Due to the increasing frequency and severity of storm events, driven by the escalation of anthropogenic climate change and urban expansion, there is a requirement for increasingly efficient flood risk management strategies. While Blue-Green Infrastructure (BGI) offers a sustainable solution for managing flood risk, optimal implementation is challenging. To help overcome this challenge, this study presents a novel multi-objective optimisation tool that couples a state-of-the-art hydrodynamic model with a bespoke evolutionary algorithm. The use of a fully dynamic hydrodynamic model enables the tool to accurately evaluate the effectiveness of proposed BGI features with respect to property scale flood vulnerability and hazard analysis. This contrasts with alternative approaches which utilise simplified models, which can only reliably predict inundation extents, thus the proposed optimisation tool provides greater certainty regarding the optimality of the solutions. As a hydrodynamic simulation is required to evaluate each candidate solution, the bespoke evolutionary algorithm is specifically designed to minimise the number of simulations required, ensuring the tool is computationally practical. The effectiveness of the tool in this regard is validated via the derivation of exact convergence measures, for a tractable search space, and via comparisons with benchmark algorithms, for an intractable search space. Compared with traditional design practices, the proposed tool offers an automated approach capable of efficiently exploring a wide range of solutions, providing decision-makers with a set of optimal solutions from which they can make informed investment decisions. The presented methods provide a robust framework for optimising a variety of BGI features in complex urban environments.
Calibrating the urban underlying surface parameters is crucial for urban flood simulation. We formulate the parameter calibration problem into an optimization problem within the Bayesian framework using the maximum likelihood principle. We adopt the urban flood dynamical system model as the surrogate model and innovatively introduce latent variables inspired by machine learning to represent more uncertainties, which can also be compatible with common physical parameter calibration. For more efficient optimization, we construct the adjoint equation of the surrogate model to obtain gradient information and propose the parameter sharing technique and the localization technique to reduce the computation complexity of the adjoint equation. A simple case verifies the proposed method can converge quickly and is insensitive to the observation time interval. In the case derived from Test 8A, we calibrate Manning's coefficient of urban roads, with a maximum relative error of 13.88% and a minimum of 1.16%.
Urban flooding affects lives and infrastructure worldwide. Mapping inundation in complex urban environments from satellite imagery remains challenging due to limited spatial resolution, infrequent acquisitions, and cloud cover. We present Urban Flood Observations (UFO), a global, hand-labeled dataset of post-flood inundation in diverse urban settings. UFO comprises 215 image chips (1024 by 1024 pixels) from 14 flood events between 2017 and 2021, derived from 3 m PlanetScope imagery. Each chip is annotated with two classes: 'inundated' (all visible surface water, including floodwater and pre-existing water bodies (permanent or seasonal)) and 'non-inundated'. To demonstrate the dataset's utility, we trained a segmentation model using leave-one-event-out cross-validation, achieving a mean Intersection over Union (IoU) of 77.3. We also used UFO to evaluate two widely used surface water products, the Sentinel-1-based NASA IMPACT model and Google's 10 m Dynamic World water class, which yielded IoUs of 44.1 and 48.1, respectively. UFO is publicly available to support the development and validation of urban inundation mapping methods.
Rohit Mukherjee, Hannah K. Friedrich, Beth Tellman +5
The increasing frequency and severity of global flood events highlights the need for the development of rapid and reliable flood prediction tools. This process traditionally relies on computationally expensive hydraulic simulations. This research presents a prediction tool by developing a deep-learning based surrogate model to accurately and efficiently predict the maximum water level across a grid. This was achieved by conducting a series of experiments to optimize a U-Net architecture, patch generation, and data handling for approximating a hydraulic model. This research demonstrates that a deep learning surrogate model can serve as a computationally efficient alternative to traditional hydraulic simulations. The framework was tested using hydraulic simulations of the Wupper catchment in the North-Rhein Westphalia region (Germany), obtaining comparable results.
Christian Lammers, Fernando Arévalo, Leonie Märker-Neuhaus +3