As AI-assisted grant proposals outpace manual review capacity in a kind of ``Malthusian trap'' for the research ecosystem, this paper investigates the capabilities and limitations of LLM-based grant reviewing for high-stakes evaluation. Using six EPSRC proposals, we develop a perturbation-based framework probing LLM sensitivity across six quality axes: funding, timeline, competency, alignment, clarity, and impact. We compare three review architectures: single-pass review, section-by-section analysis, and a 'Council of Personas' ensemble emulating expert panels. The section-level approach significantly outperforms alternatives in both detection rate and scoring reliability, while the computationally expensive council method performs no better than baseline. Detection varies substantially by perturbation type, with alignment issues readily identified but clarity flaws largely missed by all systems. Human evaluation shows LLM feedback is largely valid but skewed toward compliance checking over holistic assessment. We conclude that current LLMs may provide supplementary value within EPSRC review but exhibit high variability and misaligned review priorities. We release our code and any non-protected data.
Table 1: Summary of perturbation axes, strategies, and their mapping to EPSRC assessment criteria. Examples and further details can be found in subsection A.4 and subsection A.5 .
Baseline
Section-Level
Council
Perturbation Axis
C
P
I
C
P
I
C
P
I
Funding (n=1688)
159
20
440
220
40
358
115
51
285
Competency (n=889)
28
12
353
32
10
240
15
7
192
Alignment (n=953)
122
2
222
183
1
163
84
0
176
Clarity (n=1859)
6
0
668
99
5
571
12
4
494
Impact (n=639)
10
5
221
71
5
157
7
0
163
Table 2: Perturbation identification rates across review systems. C = Correct (perturbation identified with negative sentiment), P = Partial (ambiguous or indirect identification), I = Incorrect (missed or positive sentiment). Verdicts are determined by majority vote across three independent judge models.
Figure 1: Detection scores across review systems and perturbation categories. Darker cells indicate higher detection rates. The section-level system shows strongest performance on alignment and impact perturbations, while all systems fail on clarity-based changes.
σtotal2
σbetween2
σwithin2
ICC ( ↑ )
Baseline
0.87
0.13
0.80
0.14
Council
0.91
0.11
0.88
0.11
Section-Level
0.88
0.49
0.49
0.50
Table 3: Variance decomposition across review systems. ICC (intra-class correlation) measures the proportion of variance attributable to true differences between proposals versus noise from repeated evaluation.
Human
Baseline
Council
Section-Level
Category
Ret
Ctr
Ret
Ctr
Ret
Ctr
Ret
Ctr
Alignment
79.6%
2.8%
68.2%
0.0%
71.8%
1.9%
80.0%
0.0%
Competency
67.7%
2.1%
76.8%
1.8%
66.7%
1.6%
52.2%
0.0%
Ethics
97.7%
0.0%
95.0%
0.0%
94.0%
1.2%
90.0%
0.0%
Funding
81.3%
8.0%
84.0%
0.0%
89.5%
4.8%
100.0%
0.0%
Impact
77.8%
1.2%
85.3%
0.0%
73.8%
1.0%
66.7%
0.0%
Table 4: Retained (Ret) and Contradiction (Ctr) Rates of claims. Retained rate is computed from the exclusive set , where consensus claims are removed, isolating claims unique to each reviewer. Higher retained percentages indicate greater reviewer-specific contribution (unique claims), whereas lower values suggest substantial overlap
Figure 2: Table 11 shows the scale for severity. The dashed line on agreement indicates the neutral agreement.
Review
Spearman ρ
Significance
Agreement
Human
0.258
0.014
Baseline
0.431
<0.001
Council
0.732
<0.001
Section-Level
0.613
0.006
Severity
Human
0.250
0.018
Baseline
0.306
0.008
Table 5: Spearman correlations between valence and outcome measures by method.
Negative
Neutral
Positive
Human
17.4%
33.1%
49.5%
Baseline
41.7%
20.8%
37.5%
Council
22.2%
25.9%
52.0%
Section-Level
48.1%
12.3%
39.6%
Table 6: Valence distribution (percentage of total claims per source).
Appendix figures & tables7 assets
Supplementary material from the paper’s appendix.
Appendix
Category
Human
LLM
Total
ALIGNMENT
13
11
24
COMPETENCY
30
26
56
ETHICS
12
21
33
FUNDING
38
40
78
IMPACT
52
36
88
CLARITY
144
54
198
Appendix
Table 7: Claims used for human evaluation.
Category / Variant
Example Content
Bracket and Example Removal
Original
The framework supports multiple modalities (such as text, image, and audio) to ensure versatility in downstream tasks.
The system provides several security features (including end-to-end encryption and two-factor authentication) for user protection.
Brackets Removed
The framework supports multiple modalities to ensure versatility in downstream tasks.
The system provides several security features for user protection.
Bracket + Example Removed
The framework supports multiple modalities.
Appendix
Table 8: Examples of perturbations.
Summary Totals
Directly Allocated
Staffing
Directly Incurred
Variant
Full Funding
Org Cont.
Applied
Staff
Estates
Other
%FTE
Staff
Equip.
Travel
Other
Original
£25,000
£5,000
£20,000
£8,000
£2,000
£1,000
40%
£5,000
£2,000
£1,000
£1,000
High Org Cont.
£25,000
£21,000
£4,000
£1,500
£500
£250
40%
£1,000
£250
£250
£250
Low Eq / High Other
£25,000
£5,000
£20,000
£8,000
£2,000
£1,000
40%
£5,000
£100
£1,000
£2,900
Low Staff Cost
£25,000
£5,000
£20,000
£480
£4,520
£2,000
40%
£8,000
£2,000
£1,500
£1,500
Low Staff FTE
£25,000
£5,000
£20,000
£8,000
£2,000
£1,000
1%
£5,000
£2,000
£1,000
£1,000
Appendix
Table 9: Funding perturbations with constant Full Funding across all variants.
Purely factual or administrative. No bearing on scientific merit or deliverability.
“The first letter of the sentence was not capitalised.”
Little
Minor issues that are easily correctable or do not affect core assessment criteria.
“Figure 3 is difficult to read.”
Some
Valid observations affecting secondary criteria. Would influence score by ±0.5 points.
“The budget justification for travel could be more detailed.”
Substantial
Significant strengths or weaknesses directly affecting Quality or Importance. Would shift score by ±1 – 2 points.
“The proposed methodology represents a genuine advance over current techniques.”
Pivotal
Fundamental issues affecting viability or exceptional strengths. Changes fundable/non-fundable status.
“The underlying theoretical framework contradicts established principles.”
Appendix
Table 11: Impact rating definitions for different levels of claim severity.
Review
Effort
Wall Clock
Input
Output
Total
Baseline
Low
00:20:37
21,088,675
437,826
21,526,501
Medium
00:34:04
21,088,675
1,157,919
22,246,594
High
01:37:06
21,088,675
3,628,537
24,717,212
Section-Level
Low
02:04:33
27,231,048
8,532,425
35,763,473
Medium
02:40:23
27,828,422
11,221,317
39,049,739
High
04:22:37
28,094,907
18,489,158
46,584,065
Appendix
Table 12: Wall-clock time of GPT-OSS-20B and token breakdown from producing reviews for all original proposals and perturbations at each reasoning level. Each was generated 5 times to assess variability (total: 910). Council on high reasoning was stopped at 6 hours (25%) completion due to excessive runtime cost.
Figure 3: Table 11 shows the scale for severity. The dashed line on agreement indicates the neutral stance (2 on the scale).
Automated peer review uses computational systems, especially language models, to assess research papers, generate feedback, and support editorial decisions.
Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used in academic peer review, yet their reliability, alignment with human judgment, and robustness to adversarial attacks remain poorly understood. We present a systematic benchmark of LLM-as-a-Reviewer on 898 papers stratified from NeurIPS and ICLR, evaluating 12 LLMs along three axes: rating calibration, divergence from human reviewers, and resistance to prompt injection embedded via an invisible font-mapping attack. We find that LLMs systematically overrate weaker submissions and diverge from humans in topical emphasis, under-flagging Clarity and over-flagging Reproducibility, while producing reviews two to three times longer with lower lexical diversity and a more standardized vocabulary. Prompt injection remains highly effective. Simple hidden instructions can promote low-scoring papers to acceptance-level ratings in a substantial fraction of cases, with effectiveness varying sharply across model families. While LLMs offer utility in structuring evaluations, their integration into peer review requires safeguards against both intrinsic biases and adversarial risks.
Lingyao Li, Junjie Xiong, Changjia Zhu +5
University of South Florida · Missouri University of Science and Technology · University of Alabama +3
Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used to generate scientific reviews, yet existing evaluations rarely examine whether different providers align with both conference decisions and human reviewing priorities within the same controlled setting. We compare reviews from OpenAI GPT-5.4, Google Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview, and Anthropic Claude Opus 4.6 with human reviews and final decisions for 300 topic-matched ICLR 2026 submissions, equally divided among oral, poster, and rejected papers. Each model reviewed every paper using identical instructions and rating scales after decision information was removed. Our study contributes a cross-provider analysis of three complementary dimensions: alignment with broad and fine-grained decision categories, differences in recommendation-scale usage, and thematic agreement in identified weaknesses. All three LLMs distinguished accepted from rejected papers, but none reproduced the oral versus poster distinction present in human ratings. Scoring patterns were provider-specific: Gemini assigned systematically higher ratings, while OpenAI and Claude were closer to humans for rejected and poster papers but more critical of oral papers. Human and LLM reviews also differed in emphasis, with LLMs more frequently identifying missing baseline comparisons and humans more often raising computational-efficiency concerns. These results show that broad decision alignment does not imply agreement with finer human judgments or reviewing priorities.
Abraham Camelo-Guerrero, Jairo Diaz-Rodriguez
School of Information Technology York University Toronto, Ontario M3J 1P3 · Department of Mathematics and Statistics York University Toronto, Ontario M3J 1P3
The rapid rise in AI conference submissions has driven increasing exploration of large language models (LLMs) for peer review support. However, LLM-based reviewers often generate superficial, formulaic comments lacking substantive, evidence-grounded feedback. We attribute this to the underutilization of two key components of human reviewing: explicit rubrics and contextual grounding in existing work. To address this, we introduce REVIEWBENCH, a benchmark evaluating review text according to paper-specific rubrics derived from official guidelines, the paper's content, and human-written reviews. We further propose REVIEWGROUNDER, a rubric-guided, tool-integrated multi-agent framework that decomposes reviewing into drafting and grounding stages, enriching shallow drafts via targeted evidence consolidation. Experiments on REVIEWBENCH show that REVIEWGROUNDER, using a Phi-4-14B-based drafter and a GPT-OSS-120B-based grounding stage, consistently outperforms baselines with substantially stronger/larger backbones (e.g., GPT-4.1 and DeepSeek-R1-670B) in both alignment with human judgments and rubric-based review quality across 8 dimensions. The code is available here.
Zhuofeng Li, Yi Lu, Dongfu Jiang +7
Texas A&M University · University of Waterloo · UC San Diego +2