cs.ROMar 11, 2026

Safety-critical Control Under Partial Observability: Reach-Avoid POMDP meets Belief Space Control

Authors: Matti Vahs, Joris Verhagen, Jana Tumova

Organizations: Division of Robotics, Perception and Learning, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden · Digital Futures

Abstract

Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs) provide a principled framework for robot decision-making under uncertainty. Solving reach-avoid POMDPs, however, requires coordinating three distinct behaviors: goal reaching, safety, and active information gathering to reduce uncertainty. Existing online POMDP solvers attempt to address all three within a single belief tree search, but this unified approach struggles with the conflicting time scales inherent to these objectives. We propose a layered, certificate-based control architecture that operates directly in belief space, decoupling goal reaching, information gathering, and safety into modular components. We introduce Belief Control Lyapunov Functions (BCLFs) that formalize information gathering as a Lyapunov convergence problem in belief space, and show how they can be learned via reinforcement learning. For safety, we develop Belief Control Barrier Functions (BCBFs) that leverage conformal prediction to provide probabilistic safety guarantees over finite horizons. The resulting control synthesis reduces to lightweight quadratic programs solvable in real time, even for non-Gaussian belief representations with dimension >104>10^4. Experiments in simulation and on a space-robotics platform demonstrate real-time performance and improved safety and task success compared to state-of-the-art constrained POMDP solvers.

Figures & tables

Explore similar work

Apr 4, 2026

Risk-Constrained Belief-Space Optimization for Safe Control under Latent Uncertainty

Many safety-critical control systems operate under latent uncertainty that sensors cannot resolve at decision time. Such uncertainty, arising from unknown physical properties, disturbances, or unobserved geometry, affects dynamics, task feasibility, and safety margins. Standard methods optimize expected performance and offer limited protection against rare but severe outcomes, while robust formulations treat uncertainty conservatively without exploiting its probabilistic structure. We consider systems with measured state and an unknown, time-invariant parameter represented by a belief distribution. We propose a risk-sensitive belief-space Model Predictive Path Integral (MPPI) controller that plans under this belief, regularizes performance using Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), and imposes a CVaR constraint on a trajectory safety margin over the horizon. For the exact risk-constrained formulation underlying this controller, we establish three properties: (1) the CVaR constraint implies a probabilistic safety guarantee, (2) the controller recovers the risk-neutral optimum as the objective risk weight tends to zero, and (3) a union-bound argument extends the per-horizon guarantee to cumulative safety over repeated solves. In contact-rich MuJoCo simulations of vision-guided dexterous stowing, where a manipulator inserts a grasped object into an occupied slot with pose uncertainty exceeding prescribed lateral clearance requirements, our method achieves 82% success with zero contact violations at high risk aversion, compared with 55% and 50% for a risk-neutral configuration and a chance-constrained baseline, both of which incur nonzero exterior contact forces. Project page: https://clintonenwerem.com/belief-cvar-mppi/.
May 14, 2026

Action-Conditioned Risk Gating for Safety-Critical Control under Partial Observability

Many safety-critical control problems are modeled as risk-sensitive partially observable Markov decision processes, where the controller must make decisions from incomplete observations while balancing task performance against safety risk. Although belief-space planning provides a principled solution, maintaining and planning over beliefs can be computationally costly and sensitive to model specification in practical domains. We propose a lightweight risk-gated reinforcement learning approximation for risk-sensitive control under partial observability. The method constructs a compact finite-history proxy state and learns an action-conditioned predictor of near-term safety violation. This predicted candidate-action risk is used in two complementary ways: as a risk penalty during value learning, and as a decision-time gate that interpolates between optimistic and conservative ensemble value estimates. As a result, low-risk actions are evaluated closer to reward-seeking estimates, while high-risk actions are evaluated more conservatively. We evaluate the approach in two safety-critical partially observable domains: automated glucose regulation and safety-constrained navigation. Across adult and adolescent glucose-control cohorts, the method improves overall glycemic tradeoffs and substantially reduces runtime relative to a belief-space planning baseline. On Safety-Gym navigation benchmarks, it achieves a more favorable reward-cost balance than unconstrained RL and several standard safe-RL baselines. These results suggest that action-conditioned near-term risk can provide an effective local signal for approximate risk-sensitive POMDP control when full belief-space planning is impractical.
Jul 16, 2026

Risk-Aware Belief Control Barrier Functions over Random Finite Sets

Ensuring robot safety in unknown, dynamic environments is a fundamental requirement. It involves inferring the states of an unknown and time-varying number of moving objects from noisy, incomplete measurements. We address safe control under the induced multi-object state uncertainty with a risk-aware belief control barrier function (BCBF) framework. The uncertainty is captured by a random finite set (RFS) belief, estimated by a sequential Monte Carlo probability hypothesis density (SMC-PHD) filter that represents it with a set of particles. Building directly on these particles, we construct a nonsmooth BCBF, establish forward invariance of the safe set under continuous prediction, and derive an explicit condition under which discrete updates preserve safety. Simulation and real-world underwater experiments demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed approach.