Practical validation of synthetic pre-crash scenarios

Simulation is increasingly used to support safety-related decision-making in road transport, particularly for the assessment and approval of automated driving systems (ADS). The complexity of ADS behavior and size of their operational design domains make exclusive reliance on physical testing impractical, leading to extensive use of virtual testing (VT) during the approval phase. This shift raises critical questions regarding the credibility of modelling and simulation (M&S) results used to support road safety decisions. Current VT accreditation approaches in the ADS domain typically rely on validation-only practices, which have been shown to scale poorly when applied to complex, multi-tool simulation environments. To address this limitation, this paper proposes a risk-based framework for assessing the credibility of simulation toolchains used in ADS safety evaluation, drawing inspiration from established practices in other safety-critical domains, notably NASA's STD-7009 for models and simulations. The framework extends traditional verification and validation (V&V) by explicitly linking credibility requirements to the intended use of simulation outputs and to the safety criticality of the decisions they support within the approval process. It provides a lifecycle-oriented assessment scheme integrating toolchain management, modelling assumptions and limitations, verification, validation, and sensitivity analysis. Credibility acceptance thresholds are defined proportionally, allowing differentiated requirements depending on whether simulation is used for exploratory safety analysis, partial decision support, or as a substitute for physical testing. While demonstrated for ADS, the proposed approach is directly applicable to road safety and simulation studies where VT plays a central role in safety assessment and regulatory decision-making.

Autonomous driving systems require reliable safety validation before real-world deployment. However, large-scale road testing is costly, difffcult to reproduce, and inefffcient for exposing rare safety-critical scenarios. Conventional simulation improves repeatability, but an offfine simulator alone cannot continuously connect physical trafffc states, virtual reconstruction, algorithm evaluation, and scenario evolution. This paper proposes a risk-ffeld enhanced closed-loop digital twin framework for autonomous driving safety validation. The framework integrates physical data acquisition, data synchronization, virtual twin reconstruction, risk-aware scenario generation, autonomous driving algorithm evaluation, and safety analysis. A driving risk ffeld is introduced as a uniffed intermediate representation to describe obstacle, lane-departure, road-boundary, time-to-collision, and comfort-related risks around the ego vehicle. The risk ffeld ranks high-risk scenarios in the digital twin scenario library and provides dense safety guidance for reinforcement learning-based driving policies. A simulation-style evaluation protocol is designed to compare conventional reinforcement learning baselines, risk-penalty baselines, and the proposed risk-ffeld guided method. The study indicates that embedding explicit risk structure into digital twins can make autonomous driving validation more targeted, interpretable, and reusable, while its practical effectiveness remains bounded by model ffdelity, risk calibration, and sim-to-real transfer.

Automated driving system deployment requires rigorous validation across safety-critical vehicle-pedestrian interactions, yet real-world datasets rarely capture high-risk scenarios while simulation platforms lack realistic behavior. In response, this study proposes a three-stage framework that combines real-world grounding with adaptive simulation to generate behaviorally realistic safety-critical scenarios at scale. Stage 1 pre-trains multi-agent state-space Transformer-enhanced DDPG (MA-SST-DDPG) agents on real-world safety-critical data to learn human-like interactive evasive behaviors through data-driven learning. Stage 2 deploys pre-trained multi-agents in CARLA for online reinforcement learning to generalize across diverse scenarios, integrating real-world knowledge with simulation experience to produce a refined MA-SST-DDPG model. Stage 3 uses CARLA with the refined model to generate over 198,000 high-resolution interaction episodes from eight intersection scenarios, culminating in the Vehicle-Pedestrian Safety-Critical Interaction (VPSCI) dataset. The Refined MA-SST-DDPG model outperformed baseline methods in reproducing realistic evasive behaviors, achieving the lowest trajectory errors (ADE = 0.072 m, FDE = 0.142 m). Statistical comparison confirmed distributional equivalence between the generated and real-world data in both conflict severity and behavioral response. A Turing test confirmed that the three-stage framework generated evasive behaviors were indistinguishable from real-world interactions. These results demonstrate the framework's effectiveness in producing high-fidelity safety-critical data, offering valuable sources for the development of ADS and simulation-based safety evaluations.