Temporal Reasoning in Language Models

Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly being deployed to make decisions that require trading off near-term gains against long-term consequences, yet little is known about how they internally represent or resolve these tradeoffs. In this work, we causally localize an underlying subgraph for temporal preference in a distilled LLM (Qwen3-4B-Instruct-2507), identifying mid-to-upper-layer nodes through converging evidence from gradient-based attribution and activation patching. We find that the geometry of time horizon is encoded in the residual stream at the expected localized layers. A behavioral analysis reveals that unintervened LLMs discount the future several times less steeply than humans, yet this preference is unstable across contexts, motivating explicit control rather than implicit reliance on training. Finally, we find suggestive evidence that steering vectors can shift temporal preference. Our work demonstrates how mechanistic interpretability can bring us closer to reliable control over how LLMs plan and reason

The Arrow-of-Time (AoT) task, determining whether a video plays forward or backward by recognizing temporal irreversibility, is one humans solve with near-perfect accuracy, yet frontier Video Large Language Models (Video-LLMs) perform only modestly above chance. This gap raises a key question: do visual backbones fail to encode temporal information, or does information bottleneck lie elsewhere in the Video-LLM architecture? We address this question by isolating the vision encoder from the Video-LLM and tracing temporal information across the encoder, projector, and LLM. We find that video-centric encoders with explicit temporal modeling encode strong temporal signals, whereas frame-centric encoders do not. However, when video-centric representations are passed through a standard Video-LLM architecture, performance often collapses, revealing a bottleneck of temporal information flow. We identify projector design as a key factor: Q-Former disrupts temporal information, while a time-preserved MLP projection substantially improves the LLM's access to such information. Our layer-wise analysis further shows temporal representation dynamics across encoder layers. Guided by these findings, we build a Video-LLM with temporal-aware video-centric encoder, time-preserved projector, and AoT supervision, surpassing human performance on AoT$_{PPB}$ with 98.1% accuracy, and improving broader temporal reasoning tasks by up to 6.0 points on VITATECS-Direction and 1.3 points on TVBench. Our results show that temporal reasoning in Video-LLMs requires both effective temporal encoding and reliable transfer of this information to the LLM.

Language models are increasingly deployed in interactive settings where users reason about facts over time rather than in isolation. In such scenarios, correct behavior requires models to maintain and update implicit temporal assumptions established earlier in a conversation. We study this challenge through the lens of temporal scope stability: the ability to preserve, override, or transfer time-scoped factual context across dialogue turns. We introduce ChronoScope, a large-scale diagnostic benchmark designed to isolate temporal scope behavior in controlled multi-turn interactions, comprising over one million deterministically generated question chains grounded in Wikidata. ChronoScope evaluates whether models can correctly retain inferred temporal scope when follow-up questions omit explicit time references, spanning implicit carryover, explicit scope switching, cross-entity transfer, and longer temporal trajectories. Through extensive evaluation of state-of-the-art language models, we find that temporal scope stability is frequently violated in controlled multi-turn settings, with models often drifting toward present-day assumptions despite correct underlying knowledge. These failures intensify with interaction length and persist even under oracle context conditions, revealing a gap between single-turn factual accuracy and coherent temporal reasoning under sequential interaction. We make our dataset and evaluation suite publicly available at https://github.com/yashkumaratri/ChronoScope

Time Series Language Models (TSLMs) promise reasoning over real-world temporal data, but their ability to retrieve and reason over long time-series remains largely untested. We introduce TS-Haystack, a multi-domain retrieval benchmark with ten event-grounded question-answering tasks over contexts from 100 seconds to 24 hours, spanning direct retrieval, temporal reasoning, multi-step reasoning, and contextual anomaly detection. Existing TSLMs exhibit severe long-context degradation: accuracy declines with context length, direct-tokenization models run out of memory beyond 100 seconds on high-rate signals, and time-interval-grounded tasks collapse toward near-zero accuracy when increasing the time-series lengths, aligning with existing literature on text and multi-modal long context retrieval. An agentic retrieval framework using specialized time-series classifier tools matches or outperforms SoTA TSLMs on 9 of 10 tasks, highlighting agentic retrieval as a promising approach for long-context TSLMs.

Tool use, such as web search, has become a standard capability even in freely available large language models (LLMs). However, existing benchmarks evaluate temporal reasoning mainly in static, non-tool-using settings, which poorly reflect how LLMs perform temporal reasoning in practice. We introduce Time Puzzles, a constraint-based date inference task for evaluating iterative temporal reasoning with tools. Each puzzle combines factual temporal anchors with (cross-cultural) calendar relations and may admit one or multiple valid dates. The puzzles are algorithmically generated, enabling controlled and continual evaluation. Across 13 LLMs, even the best model (GPT-5) achieves only 55.3% accuracy without tools, despite using easily searchable facts. While web search improves performance, models perform substantially better when constraints are rewritten with explicit dates, removing the need for factual lookup. These results reveal a gap in reliable tool use for iterative temporal reasoning.