Analytical Logit Scaling for High-Resolution Sea Ice Topology Retrieval from Weakly Labeled SAR Imagery

Sea-ice type prediction is important for climate monitoring, maritime navigation, and decision-making in polar regions. The main source of label data for this task is the ice chart, produced manually by ice analysts who interpret satellite imagery to delineate ice zones into polygons. Although ice charts are valuable, their production is labor-intensive and expensive, motivating recent efforts to automate the process using deep learning. However, deep learning models require patch-level (or pixel-level) label data for training, while ice charts provide only polygon-level annotations. As a workaround, supervised approaches often create approximate patch-level labels from polygon-level ice chart labels by assigning each sample the dominant ice type of its parent polygon. This approach enables supervised training but creates an ill-posed learning problem with intrinsically approximate solution. In this paper, we redefine sea-ice type prediction as a weakly supervised multi-label proportion learning problem to be able to directly use the polygon-level ice chart labels and avoid unnecessary label approximation for improved prediction accuracy. To address this problem, we propose a two-module framework where first Multiple Instance Learning (MIL) is used for water--ice classification, and then a multi-label proportion learning (MLPL) is introduced for ice-type composition prediction. We further extend this framework with a multimodal model that integrates SAR imagery with AMSR2 brightness temperatures and ERA5 reanalysis data through modality-guided auxiliary regularization. Evaluated on the AI4Arctic dataset, the SAR-only model reduces MAE by 14.5% and more than doubles mean ice-class F1 over the best supervised baseline. The multimodal model further reduces MAE by 21.5% and raises mean F1 by 41.2% over the SAR-only model, and by 52.7% over the supervised multimodal baseline.

Polar lows are intense maritime cyclones that form rapidly at high latitudes. Deep learning can detect them in Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery, but pixel-level segmentation remains an open challenge. No pixel-level masks are available for training, and a polar low's extent is inherently subjective, with diffuse boundaries that even experts delineate inconsistently. We propose Constrained Region Erasing with Soft Targets (CREST), a Weakly Supervised Semantic Segmentation (WSSS) framework that generates masks solely from image-level labels. Our approach builds on Adversarial Erasing (AER), which iteratively mines discriminative regions, erases them, and retrains a classifier to reveal complementary cues that become pseudo-labels for segmentation. However, standard AER also collects irrelevant background features, degrading pseudo-label quality. CREST addresses this with (i) a Constrained Ordinal Region Expansion (CORE) module that encodes the spatial-connectedness prior of polar lows, constraining region expansion from a high-confidence seed, and (ii) a Dynamic Bootstrapping (DB) loss that treats the mining order as a proxy for label reliability, attenuating supervision from noisier, later-mined regions. On Sentinel-1 SAR data, CREST follows the cyclone structure more closely than standard AER, and returns a multi-class rather than binary mask whose classes indicate the reliability assigned to each region. We further evaluate on BUS-UCLM breast ultrasound and PASCAL VOC person data, whose targets satisfy the same connectedness prior but come with the dense masks the SAR data lacks. On both datasets, CREST performs better than the equivalent AER pipeline under identical settings.

Although high-resolution mapping of pan-Arctic sea ice with reliable corresponding uncertainty is essential for operational sea ice concentration (SIC) charting, it is a difficult task due to key challenges, such as the subtle nature of ice signature features, inexact SIC labels, model uncertainty, and data heterogeneity. This study presents a novel Bayesian High-Resolution Transformer approach for 200 meter resolution pan-Arctic SIC mapping and uncertainty quantification using Sentinel-1, RADARSAT Constellation Mission (RCM), and Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer 2 (AMSR2) data. First, to improve small and subtle sea ice feature (e.g., cracks/leads, ponds, and ice floes) extraction, we design a novel high-resolution Transformer model with both global and local modules that can better discern the subtle differences in sea ice patterns. Second, to address low-resolution and inexact SIC labels, we design a geographically-weighted weakly supervised loss function to supervise the model at region level instead of pixel level, and to prioritize pure open water and ice pack signatures while mitigating the impact of ambiguity in the marginal ice zone (MIZ). Third, to improve uncertainty quantification, we design a Bayesian extension of the proposed Transformer model, treating its parameters as random variables to more effectively capture uncertainties. Fourth, to address data heterogeneity, we fuse three different data types (Sentinel-1, RCM, and AMSR2) at decision-level to improve both SIC mapping and uncertainty quantification. The proposed approach is evaluated under pan-Arctic minimum-extent conditions in 2021 and 2025. Results demonstrate that the proposed model achieves 0.70 overall feature detection accuracy using Sentinel-1 data, while also preserving pan-Arctic SIC patterns (Sentinel-1 R\textsuperscript{2} = 0.90 relative to the ARTIST Sea Ice product).