Overview

Climate science examines how the atmosphere, oceans, land, ice, and human activity shape climate, using observations and Earth system models to understand past change and project future conditions. Researchers combine physical simulations with machine-learning emulators, data assimilation, and statistical or generative downscaling to make forecasts and high-resolution projections more useful and less costly. These tools support questions from extreme-event risk and carbon fluxes to regional water, heat, and glacier change. A central challenge is balancing speed and fine detail with physical consistency, reliable uncertainty estimates, and performance under conditions unlike the training data.

Latest papers

CardsList

62 papers3 papers in the last four weeks, down 40% on the four weeks before. 0.0% of all new papers.

  1. AI Emulation of Stochastic Sudden Stratospheric Warming with Interpretable Latent Structure

    Oct 1, 2026C. Daniel Boscu, Daniel Hernandez, Fabio Alvarez Ventura +4Dynamical SystemsSurrogate Modeling

  2. Strategic Governance of AI Models in Earth Science

    Oct 1, 2026Makoto Kelp, Amirhossein Arzani, Patricia Castellanos +6AI Safety EvaluationClimate Modeling

  3. Who Warmed the Archives? LLMs Overestimate Historical Warmth

    Sep 27, 2026Claudiu Creanga, Liviu P. DinuLLM Information ExtractionLanguage Model Bias Evaluation

  4. Lightweight Probabilistic Downscaling from a Deterministic Base Model

    Sep 24, 2026Joseph McLean, Tiffany Vlaar, Sigrid Passano Hellan +1Climate ScienceU-Net

  5. Optimizing Geoengineering Interventions Using Differentiable Climate Models

    Sep 11, 2026Pulkit Dubey, Dorian S. Abbot, Ashesh ChattopadhyayClimate ScienceClimate Modeling

  6. Automated Detection and Structuring of Social Tipping Point Evidence in Climate related Documents: A Modular AI Framework

    Sep 10, 2026Kavindu Perera, Mohammad Abaeiani, Ekaterina Gilman +14Climate ScienceDocument Information Extraction

  7. Supraglacial Lake Fate Is Knowable Long Before the Season Ends

    Aug 31, 2026Emam Hossain, Md Osman GaniTime Series ClassificationClimate Science

  8. UHI-Bench: Benchmarking Dual-Source Urban Heat Island Modeling Across Cities in Diverse Climate Regimes

    Aug 24, 2026Wanyun Ling, Chenxi Liu, Yi Xie +3Benchmark DesignClimate Science

  9. Developing an Offshore Machine Learning Surface Layer Scheme

    Aug 14, 2026Susan Dettling, Sue Ellen Haupt, Thomas Brummet +3Neural Surrogate ModelingClimate Science

  10. Stochastic Emulation of a Fully Coupled Preindustrial E3SMv3 Simulation

    Aug 10, 2026Elynn Wu, James P. C. Duncan, Troy Arcomano +11Surrogate ModelingClimate Science

  11. Deep Learning-Based Statistical Downscaling of Sea Surface Temperature Using a Residual Corrective Neural Network

    Aug 9, 2026Onkar Jadhav, Tim French, Ivica Janekovic +2Climate ScienceResidual Learning

  12. Transferable Dual-Stream Representations for Mesoscale-Preserving Sea Surface Temperature Downscaling

    Aug 4, 2026Parth Doshi, Priyanka Aravindan, Vaishnav Vaidheeswaran +2Geospatial Representation LearningClimate Science

  13. Probabilistic Deep Learning for Drought Forecasting: Role of Internal Climate Variability

    Aug 3, 2026Henri Funk, Cornelia Gruber, Göran Kauermann +2Climate ScienceTime Series Forecasting

  14. A Spatial Persistence Gradient in European Warming Consistent with North Atlantic Cold-Blob Influence

    Jul 28, 2026Mauricio Herrera-Marín, Alex Godoy-Faúndez, Diego RiveraClimate ScienceLong-Range Dependency Modeling

  15. Physics-Informed Neural Networks for Predicting Nitrous Oxide Flux

    Jul 26, 2026Freddy Yu, Jashanjeet Kaur Dhaliwal, Subhadeep ChakrabortyClimate SciencePhysics-Informed ML

  16. NIVA: A Multimodal Foundation Model for Actionable Earth System Intelligence

    Jun 26, 2026Anisha Pal, Aodhan Sweeney, Kyle Heyblom +1Climate ScienceMultimodal Pretraining

  17. Reconstructing GRACE Terrestrial Water Storage with Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks: An Application to South America

    Jun 22, 2026Lukas Arzoumanidis, Lara Johannsen, Klara Middendorf +2Climate ScienceHydrology

  18. ARCO-Mars: A Unified Cloud-Optimized Archive of Mars Atmosphere Reanalysis

    Jun 19, 2026Ananyo BhattacharyaClimate Science

  19. Investigating Inductive Biases for Machine Learning Emulation of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings in Idealised Isca Simulations

    Jun 17, 2026Oskar Bohn Lassen, Simon Driscoll, Stephen I. Thomson +2Neural Surrogate ModelingClimate Science

  20. ThousandWorlds: A benchmark for climate emulation of potentially habitable exoplanets

    Jun 16, 2026Edward T. Stevenson, Mei Ting Mak, Eric Wolf +4Surrogate ModelingClimate Science

  21. CMIP-Forge: An Agentic System that Retrieves, Computes, and Self-Reviews Climate Science

    Jun 10, 2026Dmitrii Pantiukhin, Boris Shapkin, Ivan Kuznetsov +2Climate ScienceClimate Modeling

  22. Scalable Deep Learning Framework for Global High-Resolution Land Use Reconstruction

    Jun 10, 2026Amirpasha Mozaffari, Marina Castaño, Stefano Materia +7Neural Surrogate ModelingClimate Science

  23. MMClima: A Framework for Multimodal Climate Science Data and Evaluation

    Jun 8, 2026Muhammad Umer Sheikh, Hassan Abid, Khawar Shehzad +2Climate ScienceScientific QA

  24. Temporal Coverage over Density: Parsimonious Training-Set Design for ML Climate Downscaling

    Jun 5, 2026Karandeep Singh, Stefan Rahimi, Chad W. Thackeray +2Surrogate ModelingClimate Science

  25. Evaluating Skill and Stability of ArchesWeather and ArchesWeatherGen under Multi-Decadal Climate Simulations

    May 28, 2026Renu Singh, Robert Brunstein, Antonia Jost +5Climate ScienceClimate Modeling

  26. Samudra 2: Scaling Ocean Emulators across Resolutions

    May 24, 2026Yuan Yuan, Jesse Rusak, Alexander Merose +5Neural Surrogate ModelingClimate Science

  27. No Epoch Like the Present: Robust Climate Emulation Requires Out-of-Distribution Generalisation

    May 21, 2026Bradley Stanley-Clamp, Anson Lei, Hannah M. Christensen +1Distribution Shift RobustnessClimate Science

  28. Deep Learning Surrogates for Emulating Stochastic Climate Tipping Dynamics

    May 20, 2026Adeline Hillier, Jennifer Sleeman, Jay Brett +3Time Series TransformersMultivariate Time Series Forecasting