Vehicle Trajectory Prediction

Overview

Vehicle trajectory prediction estimates the future paths and possible maneuvers of vehicles to support planning, collision avoidance, and traffic simulation. Methods combine vehicle histories with road maps and surrounding-agent context, using approaches such as graph and Transformer networks, goal-conditioned or motion-primitive decoders, and probabilistic or diffusion models to represent multiple possible futures. Physics-based constraints, lane topology, and explicit uncertainty estimates can improve feasibility and safety, while streaming inference and closed-loop training address real-time use. A central challenge is balancing accurate, diverse long-horizon forecasts with calibrated uncertainty, robustness to noisy or unfamiliar scenes, and efficient deployment.

Latest papers

CardsList

64 papers7 papers in the last four weeks, down 12% on the four weeks before. 0.0% of all new papers.

  1. SAGE: A hybrid vision-language and geometry framework for work-zone pathway prediction under temporary traffic control

    Oct 22, 2026Jiaxi Liu, Keshu Wu, Weizhe Tang +5Autonomous Driving PlanningMotion Planning

  2. Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving in Road Construction Zones Using Human-in-the-Loop Driving Data

    Oct 8, 2026Shuo Zhang, Aman Sunesh, Semiha Ergan +1Vehicle Trajectory PredictionAutonomous Driving

  3. Uncertainty-Aware Optimization for Physics-Aware Highway Trajectory Prediction

    Oct 8, 2026Aanchal Rajesh Chugh, Sebastian DornProbabilistic Trajectory PredictionTrajectory Prediction

  4. Adaptive Multi-Discriminator WGAN Framework for Resource-Constrained Internet of Vehicles Using Reinforcement Learning and Game Theory

    Oct 7, 2026Farhoud Jafari Kaleibar, Amr M. Zaki, Marin LitoiuGenerative Adversarial NetworksIntelligent Transportation Systems

  5. Context-aware Attention-based Gaussian Mixture Models for Vehicular Trajectory Prediction

    Oct 6, 2026Arash Raftari, Babak Ebrahimi Soorchaei, Yaser P. FallahMultimodal Trajectory PredictionVehicle Trajectory Prediction

  6. Markovian Dynamics Enforcer: Feasibility Preserving Correction on Learned Dynamics Manifolds

    Sep 30, 2026Kevin Yu, Tao Guo, Constantinos Antoniou +1Trajectory PredictionVehicle Trajectory Prediction

  7. Data-Efficient Adaptation of a Driving VLA to Class 8 Trucks

    Sep 29, 2026Satyajeet Das, Aaron Buxbaum, Niels Joubert +1VLA Model AdaptationAutonomous Driving

  8. Fast Direction-Conditioned Reachability for Motion Prediction Under Model Uncertainty

    Sep 22, 2026Hrishav Das, Melkior OrnikReachability AnalysisVehicle Trajectory Prediction

  9. Vehicle Trajectory Prediction via Neural Fusion of Multiple EKF-Based Trajectory Candidates

    Sep 17, 2026Seong-Jun Kim, Seung-Hyun KongTrajectory PredictionVehicle Trajectory Prediction

  10. Kernel-Based Metrics Learning for Uncertain Opponent Vehicle Trajectory Prediction in Autonomous Racing

    Sep 15, 2026Hojin Lee, Youngim Nam, Sanghun Lee +1Probabilistic Trajectory PredictionDeep Kernel Learning

  11. Driver Behavior Estimation at Signalized Intersections Using a Physics-Constrained Decision-Conditioned Autoregressive Transformer

    Sep 13, 2026Mohammad Khoshkdahan, Pavel Laskov, Alexey VinelVehicle Trajectory PredictionTransformer

  12. MC-DeTra: Motion-Consistent Joint Object Detection and Socially-Aware Trajectory Forecasting in Bird's-Eye-View Images

    Sep 10, 2026Vladislav Diuzhev, Dmitry YudinMulti-Agent Trajectory PredictionAutonomous Driving

  13. SSP-DMGTimeNet: Physics-Constrained Learning for Spatiotemporal Trajectory Prediction of Vehicle Platoons

    Sep 7, 2026Yuhang Wang, Kailang Ma, Zirui Li +4Vehicle Trajectory PredictionMulti-Agent Trajectory Prediction

  14. Pre-Lane-change Signal in Transitional Autonomous Vehicles: Results from Controlled Experiments

    Sep 2, 2026Zeyu Mu, Danjue Chen, Abhinav Sharma +1Vehicle Trajectory Prediction

  15. DESCENT: Directed Edge Scene Encoding for Airport Surface Movement Prediction

    Aug 26, 2026Alexander Prutsch, David Schinagl, Horst PosseggerTrajectory PredictionVehicle Trajectory Prediction

  16. A Unified Framework for Trajectory Prediction with Explicit Planning and Reaction Decomposition

    Aug 6, 2026Jiaheng Chen, Jiaxing Li, Tinghe Zhang +1Pedestrian Trajectory PredictionMulti-Agent Trajectory Prediction

  17. Pivot-Centric Trajectory Prediction: Bridging Long Horizons via Dynamical Guidance

    Aug 4, 2026Xiucong Zhao, Jindong Tian, Hao MiaoMulti-Agent Trajectory PredictionAutonomous Driving

  18. WorkDrive: Roadwork Chain of Causation for Autonomous Driving

    Jul 16, 2026Tianyi Jiang, Wen Zhang, Sihan Yang +2VLMs for Autonomous DrivingAutonomous Driving Perception

  19. TGRIP: A Text-Guided Approach to Vehicle Instance Prediction in Autonomous Driving

    Jul 6, 2026Miguel Antunes-García, Santiago Montiel-Marín, Fabio Sánchez-García +3Autonomous Driving PerceptionVehicle Trajectory Prediction

  20. SWIFT: A Small-World Interaction Framework for Flow-Aware Trajectory Prediction in Autonomous Driving

    Jul 3, 2026Chengyue Wang, Bin Rao, Haicheng Liao +3Multi-Agent Trajectory PredictionAutonomous Driving

  21. Teaching Vision-Language-Action Models What to See and Where to Look

    Jul 2, 2026Yuguang Yang, Canyu Chen, Zhewen Tan +10End-to-End Autonomous DrivingVLM Distillation

  22. SD-RouteFusion: Ego-Trajectory Prediction with SD-Map Route Conditioning

    Jul 1, 2026Sviatoslav Voloshyn, Bruno K. W. Martens, Wangxin Liu +2Autonomous DrivingTrajectory Inference

  23. What Probing Reveals about Autonomous Driving: Linking Internal Prediction Errors to Ego Planning

    Jun 30, 2026Hyeonchang Jeon, Kyungbeom Kim, Eugene Vinitsky +1Autonomous Driving Safety EvaluationAutonomous Driving Planning

  24. LAMP: Lane-Aligned Motion Primitives for Feasible Trajectory Prediction

    Jun 25, 2026Sangjin Han, Hoseong Jung, Jeongtae Her +2Multimodal Trajectory PredictionTrajectory Prediction

  25. Rethinking Training & Inference for Forecasting: Linking Winner-Take-All back to GMMs

    Jun 24, 2026Qiyuan Wu, Katie Z Luo, Bharath Hariharan +2Gaussian Mixture ModelsProbabilistic Forecasting

  26. A Generative Model for Closed-Loop Microsimulation of Signalized Intersections

    Jun 22, 2026Yash Ranjan, Rahul Sengupta, Anand Rangarajan +1Intelligent Transportation SystemsVehicle Trajectory Prediction

  27. Mind the Noise: Sensitivity of Transformer-based Interaction-Aware Trajectory Prediction Models to Noisy Data

    Jun 19, 2026Shahab Salehi, Luca Lusvarghi, Miguel Sepulcre +1Multi-Agent Trajectory PredictionAutonomous Driving