Temporal Reasoning in Language Models
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9 papers in the last four weeks, up 50% on the four weeks before. 0.1% of all new papers.
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Long-running autonomous agents must reuse accumulated reasoning experience without allowing explicit historical memory and LLM context to grow indefinitely. However, existing memory mechanisms mainly retrieve, summarize, or compress past content and do not directly learn when particular kinds of thinking should be activated or discover new thinking knowledge from temporally dispersed experiences. This paper proposes a situation-conditioned thinking memory framework that transforms historical reasoning experience into a lightweight policy for predicting what should be thought about in the current situation, while leaving detailed reasoning to a large language model. Situations may represent temporal or spatiotemporal evolution rather than only current states. Temporary experiences are also periodically analyzed across multiple independent episodes to identify repeated long-range regularities, which are consolidated into new thinking knowledge and further internalized by the lightweight policy. Experiments show that the learned policy achieves 1.000 F1 on temporal-rule generalization, improves DeepSeek reasoning F1 from 0.789 to 0.868, reduces online processing time from 0.3636 ms to 0.0382 ms per query at 30,000 historical situations, and reaches 1.000 relation-discovery F1 and future-thinking accuracy after sufficient repeated cross-experience evidence.
A rubric landscape for evaluating clinical reasoning in large language models: what exists, what is missing, and what needs to be combined
Exam-style accuracy does not establish whether large language models (LLMs) reason well over clinical records. We define clinical reasoning as integrating and updating evidence across time and sources to form, revise and justify a patient's problem representation and a defensible plan. This structured narrative review maps three literatures: medical education assessment instruments, clinical LLM benchmarks published from 2023 onwards, and general-domain methods for evaluating long-form generation. We examine six dimensions: problem representation, temporal synthesis, differential and management reasoning, counterfactual reasoning, calibrated uncertainty, and reasoning faithfulness. Preprints are included and flagged. No single instrument covers all six dimensions. Problem representation and differential or management reasoning are reasonably covered, although reliability varies by instrument and setting. TIMER-Eval targets temporal synthesis, and ER-Reason assesses sequential diagnostic belief updating. Dedicated uncertainty and counterfactual evaluations are emerging, but their applicability to longitudinal free-text reasoning remains limited. Factual completeness is well theorised in general-domain evaluation, with early clinical evidence of important omissions. Faithfulness remains the weakest dimension, with one identified clinical causal-ablation study on multiple-choice questions. Existing tools should be combined through binary rubric items, separate completeness and correctness scores, case-specific importance weighting with non-compensable safety caps, temporal order-consistency checks, and chance-corrected reliability reporting. Further design work is needed for calibrated uncertainty, counterfactual reasoning and faithfulness over longitudinal free-text records. This review provides a design rationale, not a validated instrument.
OpenTSLM TeeMoE: A Unified Time-Series Language Model for Forecasting, Contextual Prediction, and Reasoning
Real-world time-series applications increasingly require models that can handle time series forecasting, context-conditioned prediction, and language-based temporal reasoning. Yet current time-series foundation models remain fragmented across these capabilities: numerical specialists often provide the strongest forecasts, while language-based models offer broader contextual understanding and analysis. A central challenge is to unify these heterogeneous capabilities without reducing their individual performance. We introduce OpenTSLM TeeMoE, a generalist time-series language model that can forecast directly from observed time series, reason over textual context and temporal patterns, and synthesize and refine predictions from external numerical forecasting specialists. We independently train three low-rank experts for forecast aggregation, native forecasting, and temporal analysis over a shared backbone. A learned LoRA mixture-of-experts controller then weights their frozen parameter updates for each request. Our proposed model achieves strong performance on widely used benchmarks for time series forecasting, context-conditioned prediction, and language-based temporal reasoning, ranking among the top three on GIFT-Eval by mean MASE rank, Context is Key by RCRPS, and TimeSeriesExam by accuracy.
Reasoning Externalization for Faithful Large Language Model Narratives of Stock Return Predictions
In finance, interpreting machine learning predictions is essential, yet the numerical outputs of explainable AI can be difficult for non-experts to understand. While large language models (LLMs) can translate these outputs into natural language, they may produce errors when inferring numerical changes and feature relations. We propose an LLM narrative framework for cross-sectional stock return prediction that combines temporal Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) evidence with historical regime analogs. Temporal evidence tracks changes in the normalized global SHAP importance of an XGBoost model over six months. Historical analogs are past periods with similar changes in SHAP importance, their model performance and subsequent market returns are provided as comparative context. Using this framework, we conduct a controlled study of progressive reasoning externalization, sequentially providing raw SHAP sequences, deterministic temporal descriptors, and feature relations. Each generated claim is verified against provenance-linked evidence. Across Qwen3, externalizing numerical and relational reasoning improved evidence faithfulness as well as temporal and relational accuracy. Evidence faithfulness increased from 0.696 to 0.996 for Qwen3-32B-Instruct. While historical analogs did not improve structured automatic faithfulness, they received higher human-rated usefulness scores. These results suggest that externalizing verifiable reasoning enhances narrative faithfulness and that historical context adds interpretive value.
StateTree: Enhancing Long-Term Dialogue Reasoning via Reinforcement Learning
Large language models deployed as personalized assistants must reason over long, evolving interaction histories. However, in long-term dialogue reasoning, relevant evidence is scattered across sessions, preferences may be revised over time, and standard long-context training fails to address these challenges under data scarcity and prohibitive computational costs. We propose StateTree, a data-driven RL method that constructs a challenging auxiliary task from scarce dialogues with verifiable ground truth. StateTree augments multi-session dialogues with a tree-structured path-tracing task: key-value records are embedded across sessions to form a binary tree. Solving the task requires the model to traverse from root to leaf by retrieving records across sessions and comparing timestamps to resolve branches, then recover the hidden target question among distractor leaves. We apply curriculum RL training progressively increasing tree depth and introduce a compositional variant whose edges carry step-level reasoning fragments, training the model to compose partial cues into coherent queries. Trained on 10K-token contexts, StateTree generalizes to 128K tokens without full-length RL costs and exhibits capabilities including cross-session retrieval, temporal reasoning, knowledge update, and compositional multi-hop reasoning. StateTree outperforms both SFT and RL-based baselines while preserving short-context general reasoning. StateTree-7B achieves gains up to +23.60% on LongMemEval (128k), and StateTree-14B reaches 59.00% accuracy on LongMemEval, surpassing QwenLong-L1-32B (45.20%).
Concept-Grounded Attention: A Controlled Evaluation of Graph-Injected Attention, Temporal Versioning, and Epistemic Status
Knowledge-intensive language-model systems typically represent external knowledge as text chunks or static graphs, with limited support for concept evolution, point-in-time reasoning, and distinctions between validated and inferred knowledge. We introduce the Concept Lifecycle Model (CLM), which represents concepts as persistent, graph-grounded, temporally versioned entities with explicit provenance and epistemic status, and Concept-Grounded Attention (CGA), which injects concept-graph structure into transformer computation through graph-biased self-attention (Form A) and gated cross-attention over concept nodes (Form B). We evaluate the framework in controlled settings using disabled-mechanism baselines. On 200 MuSiQue and HotpotQA questions with retrieval fixed, concept-graph retrieval recovers explicit multi-hop paths but does not improve evidence recall. Form A appears to steer attention, with 2.76 times more attention on gold than distractor concepts, but the same ratio occurs when Form A is disabled; the learned bias is negligible and no answers change. An identity-preserving Form B improves F1 from 0.188 to 0.221, but control concepts yield 0.213, indicating that most of the gain reflects added capacity. On LongMemEval, explicit temporal representation improves answer accuracy by 13 to 25 points across all tested generators, up to 122B parameters, while simplified CLM version resolution performs similarly to dated serialization because concept identity is not established reliably. On a synthetic source-independence task, protocol-derived epistemic status reduces unsupported assertions from 28% to 0.1% in a fine-tuned small model and from 19-68% to 0-5% in 72-122B models. Overall, the results support making temporal validity and epistemic status explicit, while showing that graph-attention diagnostics are not informative without disabled-mechanism controls.
PetriBench: Benchmarking LLM Reasoning over Dynamic State Spaces
Characterizing LLM reasoning remains an open challenge, as many existing benchmarks isolate specific reasoning skills, rely on external knowledge, or are costly to extend. We introduce PetriBench, a compact, fully self-contained, and scalable benchmark for evaluating LLM reasoning over dynamic state spaces using Petri nets, a mature formalism for modeling real-world concurrent and distributed systems. PetriBench organizes reasoning into four task families varying by scope and temporal horizon, with Easy, Medium, and Hard levels generated by increasing structural complexity and evaluated against exact ground truth. Across a diverse set of proprietary and open-weight models, accuracy decreases consistently with difficulty, while harder instances expose increasingly distinct task-specific capability profiles. Additional analyses show that test-time compute improves performance but interacts differently with different reasoning tasks, and that procedural generation yields smooth scaling with structural complexity. Together, these results show that PetriBench provides a unified and extensible setting for probing the strengths, limits, and scaling behavior of LLM reasoning.
CliniCIRCA: A Modular LLM Framework for Constructing Longitudinal Mental Health Patient Journeys from Raw EHR Narratives
In mental health care, reasoning over patient journeys is a key task for clinicians. Yet these journeys, encompassing a longitudinal progression of biological, psychological, and social events, are often spread across disparate unstructured text narratives, making temporal recovery challenging. We present CliniCIRCA, a multi-stage LLM framework for Calendar-anchored, Imprecision-aware Reconstruction of Clinical Annals. To our knowledge, CliniCIRCA is the first to temporally classify clinical events across unstructured discharge summaries without event-level timestamps. From 14,882 MIMIC-III mental health admissions, we first construct a benchmark of 52 discharge summaries on which CliniCIRCA produces 15,891 temporally tagged events. After correcting 629 errors based on a clinician-in-the-loop evaluation, we produce verified gold-standard labels. Finally, the corrected timelines drive a temporally grounded summarization stage that compresses each source 1.52 times into a date-grouped chronological record. We then scale the framework to generate 1,000 silver-standard timelines and evaluate them as training data. Compared with zero- and few-shot prompting, instruction tuning generally improves five open-weight models on event extraction, temporal tagging, and summarization across silver and clinician-verified evaluations.
Fortunate Recall: Ontology-Driven Memory Lifecycle Management for Persistent Coherence in LLMs
Current LLM memory systems treat all personal facts identically, so stores grow without bound while retrieval precision degrades. The core challenge is lifecycle management: which memories should persist, which should be replaced, and at what rate, conditioned on the behavioral type of each fact. Fortunate Recall (FR) is a composable policy layer that classifies personal facts into a 10+1 behavioral ontology and applies category-specific lifecycle policies (differential temporal decay, slot-key supersession, event-time validity, and category-aware retrieval routing) as deterministic functions over LLM-extracted metadata. FR-Bank, our infrastructure-independent implementation, reaches a 76.9% pass rate on LifecycleBench, a new 516-question temporal-disambiguation benchmark, ahead of Mem0, A-MEM, Memory-R1, and MemoryOS (61% to 70.5%), and 75.2% on the full LongMemEval-S under the canonical Wu et al. judge protocol, so lifecycle policies impose no measurable cost on standard retrieval. A pre-registered ablation locates the gains: replacing the typed layer with three generic lifecycle primitives leaves correctness statistically unchanged (-1.7pp, 95% CI [-6.0, +2.7]), so the generic lifecycle metadata carries the correctness advantage, while the behavioral ontology carries calibration, halving downstream confabulation (12.0% vs 24.2%, p<0.001). End-to-end, FR-Bank cuts confabulation from Mem0's 45.1% to 22.4% over answered queries and from 32.2% to 13.0% over all queries while answering more of them correctly (31.2% vs 18.6%); the ranking replicates on the open-weight Kimi K2.5. The decomposition transfers to BEAM, an independently built benchmark: 46.8% correct vs Mem0's 32.9% over 280 questions, with the ontology's benefit concentrated in contradiction resolution and saturating near seven policy clusters. The ontology, benchmark, and code are released.
EvolveScaler: Synthesizing Information-Evolution Contexts via Executable State Machines and Natural-Language Rendering
In persistent interactions, long contexts may encode an evolving process rather than a fixed record: later events can revise or revoke earlier information, changing what remains valid and what conclusions follow. We call this setting information evolution (IE). Solving IE requires identifying valid records, applying updates in order, and reconstructing the query-relevant state from the event history. Existing text-first synthesis pipelines make such data difficult to verify because state transitions and answer logic remain implicit. We introduce EvolveScaler, a code-driven framework that defines information evolution before rendering it as natural language. Human-authored operational specifications define state transitions, record validity, difficulty controls, and executable answer logic; a strong LLM then synthesizes a self-contained simulator from each specification. Executing validated simulators produces natural-language multi-turn event histories, while deterministic replay computes reference answers and atomic checklists. We instantiate EvolveScaler with 117 task prototypes and 159 final-question operators across five difficulty levels spanning approximately 7 to 1,200 events per instance, yielding about 35,100 training examples and 585 validated evaluation instances. On the very_long tier, the strongest model reaches 59.3% avg@5, while six models score below 10%. Training an internal A3B model on 6,000 EvolveScaler examples improves performance over its base checkpoint on all eight independently constructed out-of-distribution benchmarks, with a 5.25-point average gain. These results show that code-driven IE synthesis provides both challenging evaluation and transferable training supervision.
CordisBench: Can Language Models Reason About Component Lifecycles in Dynamic Agent Harnesses?
Dynamic agent harnesses let language models change the software that shapes their own execution. This flexibility brings a new reasoning burden: a local plugin change can propagate through dependencies and cleanup. We introduce CordisBench, a 1,200-question benchmark of this lifecycle reasoning. It combines a controlled formal setting with programs executed against Cordis, a runtime that manages component dependencies and cleanup, and asks models to identify affected components, predict state after a specified teardown order, determine which conditions hold under all or some orders, and choose reconfigurations that succeed when executed. Across these tasks, we evaluate three efficiency-oriented models at low reasoning effort with 2, 4, 8, 16, 24, or 32 relevant interactions, using deterministic task-specific scoring. Models usually handle small systems well but grow less reliable as more interactions become relevant, especially when predicting final state and when reasoning across teardown orders. Additional inference effort recovers marked gains for some models. The cost is nontrivial: on our 16-interaction subset, GPT-5.6 Luna uses nearly 3,000 reasoning tokens per question at medium effort. For these controlled instances, that cost is avoidable: an independent finite reference semantics agrees with Cordis execution on every observation and action outcome used for scoring across all 528 executable questions.
FinLifeBench: Exhaustive Life-Event History and Financial-State Reconstruction from Longitudinal Banking Dialogue
Repeated banking interactions require assistants to maintain complete, current, and traceable customer records as life changes emerge incidentally in routine requests. Existing benchmarks emphasize question answering, bounded episodes, or targeted recall rather than exhaustive longitudinal reconstruction. We introduce FinLifeBench, which evaluates two tasks over the same cumulative dialogue: reconstructing every life-event instance with its first-establishing session and reconstructing a complete 34-path financial state at consecutive checkpoints. The benchmark contains 6,000 eight-turn Korean banking sessions from 20 independent synthetic trajectories, with deterministic, exhaustive gold for 24 event types and 34 state paths and consensus quality assurance. Across eleven LLMs under a full-context condition, event-anchor recall falls from 0.591 at 15 sessions to 0.445 at 300. Errors are driven primarily by omitted events rather than poor anchor localization, while financial-state reconstruction frequently treats superseded or potentially outdated information as current; the best GCA@15 reaches 0.470. Performance on the two reconstruction tasks is only weakly associated. These results show that models can localize evidence for recovered events while still failing to maintain complete and temporally valid longitudinal records.
Synthetic Worlds for Temporal Evaluation and Knowledge Updating in LLMs
Large language models (LLMs) rely on static pretraining corpora, causing their knowledge to become outdated over time. Existing approaches for evaluating knowledge edits either suffer from rapid contamination or rely on counterfactual edits that conflict with rigid existing knowledge. In this work, we propose a synthetic, simulation-driven framework for studying knowledge insertion in LLMs. We introduce {\sc ParallelEvents}, a benchmark of fictional yet realistic future worlds that generates coherent event trajectories for controlled evaluation, avoiding contamination while preserving consistency. Building on this dataset, we develop {\sc Synapse}, a training framework that uses model-generated data to update model parameters via mid-training and instruction tuning. This synthetic pipeline enables scalable knowledge integration without costly human-curated data. Empirically, {\sc Synapse} outperforms existing methods by 14.23%, demonstrating that simulation-based synthetic training leads to robust and coherent knowledge insertions.
Reconstructing the Right Episode: Evaluating Interleaved Conversational Memory Beyond Long Context
Conversations with chat assistants increasingly span many topics in a single long-running thread, challenging memory systems. Existing long-context and memory benchmarks often expose session or topic boundaries, or probe direct personal-memory questions. These settings understate a harder assistant-memory regime: a flat mixed-topic thread where the system must infer which earlier episode makes a later task decision valid. We introduce SCALE-QA, a constraint-grounded task QA benchmark for flat unsegmented threads targeting episode integrity failure. The dataset contains 3,000 audited questions across 10 domains, uses deterministic four-way multiple-choice grading, and includes a deterministic runtime builder; experiments use all 3,000 questions through 128k and a stratified 400-question diagnostic at 1M. SCALE-QA questions are ordinary task-oriented requests whose correct answer depends on causally related evidence introduced earlier in the conversation. We also propose Temporal-Semantic Interleaved Memory Reconstruction (TSIM), which segments the turn stream into coherent episodes and indexes them through a hierarchical multi-view memory stack with deterministic episode-level summary and cluster-routing views. Experiments show that SCALE-QA challenges strong RAG baselines and long-context LLMs alike; across three open-source and proprietary LLM backends, TSIM achieves the highest accuracy in every backend setting, gaining 5.6-17.6 accuracy points over the strongest corresponding baseline.
The Sleeping Agent: What Gist-Based Context Compression Loses and Why
Gist-based context compression---summarising older conversation history into compact representations---is a common approach in long-horizon language model agents, yet its effect on different types of memory retrieval is poorly understood. We use Salience-Weighted Consolidation (SWC), a biologically-inspired compression framework motivated by sleep-based memory consolidation, as a diagnostic probe to study when gist compression helps and when it hurts. SWC scores conversation history by salience, partitions it into priority tiers, and applies structured gist abstraction to mid-priority content. Evaluating four conditions on all ten LoCoMo conversations---1,935 matched text-only questions in total, 1,501 used in the primary aggregate after excluding Category 5 (adversarial) questions---at temperature 0, we find a consistent task-type interaction: gist compression substantially outperforms truncation on multi-hop reasoning and single-hop factual questions, but temporal questions remain substantially harder under compression, with compressed conditions scoring well below the full-context reference on the conversations where both are evaluated. We trace this failure to a specific mechanism: the gist abstraction prompt preserves relational and event structure while discarding dates and times. A preservation analysis across all ten conversations confirms the mechanism: an approximately 20-fold increase in temporal expression preservation (3.05% to 62.39%) with a one-sentence prompt modification, while named entity and event preservation rates barely change (x1.02 and x1.11), demonstrating that the fix is a precision instrument. The prompt modification recovers +0.314 [0.254, 0.375] judge accuracy on category-2 (temporal) questions in the matched set. Code and results: https://github.com/kyrkewood/sleeping-agent.
ChronoState: Hidden Elapsed-Time Conditioning for Temporal-State Action Selection in Frozen-Backbone Language Models
Temporal decisions in language-model systems often depend on both symbolic task state and elapsed wall-clock time, such as cache expiration, job completion, quota resets, deadlines, or stale sessions. We study whether elapsed time can be supplied as a non-token, system-side scalar and composed with visible symbolic state by a frozen-backbone language model. We introduce ChronoState, a compositional temporal-state benchmark in which symbolic state appears in the prompt, elapsed seconds tau are supplied through a hidden chronometric-injection channel, and the model selects a forced-choice temporal action. Here, "hidden" means hidden from the user-visible token sequence, not from model computation. Using Qwen2.5-3B-Instruct as a frozen bf16 backbone with a 31-dimensional sinusoidal-plus-log time encoding, gated FiLM residual modulation, and a rank-8 LoRA action surface, hidden-time CI reaches 0.9305 +/- 0.0134 accuracy and 0.9410 +/- 0.0103 balanced accuracy. No-time and shuffled-time controls fall to 0.5511 +/- 0.0042 and 0.3323 +/- 0.0097, respectively, with high shuffled-time wrong-state consistency supporting causal dependence on the injected scalar within the trained distribution. Generalization remains strong for held-out templates, durations, and multi-constraint compositions, but held-out quota-family transfer is weak at 0.5065 +/- 0.0559, while a fair prompt+LoRA timestamp baseline reaches 0.9893 +/- 0.0052. Thus, ChronoState supports a narrow conclusion: hidden elapsed time can be composed with symbolic task state under direct supervision, but does not establish autonomous time tracking, broad unseen-family abstraction, or superiority over prompt-injected timestamps.
Your VLM Already Knows When: Training-Free Temporal Grounding by Asking Yes or No
Multimodal LLMs that recognise events reliably still fail to say when they happen. Prompted for timestamps, strong VLMs reach as little as [email protected] on Charades-STA, and to of their wrong predictions carry low output entropy: the models are confidently wrong, and entropy-based error detection stays below a random classifier. We show that this failure lives in the task interface, not in perception. Holding the weights fixed, replacing timestamp regression with a coarse-to-fine scan of binary questions, whose first-token probabilities are consumed only as a ranking, raises [email protected] by to points across four frozen backbones. The residual failures decompose into two measurable axes: a perception axis that moves with the backbone, and a geometry axis that is analytically predictable from the ratio of the output-window and event widths. FV-Action, the training-free method built on this analysis, reaches [email protected] on Charades-STA, above the same backbone's native grounding pipeline and the strongest training-free result on this benchmark; it surpasses every TVG-trained model evaluated zero-shot on TACoS, and improves over direct prediction on ActivityNet Captions and QVHighlights, with no temporal supervision at any stage.
GeoBenchLLM: A Comprehensive Benchmark for Evaluating LLMs on Geo-Related Tasks
In the context of geodata, existing Large Language Models have often been studied in a homogeneous setting, which has considerably limited insights into their generalization capabilities. In this paper, we present \benchName, a comprehensive benchmark for probing LLMs on geo-related tasks. We leverage a careful selection of twelve publicly available datasets from diverse geo-related tasks and domains, and evaluate a set of LLMs on geo-spatial and temporal understanding using our benchmark. Our results show that reasoning and size have a strong impact on overall performance. GeoBenchLLM is publicly available at https://github.com/Rfr2003/GeoBenchLLM.
RUMBA: Russian User Memory Benchmark
The ability to handle long-term memory in LLMs is becoming increasingly critical, yet existing benchmarks remain English-centric and rely on aggregate retrieval metrics, failing to capture interactions between long-range context, temporal information, and reasoning. To address this, we introduce RUMBA (Russian User Memory BenchmArk) - a new benchmark for long-term conversational memory that provides a fine-grained taxonomy of memory-centric question types and a unified methodology accounting for semantic type, session scope, temporal reasoning, and the explicitness of temporal expressions. RUMBA consists of timestamped user-assistant dialogues with QA pairs requiring retrieval, combination, and reasoning across sessions. While designed for Russian, we also provide an aligned English subset under the same methodology. We evaluate contemporary memory systems and long-context models, and show how RUMBA serves as a diagnostic tool to analyze model behavior across benchmark slices and identify strengths and failure modes of different memory mechanisms.
PRISM Edit: One Vector for All Temporal Answers
Model editing keeps large language models (LLMs) up to date without retraining, but temporal facts expose a limitation of the prevailing locate-and-edit paradigm: an update is not always a replacement. When a fact changes, the new answer should become current while the old answer may remain correct in historical time contexts. Building on this insight, we use causal tracing to show that LLMs already support this distinction via a two-stage internal computation: early MLP layers retrieve a time-agnostic subject representation, and later layers modulate it with temporal context to yield the time-correct answer. Motivated by this finding, we introduce PRISM Edit, which optimizes a single polysemous representation across temporal contexts and leverages the model's inherent modulation pathway to route it to temporally correct predictions without requiring any architectural modification. We evaluate on TimeConflict, a newly introduced temporal editing benchmark, and on temporally augmented CounterFact. PRISM Edit improves multiple core metrics over the best baseline, most notably +23.3 Temporal Consistency (TC) and +33.7 Current Relative-time Score (CRS) on LLaMA-3, while being more than 2x faster. Code and data are publicly available at https://github.com/CheerCHuang/PRISM-Edit.
Forecasting With LLMs: Improved Generalization Through Feature Steering
Successful forecasting involves identifying patterns between historical and future states of the world which generalize to future observations. We apply LLMs to a variety of forecasting tasks and inspect their internal states using sparse autoencoders to understand whether they appear to rely on time-specific pieces of knowledge versus generalizable patterns. Our analyses identify features associated with both time-aware reasoning and look-ahead-biased reasoning. We then apply the LLMs to an entirely different domain and intervene on these features. We find that amplifying time-awareness features substantially reduces look-ahead bias on forecasting prompts while preserving general reasoning performance. In contrast, steering the candidate look-ahead-bias features does not produce an effect. These results suggest that interpretable temporal features can be used to causally shift LLMs toward more historically grounded reasoning.
LibEvoBench: Probing Temporal Knowledge Stratification in Code Generation Models
Large software projects often depend on older versions of libraries, even as APIs continue to evolve across releases. This creates a challenge for LLMs: they must maintain knowledge of multiple API versions, not merely the latest or most common one. However, current LLMs are trained on temporally mixed corpora and lack explicit mechanisms for such version-specific reasoning, leading to anachronistic errors - calling APIs as they exist in a different library version. To systematically evaluate this phenomenon, we introduce LibEvoBench, a multi-task benchmark spanning multiple versions of widely used Python libraries, along with a new metric, the Software Evolution Understanding Score (SEUS), to measure models' consistency when working with evolving APIs. Our results show that state-of-the-art models are largely version-oblivious: performance degrades for evolving APIs, while for stable APIs it remains the same across versions. Moreover, simply specifying the target version provides no benefit, while relevant documentation significantly boosts models' accuracy. These findings highlight a systematic limitation of current training paradigms and motivate new approaches for temporally grounded knowledge in code generation.
From Recognition to Understanding: Unlocking Cognitive Time Series Reasoning with LLMs
Time series analysis has recently been coupled with Large Language Models (LLMs) to leverage their reasoning and world knowledge capabilities, yet gains remain limited. We attribute this to a fundamental mismatch between existing task formulations and LLM strengths: most settings reduce time series understanding to curve-fitting systems, focusing on low-level prediction while ignoring the semantic, contextual, and reasoning-intensive nature of real-world temporal decision-making.To address these limitations, we introduce TSCognition, a multimodal benchmark for multi-dimensional time series reasoning. It collects real-world time series and textual information from 15 public sources and constructs approximately 41K QA samples around five cognitive reasoning tasks: Decoding, Grounding, Inferring, Extrapolating, and Acting. Building on this, we further propose TSAlign, a unified framework that encodes time series into compact patch-level representations and aligns them with semantic directions in the LLM embedding space via gated residual injection and multivariate fusion.Experiments show that TSAlign outperforms existing LLM, VLM, and time series QA baselines on TSCognition and the publicly available TimerBed benchmark while substantially reducing computational cost.Code is available at: https://github.com/EIT-NLP/CognitiveTSR
Right Knowledge, Wrong Answer: Test-Time Steering for Temporal Fact Conflicts in Open-Weight Language Models
Large language models can store both outdated facts and newer superseding facts in their parameters, but standard prompting may still elicit the outdated answer. We formalize this problem as Parametric Temporal Conflict (PTC) and introduce Temporal Attractor Steering (TAS), a three-stage test-time intervention that detects likely conflicts, identifies a conflict-critical layer, and steers hidden states toward newer-fact representations without retraining or external retrieval. We construct an 8,746-record verified benchmark across five Wikidata relations and evaluate four open-weight language models from three families: Qwen-2.5-1.5B/7B, Mistral-7B-v0.3, and Llama-3.1-8B. Single-layer activation patching achieves answer-flip rates of 0.72-0.85 across all models. End-to-end TAS resolves 29-57% of PTC cases while preserving 85-99% accuracy on non-conflict queries, outperforming a matched ITI baseline on three of four models. These results show that outdated parametric knowledge can be selectively overridden at inference time.
MemTrace: Probing What Final Accuracy Misses in Long-Term Memory
LLM agents increasingly maintain long-term memory of user facts across sessions. Yet such memory is usually evaluated by aggregating accuracy over question rows or episodes. Because this approach scores question rows independently, even when several questions probe the same fact, it cannot show how that fact behaves as conditions change. We introduce MemTrace, a benchmark whose unit of measurement is the knowledge point: a single typed fact about the user, rather than an individual question. MemTrace probes each fact along three controlled dimensions: memory age, defined by how many sessions ago the fact appeared in the history; question type, covering current state, earlier state, and trajectory of change; and evidence condition, covering present, missing, and contradicted-by-false-premise settings. Evaluating 13 memory-system configurations across four paradigms, we find that similar pooled accuracy hides different failures: recovering a fact's current and earlier states does not imply tracking how it changed, and safe abstention does not imply correcting a false premise. The dominant bottleneck is evidence use, not retrieval: when systems fail, the evidence was retrievable 10 times more often than it was missing. These results suggest that improving long-term memory requires better use of reachable evidence, not simply more storage or retrieval.
DYNA : Dynamic Episodic Memory Networks for Augmenting Large Language Models with Temporal Knowledge Graphs in Continuous Learning
Large Language Models (LLMs) struggle to incorporate new knowledge without forgetting or costly retraining. We propose DYNA, a lightweight framework that augments a frozen LLM with a temporal knowledge graph where events are nodes and temporal relations are directed, timestamped edges. The graph serves as an external, updatable memory. At query time, DYNA retrieves relevant nodes via random walks and centrality measures, then augments the LLM's response. Evaluated on three temporal recall tasks, DYNA reduces catastrophic forgetting by ~7% compared to fine-tuning and improves temporal ordering by ~5% over standard RAG. Higher graph clustering coefficients correlate with better retrieval, showing that graph structure matters. Contributions: (1) episodic memory as temporal KG, (2) retraining-free LLM augmentation, (3) graph properties as predictors of retrieval performance.
When and How Long? The Readout-Mediator Angle in Temporal Reasoning
A linear probe can decode a representation almost perfectly and yet be completely irrelevant to how the model uses it. On calendar-date duration reasoning in language models, a / probe recovers day-of-year from a layer's activations, yet ablating its direction has no effect on the model's answers -- while ablating a four-dimensional subspace found by Distributed Alignment Search (DAS) at the same layer collapses performance entirely. We measure the angle between these two subspaces -- the \emph{readout-mediator angle} -- and find it indistinguishable from the angle between two random subspaces (the Haar-uniform null), meaning the probe has learned a direction orthogonal to the model's actual computation. Reverse-engineering the circuit reveals why: attention heads route month-grained context through learned QK offsets at and days, and MLPs then convert \emph{when} (absolute date) into \emph{how long} (duration) -- all downstream of the causal subspace the probe never touches. Sparse-autoencoder decomposition confirms the split: probe-aligned and DAS-aligned features encode semantically disjoint concepts with negligible causal overlap. The dissociation replicates across four scales (-B) and two model families, with preliminary evidence on two further domains (spatial displacement, symbolic arithmetic), suggesting that readout-mediator orthogonality is a general failure mode of probe-based interpretability. This directly undermines proposals to deploy probes as runtime safety monitors: the probe can report high confidence on a direction the model has silently abandoned.
Understanding Data Temporality Impact on Large Language Models Pre-training
Large language models (LLMs) are typically trained on shuffled corpora, yielding models whose knowledge is frozen at train time and whose temporal grounding remains poorly understood. In this work, we study the impact of pre-training dynamics on the acquisition of time-sensitive factual knowledge, focusing specifically on data ordering. Our main contributions are twofold. First, we introduce a comprehensive benchmark of over 7,000 temporally grounded questions and an evaluation protocol that enables analysis of whether models correctly associate facts with their corresponding time periods. Second, we pretrain 6B-parameter models on temporally ordered Common Crawl snapshots and compare them against standard shuffled pre-training. Our results show that sequentially trained models match shuffled baselines on general language understanding and common knowledge while consistently exhibiting more up-to-date and temporally precise knowledge. Temporally ordered pre-training yields improved factual freshness, while shuffled pre-training peaks on older data, possibly due to increased factual repetition. These findings, along with the release of our code at https://github.com/kyutai-labs/kairos , checkpoints, and datasets at https://huggingface.co/collections/kyutai/kairos provide a foundation for future research on continual learning for LLMs.
Teaching Large Language Models When Not to Know: Learning Temporal Critique for Ex-Ante Reasoning
Large language models (LLMs) often fail to reason under temporal cutoffs: when prompted to answer from the standpoint of an earlier time, they exploit knowledge that became available only later. We study this failure through the lens of ex-ante reasoning, where a model must rely exclusively on information knowable before a cutoff. Through a systematic analysis of prompt-level interventions, we find that temporal leakage is highly sensitive to cutoff formulation and instruction placement: explicit cutoff statements outperform implicit historical framings, and prefix constraints reduce leakage more effectively than suffix constraints. These findings indicate that prompting can steer models into a temporal frame, but does not endow them with the ability to verify whether a response is temporally admissible. We further argue that supervised fine-tuning is insufficient, since ex-ante correctness is not an intrinsic property of an answer, but a relation between the answer and the cutoff. To address this gap, we propose TCFT, a Temporal Critique Fine-Tuning framework that trains models to acquire cutoff-aware temporal verification. Given a query, a cutoff, and a candidate response, TCFT teaches the model to identify post-cutoff leakage, explain temporal boundary violations, and judge temporal admissibility. Experiments with Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct and Qwen2.5-14B-Instruct show that TCFT consistently outperforms prompting and SFT baselines, reducing average leakage by 41.89 and 37.79 percentage points, respectively.
Large Language Models Lack Temporal Awareness of Medical Knowledge
The existing methods for evaluating the medical knowledge of Large Language Models (LLMs) are largely based on atemporal examination-style benchmarks, while in reality, medical knowledge is inherently dynamic and continuously evolves as new evidence emerges and treatments are approved. Consequently, evaluating medical knowledge without a temporal context may provide an incomplete assessment of whether LLMs can accurately reason about time-specific medical knowledge. Moreover, most medical data are historical, requiring the models not only to recall the correct knowledge, but also to know when that knowledge is correct. To bridge the gap, we built TempoMed-Bench, the first-of-its-kind benchmark for evaluating the temporal awareness of the LLMs in the medical domain through evolving guideline knowledge. Based on the TempoMed-Bench, our evaluation analysis first reveals that LLMs lack temporal awareness in medical knowledge through the key findings: (1) model performance on up-to-date medical knowledge exhibits a gradual linear decline over time rather than a sharp knowledge-cutoff behavior, suggesting that parametric medical knowledge is not strictly bounded by knowledge cutoffs; (2) LLMs consistently struggle more with recalling outdated historical medical knowledge than with up-to-date recommendations: accuracy of historical knowledge is only 25.37%-53.89% of up-to-date knowledge, indicating potential knowledge forgetting effects during training; and (3) LLMs often exhibit temporally inconsistent behaviors, where predictions fluctuate irregularly across neighboring years. We also show that the temporal awareness problem is a challenge that cannot be easily solved when integrated with agentic search tools (-3.15%-14.14%). This work highlights an important yet underexplored challenge and motivates future research on developing LLMs that can better encode time-specific medical knowledge.