Radiomics- and Clinical Feature-Driven Prediction of Volumetric Response in Skull-Base Meningioma after CyberKnife Radiosurgery

Radiomics is the established approach for CT-based lung cancer phenotyping, yet comparisons with foundation models rarely isolate contributions of feature extractor, classification head, and segmentation choice, or test cross-cohort robustness. We benchmark five feature extractors (Curia, Curia-2, DINOv3, Radiomics2D, Radiomics3D), seven classification heads (TabPFN, TabICL, XGBoost, CatBoost, Random Forest, logistic regression, Ridge), and three segmentation regimes on five tasks: tumor volume and stage classification, 2-year survival prediction, histology classification, and age prediction. Models are trained on LUNG1 (n=338) and evaluated on an internal test set (n=84) and the external LUNG2 cohort (n=211), with worst-case cross-cohort performance as the primary metric. The dominant design factor is task-dependent: segmentation drives volume and stage classification, while classifier choice drives survival, histology, and age prediction. Radiomics is competitive for tumor volume, tumor stage and survival (partly due to label-derivation effects for the former); Curia variants reach comparable peak scores for survival; DINOv3 falls slightly short across tasks. Patch and slice aggregation have negligible impact. We recommend Curia with tumor segmentation and a CatBoost head as a safe default, achieving the best mean rank across the three primary clinical tasks, though task-specific selection consistently outperforms any cross-task default. When tumor delineations are unavailable, Curia-2 with lung segmentation and logistic regression offers a competitive alternative. All pipelines use a two-stage design suited to small cohort sizes where end-to-end fine-tuning would risk overfitting.

Background: Early prediction of distant metastasis (DM) risk in head and neck cancer (HNC) can enable timely interventions that may improve treatment outcomes. Many current machine learning methods rely on prior knowledge of the region of interest such as tumor segmentations, which require expert knowledge, is time-consuming and introduces user-dependent variability. Medical image-based foundation models have recently been developed for specific imaging modalities to streamline down-stream prediction tasks by extracting modality-relevant features. Purpose: In this study, we evaluate the effectiveness of using a foundation model as the feature extractor to predict DM risk in HNC patients and compare its performance with traditional approaches that require prior knowledge on the regions of interest. Methods: Preoperative CT images of 2327 patients from the RADCURE dataset were used. Three features-sets were created including radiomics, deep-learning based features, and CT Foundation derived features. The feature-sets were used individually in a multi-layer perceptron (MLP) to predict DM risk. Results: The model using CT Foundation embeddings outperformed the radiomics and deep learning-based models, achieving a Receiver Operating Characteristic Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 0.791, compared to AUC values of 0.772 and 0.753 for the radiomics and deep learning-based models, respectively. The CT Foundation based model had similar performance to a model that combined the use of radiomics and deep learning-based features that achieved an AUC of 0.794. Conclusions: Features based on foundation models offer a promising alternative to traditional radiomics while reducing the need for domain expertise and extensively annotated datasets. Their minimal preprocessing requirements also make them a more accessible and scalable option.

Radiomic biomarkers derived from magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) have been widely investigated as non-invasive tools for tumor characterization and prognostic modeling in glioblastoma (GBM). However, their clinical translation remains limited, in part due to sensitivity to tumor segmentation variability. In this study, we systematically investigate the relationship between feature robustness and predictive utility in GBM survival modeling using the University of Pennsylvania Glioblastoma Imaging, Genomics, and Radiomics (UPENN-GBM) cohort. A total of 4,752 radiomic features were obtained from multiparametric MRI across three tumor subregions: enhancing tumor (ET), peritumoral edema (ED), and necrotic core (NC). Feature robustness was quantified using the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) based on the automatic and expert-refined segmentation versions. Among features with valid ICC estimates, 48.1% were classified as robust. Survival prediction was evaluated using cross-validation with Coxnet, Random Survival Forest, and Gradient Boosting Survival Analysis models. In this cohort, radiomic feature inclusion showed no consistent improvement over the clinical baseline, and robustness filtering produced no detectable performance gain. Model-selected features were less robust than the overall feature pool, indicating a lack of enrichment for robustness. These findings suggest that robustness alone is not a reliable criterion for feature selection in radiomics-based survival modelling.