Accuracy and efficiency of compact foundation models for surface-water mapping during floods

Timely, high-resolution maps of flood extent around settlements are essential for emergency response and damage assessment. We consider airborne RGB imagery for flood mapping as it can be collected rapidly at low cost. To produce flood maps, deep learning models for water segmentation are often used. CNN based and small vision transformer models are used. However, they need much data for adaptation to a change of scenery, i.e., another flooding event. Vision foundation models or large vision transformers are known to generalize across domains. Recently, foundation models for Earth observation became available. They are pretrained on satellite data, whose spatial resolution, viewing geometry, and radiometry differ from nadir RGB imagery. Thus, adaptation is required. We investigate how a satellite-pretrained Earth observation foundation model can be adapted to centimeter-scale floodwater mapping from RGB imagery. Specifically, we fine-tune a model we call Prithvi-2.0-UPN consisting of the Prithvi-EO-2.0-600M Vision Transformer combined with a UPerNet decoder for binary water segmentation on two RGB datasets (BlessemFlood21, NeuenahrFlood). In a first experiment we observe that Prithvi-2.0-UPN reaches state-of-the-art results on BlessemFlood21 and NeuenahrFlood, when trained on their datasets. In a second experiment we show that Prithvi-2.0-UPN performs better than state-of-the-art baseline models for transfer to a new flood event (trained on BlessemFlood21, tested on NeuenahrFlood) in a zero-shot setting. However, the performance indicates room for improvement. In this respect, we investigate in a third experiment how performance improves when further fine-tuning the models with small shares of NeuenahrFlood training data: Prithvi-2.0-UPN improves the fastest and reaches almost the performance level when fully trained on NeuenahrFlood, indicating transfer capabilities.

Geospatial foundation models can provide strong flood-segmentation performance, but their size limits deployment on memory-constrained edge hardware. We distill a 300-million-parameter Prithvi-EO-2.0 teacher, fine-tuned on the 252 manually labeled Sen1Floods11 training scenes, into a 0.7-million-parameter EfficientViT-B0 student. The teacher supervises additional unlabeled Sentinel-2 imagery, allowing the student training set to grow without new manual annotations. At the matched budget of 252 scenes, teacher-supervised training is competitive with direct training and improves STURM-Flood performance across tested configurations; a geometry-matched control shows that label source alone does not explain the difference. Scaling the teacher-supervised pool to 2,500 scenes narrows the remaining student--teacher gap: the float student reaches 0.787 water intersection over union on the Sen1Floods11 test split against 0.822 for the teacher, matches the teacher on STURM-Flood under our evaluation protocol, and remains below it on WorldFloods-v2. After activation replacement and quantization-aware training, the student runs as a 1.5-megabyte 8-bit integer (INT8) TensorRT engine on a Jetson Xavier NX at 5.57 milliseconds of graphics processing unit (GPU) compute per 512-by-512 image, with approximately 14 megabytes of runtime device memory. A fixed modified normalized difference water index (MNDWI) threshold is competitive with both models on the two clean external benchmarks, so we interpret those benchmarks as generalization tests rather than as evidence of learned-model superiority over a spectral rule. The results support the conclusion: foundation-model supervision can amplify a fixed manual annotation budget into a substantially larger training set and yield a compact, deployable edge model.

Floods are among the most destructive natural hazards, and their increasing frequency under climate change makes satellite-based inundation mapping essential for disaster response. Geospatial foundation models pretrained on satellite archives offer geographic transferability, but their operational reliability across diverse, unseen events remains uncharacterized. Here we deploy Prithvi-EO-2.0 across 19 out-of-distribution flood events (2017-2025) spanning six continents, eight climate zones, and six flood mechanisms, validating against two independent reference products. Detection accuracy depended jointly on land cover and flood type, with cropland yielding the highest agreement (IoU=52%) and riverine events the strongest detection (F1=0.69), while tree cover and built-up areas showed near-zero detection (IoU=4%) regardless of flood mechanism. Dual-reference validation revealed that apparent model error partly reflects definitional inconsistency between reference products rather than detection failure. Iterative pipeline testing identified 23 failure modes, with pipeline engineering dominating initial error over model capacity. These findings establish environment-dependent detection boundaries for operational satellite flood mapping.