RE-SAC: Disentangling aleatoric and epistemic risks in bus fleet control: A stable and robust ensemble DRL approach

Offline reinforcement learning learns policies from fixed datasets without further environment interaction. A key challenge in this setting is epistemic uncertainty, arising from limited or biased data coverage, particularly when the behavior policy systematically avoids certain actions. This can lead to inaccurate value estimates and unreliable generalization. Ensemble-based methods like SAC-N mitigate this by conservatively estimating Q-values using the ensemble minimum, but they require large ensembles and often conflate epistemic with aleatoric uncertainty. To address these limitations, we propose a unified and generalizable framework that replaces discrete ensembles with compact uncertainty sets over Q-values. %We further introduce an Epinet based model that directly shapes the uncertainty sets to optimize the cumulative reward under the robust Bellman objective without relying on ensembles. We also introduce a benchmark for evaluating offline RL algorithms under risk-sensitive behavior policies, and demonstrate that our method achieves improved robustness and generalization over ensemble-based baselines across both tabular and continuous state domains.

Bus bunching degrades service regularity and increases passenger waiting in high-frequency transit. Existing reinforcement-learning-based holding controllers primarily rely on instantaneous operational variables or route-specific stop identifiers, which provide limited information about the functional and operational context of individual stops and constrain policy reuse across routes. This study introduces an LLM-assisted semantic stop representation for event-driven bus holding control. An LLM is used offline to transform heterogeneous stop information, including physical attributes, surrounding activity context, and historical operational characteristics, into fixed semantic embeddings that are incorporated into a deep Q-learning controller without requiring real-time LLM inference. Experiments are conducted in stochastic simulations calibrated with observed data from two bus routes. Compared with the best calibrated Daganzo baseline, the semantic controller reduces headway variability, bunching events, and passenger waiting time by 32.0%, 69.2%, and 24.0%, respectively. A route-specific stop identifier does not improve the spacing-only controller, whereas semantic stop information improves headway regularity, waiting time, and holding effort, providing a more favorable overall trade-off across control objectives. Cross-route experiments further show that zero-shot transfer provides limited immediate generalization, while warm-start fine-tuning accelerates early-stage learning and improves transferred policies; cold-start training nevertheless achieves the best final performance. These findings suggest that semantic state representations can complement conventional operational states and support adaptation-based policy reuse across related transit routes.

Reinforcement learning (RL) achieves strong performance in sequential decision-making but remains brittle under dynamic uncertainty and distributional shifts. Robust Adversarial Reinforcement Learning (RARL) improves robustness via worst-case perturbations, but existing approaches frequently suffer from unstable optimization and degraded value estimation. In particular, overly aggressive adversaries can drive the agent toward uninformative failure states, while adversarial perturbations amplify disagreement between double critics and introduce biased value targets. We propose a unified framework, RACER (Risk-sensitive robust Adversarial critic ConsistEncy-regularized Reinforcement learning), that revisits adversarial RL from a risk-sensitive perspective. First, we introduce a state-dependent adversarial objective that adaptively regulates perturbation strength, suppressing harmful disturbances while preserving informative exploration. Second, we propose critic consistency regularization to reduce disagreement between Q-value estimators and stabilize learning. Comprehensive experiments on challenging continuous control benchmarks demonstrate that RACER consistently improves performance, robustness, and training stability over strong robust RL baselines.