A Lightweight Digital-Twin-Based Framework for Edge-Assisted Vehicle Tracking and Collision Prediction

Vehicle tracking, motion estimation, and collision prediction are fundamental components of traffic safety and management in Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS). Many recent approaches rely on computationally intensive prediction models, which limits their practical deployment on resource-constrained edge devices. This paper presents a lightweight digital-twin-based framework for vehicle tracking and spatiotemporal collision prediction that relies solely on object detection, without requiring complex trajectory prediction networks. The framework is implemented and evaluated in Quanser Interactive Labs (QLabs), a high-fidelity digital twin of an urban traffic environment that enables controlled and repeatable scenario generation. A YOLO-based detector is deployed on simulated edge cameras to localize vehicles and extract frame-level centroid trajectories. Offline path maps are constructed from multiple traversals and indexed using K-D trees to support efficient online association between detected vehicles and road segments. During runtime, consistent vehicle identifiers are maintained, vehicle speed and direction are estimated from the temporal evolution of path indices, and future positions are predicted accordingly. Potential collisions are identified by analyzing both spatial proximity and temporal overlap of predicted future trajectories. Our experimental results across diverse simulated urban scenarios show that the proposed framework predicts approximately 88% of collision events prior to occurrence while maintaining low computational overhead suitable for edge deployment. Rather than introducing a computationally intensive prediction model, this work introduces a lightweight digital-twin-based solution for vehicle tracking and collision prediction, tailored for real-time edge deployment in ITS.