FDTD Model of Noise Pollution from an AI Data Center

The strong and continuous increase of AI-based services leads to the steady proliferation of AI data centres worldwide with the unavoidable escalation of their power consumption. It is unknown how this energy demand for computational purposes will impact the surrounding environment. Here, we focus our attention on the heat dissipation of AI hyperscalers. Taking advantage of land surface temperature measurements acquired by remote sensing platforms over the last decades, we are able to obtain a robust assessment of the temperature increase recorded in the areas surrounding AI data centres globally. We estimate that the land surface temperature increases by 2°C on average after the start of operations of an AI data centre, inducing local microclimate zones, which we call the data heat island effect. We assess the impact on the communities, quantifying that more than 340 million people could be affected by this temperature increase. Our results show that the data heat island effect could have a remarkable influence on communities and regional welfare in the future, hence becoming part of the conversation around environmentally sustainable AI worldwide.

Data centers now account for 4.4% of United States electricity demand, yet the grid-level effectiveness of the renewable energy certificates (RECs) and power purchase agreements (PPAs) hyperscalers use to claim carbon neutrality remains unclear. We develop a game-theoretic model in which a data center operator chooses among RECs, PPAs, and behind-the-meter colocation while generators make entry decisions under endogenous financing costs. The model identifies a timing wedge -- the mismatch between consumption and credited renewable generation -- as a central mechanism through which AI demand degrades reliability, raises prices, and increases emissions even when RECs cover 100% of annual consumption. Colocation with storage addresses this wedge directly and induces the greatest renewable entry by eliminating generator revenue risk. We test these predictions by exploiting the staggered release of large language models as a natural experiment, using difference-in-differences on a novel dataset linking AI activity to local grid outcomes. AI demand significantly increases fossil generation, wholesale prices (up to 25% in treated PJM zones), and outage frequency (0.5--1 additional outages per year) near data centers, with impacts scaling in model size. Data centers with on-site generation exhibit a sign reversal in power-quality effects, consistent with the model's prediction that behind-the-meter capacity absorbs demand spikes. Counterfactual analyses show that edge inference, spatial reallocation, and colocated storage each substantially mitigate grid impacts, while REC-only strategies do not. Together, our results demonstrate that the externalities of AI to the grid are tightly coupled to procurement design and the spatial organization of data center infrastructure.

An AI data center is committed years before it draws a watt: a few discrete choices (grid or on-site gas, evaporative or dry cooling, which county to file in) fix its capital, water draw, and carbon path, and LLMs are now asked to help screen them with no test of whether they track what each commitment rules out. We introduce DCBench-440, with two arms reported separately: 200 generative questions over STRIPS worlds for five US deal archetypes, with search-verified gold answers and no tested shortcut above 12% on any question type, and 240 multiple-choice questions grounded in quoted site records, emission equations, and stated scenarios. Across open-weight deployments, accuracy spans 12.5-71.5% (generative) and 58.3-92.5% (multiple choice). One skill fails everywhere: asked to list every action available at a decision gate, no model exceeds 4.0% exact match. The strongest list 72-85% of the actions that would change the project's state but omit most permitted actions that change nothing; with those excused, the best exact match is still 24%. Code, data, and other materials are available upon request.