Bayesian RL

Deep Bayesian reinforcement learning adapts to unseen tasks by inferring latent transition and reward models, but existing methods typically rely on variational posteriors and evidence lower bounds, introducing approximation error and unstable task representations. We introduce GLiBRL, a deep Bayesian RL framework that combines generalised linear task models with learnable non-linear basis functions. GLiBRL features conjugate Bayesian inference, yielding exact, sequential posterior updates over task parameters and model noise, together with a closed-form marginal likelihood that eliminates variational inference. The update is naturally permutation-invariant, allowing GLiBRL to integrate with both off- and on-policy algorithms. GLiBRL also learns task representation admitting an exact kernel identity, relating distances between task representations to kernel discrepancies over the task contexts. Compared against eight representative or recent meta reinforcement learning methods, GLiBRL achieves the highest aggregate zero-shot test performance on both the MuJoCo locomotion and MetaWorld manipulation benchmarks.

Reinforcement learning (RL) provides a principled framework for decision-making in partially observable environments, which can be modeled as Markov decision processes and compactly represented through dynamic decision Bayesian networks. Recent advances demonstrate that inference on sparse Bayesian networks can be accelerated using quantum rejection sampling combined with amplitude amplification, leading to a computational speedup in estimating acceptance probabilities. Building on this result, we introduce Quantum Bayesian Reinforcement Learning (QBRL), a hybrid quantum-classical look-ahead algorithm for model-based RL in partially observable environments. We present a rigorous, oracle-free time complexity analysis under fault-tolerant assumptions for the quantum device. Unlike standard treatments that assume a black-box oracle, we explicitly specify the inference process, allowing our bounds to more accurately reflect the true computational cost. We show that, for environments whose dynamics form a sparse Bayesian network, horizon-based near-optimal planning can be achieved sub-quadratically faster through quantum-enhanced belief updates. On the other hand, we show that there is no quantum speed-up for environments that are either fully observable, or characterized by Bayesian networks whose maximum in-degree is not small. Furthermore, we present numerical experiments benchmarking QBRL against its classical counterpart on simple yet illustrative decision-making tasks. Our results offer a detailed analysis of how the quantum computational advantage translates into decision-making performance, highlighting that the magnitude of the advantage can vary significantly across different deployment settings.

Offline RL (ORL) promises safe and sample-efficient deployment but existing methods rely on undocumented online interactions for hyperparameter tuning and lack reliable fully offline estimates of initial online performance. We introduce SOReL, a fully offline Bayesian model-based RL method that learns a posterior over dynamics, estimates policy value via predictive uncertainty, and enables complete offline hyperparameter selection. We further propose TOReL, which extends this tuning framework to arbitrary model-free and model-based ORL algorithms. We provide a regret analysis showing that Bayesian offline RL achieves the minimax-optimal parametric rate under standard regularity conditions. Together, our methods establish a practical and theoretically grounded framework for fully offline RL.

This paper develops a framework for learning in discounted infinite-horizon Markov decision processes (MDPs) with Borel state and action spaces, whose rewards and transitions depend on an unknown parameter.To analyze sampling-based adaptive learning algorithms in this setting, we introduce a canonical probability space that explicitly incorporates sampled parameters into the history of the process. As a performance criterion, we adopt the per-period suboptimality gap used in discounted-MDP regret analysis and specialize it to our parametrized Bayesian setting. Since this quantity captures the remaining loss in future performance from the current period onward, we refer to it as residual regret. We use the expected residual regret to connect discounted-MDP regret analysis with asymptotic discount optimality from adaptive control and the temporal-difference error perspective from reinforcement learning. We then focus on Thompson sampling (TS) in discounted infinite-horizon MDPs. Under assumptions that extend those used in prior work on finite state and action spaces to the Borel setting, we show that the expected residual regret for TS converges to zero exponentially fast. We further show that, under mild conditions ensuring the existence of the relevant limits, the ample-path residual regret converges to zero almost surely and TS achieves complete learning.

Efficiently tackling multiple tasks within complex environments, such as those found in robot manipulation, remains an ongoing challenge in robotics and an opportunity for data-driven solutions such as reinforcement learning (RL). The high cost of data gathering in robotics encourages data-efficient approaches such as model-based RL, which builds a dynamic model of the robot to conduct most policy learning on cheaper simulations, while enabling data reuse and transfer between tasks. In this work, we employ Bayesian deep learning (BDL) with a double purpose. First, we increase the model quality by improving its calibration. Second, we improve data efficiency by performing active learning of the dynamic model during a preliminary exploration phase, actively estimating the information gain of each transition and using it as the exploration reward. We compare several BDL methods in a realistic robot manipulation setup. Our experiments show that our approach matches the quality of relevant alternatives with much lower robot execution requirements and, unlike previous studies validated only on standard RL environments, we tackle robotic arm end-tasks on a complete manipulator simulator such as CoppeliaSim. Code is available at https://github.com/ropertunizar/BayesianActiveExploration.