HiPPO Functional Memory: Coordinate-Queryable Attention for Irregular Time Series

Representing the past in a compressed, efficient, and informative manner is a central problem for systems trained on sequential data. The HiPPO framework, originally proposed by Gu & Dao et al., provides a principled approach to sequential compression by projecting signals onto orthogonal polynomial (OP) bases via structured linear ordinary differential equations. Subsequent works have embedded these dynamics in state space models (SSMs), where HiPPO structure serves as an initialization. Nonlinear successors of these SSM methods such as Mamba are state-of-the-art for many tasks with long-range dependencies, but the mechanisms by which they represent and prioritize history remain largely implicit. In this work, we revisit the HiPPO framework with the goal of making these mechanisms explicit. We show how polynomial representations of history can be extended to support capabilities of modern SSMs such as adaptive memory allocation and associative memory, while retaining direct interpretability in the OP basis. We introduce a unified framework comprising five such extensions, which we collectively refer to as a "HiPPO zoo." Each extension exposes a specific modeling capability through an explicit, interpretable modification of the HiPPO framework. The resulting models adapt their memory online and train in streaming settings with efficient updates. We illustrate the behaviors and modeling advantages of these extensions through a range of synthetic sequence modeling tasks, demonstrating that capabilities typically associated with modern SSMs can be realized through explicit, interpretable polynomial memory structures.

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have recently delivered impressive zero-shot performance across diverse forecasting tasks. However, real-world decision-making frequently relies on irregular multivariate time series (IMTS), where inconsistent inter-observation intervals and asynchronous sampling across variables coexist with informative missingness. Existing TSFMs handle such inputs either through imputation that injects spurious values or through index-based positional encodings that ignore continuous time. There is still a gap in the foundation model that follows the original IMTS patterns. In this paper, we propose a hybrid attention model that learns a unified time-aware patch representation for IMTS forecasting. We first design a time-aware patch encoding that maps a variable number of intra-patch timestamps into a fixed-size embedding, producing a uniform format for irregular patches without resorting to imputation. We then introduce a time bias attention mechanism that calibrates inter-patch temporal misalignment and asynchronous cross-channel dependencies as auxiliary attention offset. Finally, on top of a decoder-only Transformer backbone, we adopt a hybrid causal mask that preserves a bidirectional full view over the historical context while keeping the forecast horizon strictly autoregressive. To support large-scale pretraining under irregular settings, we also curate VersaTSA, an archive of $30$B observations that retains the native sampling sparsity of its sources. Experiments on three IMTS benchmarks and a standard regular-MTS benchmark show that our model achieves state-of-the-art zero-shot performance on IMTS and remains competitive when transferred to regular forecasting.

Irregular multivariate time series forecasting is a challenging yet important problem in real-world applications, where observations are often irregularly sampled and asynchronously recorded across variables. Existing time series foundation models are mostly built on regularly sampled sequences, making them difficult to generalize to irregular time intervals and asynchronous cross-variable dependencies. To address these challenges, we propose QiYao-I, a manifold based foundation model for irregular multivariate time series forecasting. Specifically, we introduce a novel sampling-conditioned temporal manifold attention mechanism that maps real timestamps into a learnable temporal manifold feature space and injects temporal manifold biases into attention layers, enabling the model to capture both irregular time intervals and local sampling structures. Further, we propose a dynamic variable interaction mechanism with frequency awareness. It selectively performs cross-variable message passing under asynchronous observations. Extensive experiments on real-world irregular multivariate forecasting benchmarks demonstrate that QiYao-I achieves superior performance compared with both time series foundation models and end-to-end irregular forecasting models, showing strong generalization ability in zero-shot and few-shot settings.