital-twin rollout of the intended object motion, and a mask-free video diffusion model that synthesizes a robot-consistent future clip without requiring segmentation at inference. We instantiate this future-conditioning interface primarily with BC and BC+RL, and compare against a future-conditioned Streaming Flow Policy (SFP) baseline on RoboCasa and CALVIN under NoFuture, GTFuture, GenFuture, and WrongFuture. Generated futures improve performance over no-future conditioning, while mismatched futures degrade it, and our BC+RL instantiation achieves the strongest overall results. An average BC+RL learning-curve analysis across 8 CALVIN tasks further shows that GTFuture improves fastest, GenFuture improves earlier and to a higher level than NoFuture, and WrongFuture remains at zero throughout training. These results suggest that short-horizon future videos can serve as useful structured priors for exploration and policy adaptation under imperfect future predictions. https://enact2026.github.io/

Pretrained video generative models are promising backbones for visuomotor control, but their imagined futures often drift from task intent and are not reliably action-conditional. As a result, these models can be difficult to use for planning or policy extraction. To address these limitations, we propose RoboTALES, a single-stage framework that learns task-aligned simulated futures and uses them to train robot policies. Our approach introduces two key innovations: (1) a hierarchical LLM-based planner that breaks complex tasks into a sequence of subgoals to guide the model's imagination; and (2) a VLM-based critic that evaluates these ``imagined'' futures and uses reward-based feedback to keep the model's internal representations focused on the goal. By anchoring the video generator in abstract reasoning, we produce temporally consistent rollouts and more coherent actions. We evaluate RoboTALES on diverse manipulation tasks from RoboCasa and LIBERO10, and show that our method consistently outperforms existing methods, especially in long-horizon tasks. Our code and models are publicly available at https://github.com/hananshafi/RoboTALES.

Robotic world models predict action-conditioned future scenes, providing a foundation for understanding action outcomes. However, turning alternative predictions into useful learning signals remains challenging: similar candidates limit informative quality comparisons, while diverging trajectories require persistent maintenance of their individual histories. We introduce FutureWorlds, a framework that unifies candidate construction, history maintenance, and learning from relative quality. Built on a multimodal discrete autoregressive model, FutureWorlds uses diverse beam search during reinforcement learning to construct candidate futures that balance confidence and diversity. Candidate-specific bounded memory preserves scene states and ensures that generation and policy scoring use matching histories. We further propose MemSPO (Memory-Conditioned Search-Guided Policy Optimization), which converts video trajectory rewards into group-relative advantages to optimize the world model. On RT-1, BridgeV2, and RoboCasa, FutureWorlds reduces LPIPS for 32-frame predictions by 14.78%, 20.84%, and 9.12%, respectively, relative to the strongest baseline on each dataset. Under fixed evaluation configurations, only 200 MemSPO updates further improve generation quality and support continued prediction beyond the training horizon. Memory ablations, decoding sensitivity analysis, and optical-flow evaluation show that these gains extend beyond visual quality to more accurate motion prediction and more consistent object states. Project page and code: https://github.com/Alexander-wu/FutureWorlds.