q-bio.QMOct 19, 2026

EMBER: Predicting TCR--pMHC Binding Without a Docked Complex

Authors: Lin Ha, Chen Zhou, Haozheng Luo, Han Liu, Xiaoyu Zhang, Yan Chen

Organizations: Northwestern University

Abstract

We propose EMBER, a structure-based framework for TCR--pMHC binding prediction that eliminates the need for a predicted docked complex, and with it the placement error that dominates such predictions. Traditional structure-based predictors utilize the co-folded complex structure of the receptor and the antigen and interpret binding from its contact surface. Consequently, every downstream feature inherits any deviation the structure-prediction tool introduced. Methodologically, EMBER folds the TCR and pMHC independently, encodes them as SE(3)-invariant residue graphs, and compares their learned representations without constructing a shared coordinate frame. A relative pose is therefore not an input of the model, so placement error cannot propagate into the prediction. Computationally, EMBER preprocesses O(N+M)O(N{+}M) monomer folds where a complex-based predictor needs O(NM)O(NM) operations. Experimentally, under epitope-disjoint evaluation with six retrained baselines, EMBER is first on every metric under all four folding tools, by 0.9 to 14.4% in micro-AUROC, 18.5 to 25.3% in micro-AUPRC and 10.6 to 24.1% in MCC. Its ranking is also up to 85% more stable across folding tools.

Explore similar work

Jun 29, 2026

Structure-Regularized Interpretable TCR-Epitope Prediction

T cell receptor (TCR)-epitope binding prediction is essential for understanding adaptive immunity and developing immunotherapies. Existing sequence- and structure-based models often generalize poorly to unseen epitopes and provide limited interpretability. Furthermore, the impact of generated structures on model learning remains unclear. We present TCR-SRIM, a structure-regularized interpretable-by-design model that combines protein language model embeddings with interpretable contact prototypes to capture residue-level TCR-epitope interactions. TCR-SRIM achieves state-of-the-art predictive performance and improved interpretation quality on the TCR-XAI benchmark. Using its inherent interpretability, we further evaluate the effect of generated structures on model learning. While structures predicted by AlphaFold3, TCRModel2, and tFold-TCR yield competitive performance, they lead to less accurate interaction patterns and reduced binding-site diversity than experimentally-resolved structures. Our results highlight limitations of current structure prediction models for TCR-epitope learning and demonstrate the value of interpretable-by-design models for studying generated biological structures.
Mar 27, 2026

ImmSET: Sequence-Based Predictor of TCR-pMHC Specificity at Scale

T cells are a critical component of the adaptive immune system, playing a role in infectious disease, autoimmunity, and cancer. T cell function is mediated by the T cell receptor (TCR) protein, a highly diverse receptor targeting specific peptides presented by the major histocompatibility complex (pMHCs). Predicting the specificity of TCRs for their cognate pMHCs is central to understanding adaptive immunity and enabling personalized therapies. However, accurate prediction of this protein-protein interaction remains challenging due to the extreme diversity of both TCRs and pMHCs. Here, we present ImmSET (Immune Synapse Encoding Transformer), a novel sequence-based architecture designed to model interactions among sets of variable-length biological sequences. We train this model across a range of dataset sizes and compositions and study the resulting models' generalization to pMHC targets. We describe a failure mode in prior sequence-based approaches that inflates previously reported performance on this task and show that ImmSET remains robust under stricter evaluation. In systematically testing the scaling behavior of ImmSET with training data, we show that performance scales consistently with data volume across multiple data types and compares favorably with the pre-trained protein language model ESM2 fine-tuned on the same datasets. Finally, we demonstrate that ImmSET can outperform AlphaFold2 and AlphaFold3-based pipelines on TCR-pMHC specificity prediction when provided sufficient training data. This work establishes ImmSET as a scalable modeling paradigm for multi-sequence interaction problems, demonstrated in the TCR-pMHC setting but generalizable to other biological domains where high-throughput sequence-driven reasoning complements structure prediction and experimental mapping.
Apr 14, 2026

Counterfactual Peptide Editing for Causal TCR--pMHC Binding Inference

Neural models for TCR-pMHC binding prediction are susceptible to shortcut learning: they exploit spurious correlations in training data -- such as peptide length bias or V-gene co-occurrence -- rather than the physical binding interface. This renders predictions brittle under family-held-out and distance-aware evaluation, where such shortcuts do not transfer. We introduce Counterfactual Invariant Prediction (CIP), a training framework that generates biologically constrained counterfactual peptide edits and enforces invariance to edits at non-anchor positions while amplifying sensitivity at MHC anchor residues. CIP augments the base classifier with two auxiliary objectives: (1) an invariance loss penalizing prediction changes under conservative non-anchor substitutions, and (2) a contrastive loss encouraging large prediction changes under anchor-position disruptions. Evaluated on a curated VDJdb-IEDB benchmark under family-held-out, distance-aware, and random splits, CIP achieves AUROC 0.831 and counterfactual consistency (CFC) 0.724 under the challenging family-held-out protocol -- a 39.7% reduction in shortcut index relative to the unconstrained baseline. Ablations confirm that anchor-aware edit generation is the dominant driver of OOD gains, providing a practical recipe for causally-grounded TCR specificity modeling.