Statistical Learning Theory

Overview

Statistical learning theory asks when a learner can infer rules that work beyond its training data, and quantifies sample complexity, prediction error, and limits on what can be learned. Classical tools include VC and Littlestone dimensions, covering numbers, Rademacher complexity, stability, PAC-Bayes bounds, and minimax analysis; these provide guarantees for empirical risk minimization, online learning, kernels, and robust or private learning. Current work also studies high-dimensional and overparameterized regression, including interpolation and double descent, neural networks and Transformers, and learning under distribution shift, dependence, partial labels, or adaptive data. An enduring tension is that statistically optimal rates may be computationally unattainable, while guarantees for modern architectures often rely on idealized assumptions and may not explain practical optimization.

Latest papers

CardsList

584 papers79 papers in the last four weeks, up 58% on the four weeks before. 0.5% of all new papers.

  1. Decentralized Machine Learning with Centralized Performance Guarantees via Gibbs Algorithms

    Apr 22, 2026Yaiza Bermudez, Samir M. Perlaza, Iñaki EsnaolaDecentralized LearningStatistical Learning Theory

  2. SMART: A Spectral Transfer Approach to Multi-Task Learning

    Apr 22, 2026Boxin Zhao, Mladen Kolar, Jinchi LvMulti-Task LearningTransfer Learning

  3. Separating Geometry from Probability in the Analysis of Generalization

    Apr 21, 2026Maxim Raginsky, Benjamin RechtStatistical Learning TheorySensitivity Analysis

  4. Revisiting Active Sequential Prediction-Powered Mean Estimation

    Apr 20, 2026Maria-Eleni Sfyraki, Jun-Kun WangParameter EstimationActive Learning

  5. On the Generalization Bounds of Symbolic Regression with Genetic Programming

    Apr 19, 2026Masahiro Nomura, Ryoki Hamano, Isao OnoGenetic ProgrammingStatistical Learning Theory

  6. PAC-Bayes Bounds for Gibbs Posteriors via Singular Learning Theory

    Apr 19, 2026Chenyang Wang, Yun YangNeural Network GeneralizationPAC-Bayesian Generalization Bounds

  7. PRIM-cipal components analysis

    Apr 16, 2026Tianhao Liu, Daniel Andrés Díaz-Pachón, J. Sunil RaoUnsupervised LearningPrincipal Component Analysis

  8. MinShap: A Modified Shapley Value Approach for Feature Selection

    Apr 16, 2026Chenghui Zheng, Garvesh RaskuttiShapley Value AttributionFeature Selection

  9. Tight Bounds for Learning Polyhedra with a Margin

    Apr 16, 2026Shyamal Patel, Santosh VempalaMargin-Based LearningPAC Learning

  10. SMART Fine-tuning Factor Augmented Neural Lasso

    Apr 14, 2026Jinhang Chai, Jianqing Fan, Cheng Gao +1Fine-TuningTransfer Learning

  11. Generalization Guarantees on Data-Driven Tuning of Gradient Descent with Langevin Updates

    Apr 13, 2026Saumya Goyal, Rohith Rongali, Ritabrata Ray +1Meta-LearningGradient Descent

  12. Learning to Adapt: In-Context Learning Beyond Stationarity

    Apr 13, 2026Zhen Qin, Jiachen Jiang, Zhihui ZhuIn-Context LearningGated Attention

  13. Exact Finite-Sample Variance Decomposition of Subagging: A Spectral Filtering Perspective

    Apr 12, 2026Ye Su, Mingrui Ye, Yining Wang +2Ensemble LearningStatistical Learning Theory

  14. Finite-Sample Analysis of Nonlinear Independent Component Analysis:Sample Complexity and Identifiability Bounds

    Apr 10, 2026Yuwen JiangQuery IdentifiabilityIndependent Component Analysis

  15. A Transport Geometry of Benign Overfitting

    Apr 9, 2026Olaf Yunus Laitinen Imanov, Rana Irem Turhan, Isgandar JafarliBenign OverfittingStatistical Learning Theory

  16. The Theory and Practice of Highly Scalable Gaussian Process Regression with Nearest Neighbours

    Apr 8, 2026Robert Allison, Tomasz Maciazek, Anthony StephensonGaussian Process RegressionNonparametric Regression

  17. How Does Machine Learning Manage Complexity?

    Apr 8, 2026Lance FortnowStatistical Learning Theory

  18. Conformal Margin Risk Minimization: An Envelope Framework for Robust Learning under Label Noise

    Apr 7, 2026Yuanjie Shi, Peihong Li, Zijian Zhang +2Margin-Based LearningLearning with Noisy Labels

  19. Efficient machine unlearning with minimax optimality

    Apr 7, 2026Jingyi Xie, Linjun Zhang, Sai LiMachine UnlearningStatistical Learning Theory

  20. A Theoretical Framework for Statistical Evaluability of Generative Models

    Apr 7, 2026Shashaank Aiyer, Yishay Mansour, Shay Moran +1Generative AI EvaluationStatistical Learning Theory

  21. Learning from Equivalence Queries, Revisited

    Apr 6, 2026Mark Braverman, Roi Livni, Yishay Mansour +2Bandit LearningConcept Learning

  22. Conformal Risk Control under Non-Monotone Losses: Theory and Finite-Sample Guarantees

    Apr 2, 2026Tareq Aldirawi, Yun Li, Wenge GuoConformal Risk ControlStatistical Learning Theory

  23. Unbounded Density Ratio Estimation and Its Application to Covariate Shift Adaptation

    Mar 31, 2026Ren-Rui Liu, Jun Fan, Lei Shi +1Density Ratio EstimationStatistical Learning Theory

  24. On the Asymptotics of Self-Supervised Pre-training: Two-Stage M-Estimation and Representation Symmetry

    Mar 29, 2026Mohammad Tinati, Stephen TuSelf-Supervised Pre-TrainingInvariant Representation Learning

  25. Residual-as-Teacher: Mitigating Bias Propagation in Student--Teacher Estimation

    Mar 26, 2026Kakei Yamamoto, Martin J. WainwrightStatistical Learning TheoryKnowledge Distillation

  26. Uniform Laws of Large Numbers in Product Spaces

    Mar 25, 2026Ron Holzman, Shay Moran, Alexander ShlimovichVC DimensionStatistical Learning Theory

  27. On Gossip Algorithms for Machine Learning with Pairwise Objectives

    Mar 25, 2026Igor Colin, Aurélien Bellet, Stephan Clémençon +1U-StatisticsDecentralized Optimization