Overview

Probabilistic programming lets users describe generative models as programs, then compute posterior, predictive, or counterfactual quantities without hand-coding every inference step. Systems use exact methods such as weighted model counting for finite probabilistic logic, and approximate methods such as MCMC, Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, variational inference, and gradient estimators for larger or continuous models. Work also applies these methods to causal and neurosymbolic reasoning, dynamical systems, and language-model-generated Bayesian models, with predictive checks and calibration helping validate programs beyond whether they compile. A central tension is scaling inference while preserving sound semantics and reliable uncertainty: continuous models face dimensionality costs, and model selection can be sensitive to parameterization and misspecification.

Latest papers

CardsList

20 papers0 papers in the last four weeks, against 2 the four weeks before. 0.0% of all new papers.

  1. Induction and Inquiry via Probabilistic Reasoning over Language and Code

    Sep 1, 2026Wasu Top Piriyakulkij, Sam Acquaviva, Cassidy Langenfeld +2Cognitive ModelingActive Learning

  2. Sample-Smooth Spaces: A Convenient Category for Differentiable Probabilistic Programming

    Aug 14, 2026Patrick ForréProbabilistic Programming

  3. Foundations of MT-PDCL: Measure-Theoretic Probabilistic Definite Clause Logic

    Aug 13, 2026Costin Bădică, Amelia BădicăProbabilistic LogicLogic Programming

  4. LazyHMC: Hamiltonian Monte Carlo Simulation for Lazy, Infinite Dimensional Probabilistic Programs

    Aug 9, 2026Maria-Nicoleta Crăciun, C. -H. Luke Ong, Tom Schrijvers +1Markov Chain Monte CarloAutomatic Differentiation

  5. From probability to causality in probabilistic logic programming

    Aug 7, 2026Zora Wurm, Kilian Rückschloß, Felix WeitkämperProbabilistic LogicCausal Structure Learning

  6. PPDL: LLM-Based Flows as Probabilistic Programs

    Aug 5, 2026Louis Mandel, Guillaume Baudart, Mandana Vaziri +1LLM InferenceLLM Reliability

  7. How Rules Represent Causal Knowledge: Causal Modeling with Probabilistic Logic Programming

    Jul 23, 2026Kilian Rueckschloss, Felix WeitkaemperProbabilistic LogicLogic Programming

  8. GradInf: Gradient Estimation as Probabilistic Inference

    Jul 8, 2026Gaurav Arya, Mathieu Huot, Moritz Schauer +2Probabilistic Programming

  9. Calibration, Not Compilation: Detecting and Repairing Misspecified Probabilistic Programs Written by Language Models

    Jun 30, 2026Jian Xu, Delu Zeng, John Paisley +1Automated Program RepairBayesian Inference

  10. The CRISTAL Method: Neurosymbolic analysis from AI-synthesized world models

    Jun 29, 2026Rafael Kaufmann, Felix Neubürger, Michael Walters +2Neuro-Symbolic AIProbabilistic Programming

  11. NeSyCat Torch: A Differentiable Tensor Implementation of Categorical Semantics for Neurosymbolic Learning

    Jun 17, 2026Daniel Romero Schellhorn, Till Mossakowski, Björn GehrkeNeuro-Symbolic ReasoningNeurosymbolic Learning

  12. Dynestyx: A Probabilistic Programming Library for Dynamical Systems

    Jun 15, 2026Daniel Waxman, Dmitry Batenkov, John Feser +4Dynamical SystemsParameter Estimation

  13. Using Probabilistic Programs to Train Inductive Reasoning in Large Language Models

    May 26, 2026Liyi Zhang, Akshay K. Jagadish, Brenden M. Lake +1Language Model CalibrationLLM Uncertainty Estimation

  14. AI4BayesCode: From Natural Language Descriptions to Validated Modular Stateful Bayesian Samplers

    May 18, 2026Jungang Zou, Alex Ziyu Jiang, Qixuan ChenMarkov Chain Monte CarloBayesian Inference

  15. Probabilistic Programs of Thought

    Apr 19, 2026Poorva Garg, Renato Lui Geh, Daniel Israel +3LLM-Based Program SynthesisEfficient Language Model Reasoning

  16. AutoStan: Autonomous Bayesian Model Improvement via Predictive Feedback

    Mar 29, 2026Oliver DürrProbabilistic ProgrammingBayesian Inference

  17. Likelihood Hacking in Probabilistic Program Synthesis

    Mar 25, 2026Jacek Karwowski, Younesse Kaddar, Zihuiwen Ye +2Probabilistic ProgrammingLLM-Based Program Synthesis

  18. Efficient Counterfactual Reasoning in ProbLog via Single World Intervention Programs

    Mar 20, 2026Saimun Habib, Vaishak Belle, Fengxiang HeCounterfactual ReasoningProbabilistic Programming