A Biased Nonnegative Block Term Tensor Decomposition Model for Dynamic QoS Prediction

Predicting temporal Quality of Service (QoS) data is critical for optimizing network services and rationalizing resource allocation in cloud computing and service-oriented systems. Existing mainstream methods have achieved promising predictive performance. However, their purely data-driven manner limits their ability to capture non-stationary temporal patterns, thereby leading to accuracy degradation when temporal QoS data exhibits fluctuations. To tackle this limitation, we propose a novel Extended Kalman Filter-Enhanced Latent Feature Analysis (EKL) model to perform efficient and accurate temporal QoS prediction from the perspective of bidirectional model-data-driven learning. Its main idea is three-fold: a) designing a model-driven feature producer to obtain the temporal latent features to capture the intricate temporal pattern following the principle of an Extended Kalman Filter; b) building a data-driven feature producer based on the alternating least squares algorithm to identify time-invariant latent features describing intrinsic user-service characteristics; c) exploiting a density-oriented parallel strategy that achieves workload balancing by sorting users in accordance with their service invocation density, which effectively elevates computational efficiency. In addition, we provide a rigorous theoretical analysis to formally prove the convergence of the proposed EKL. Experimental evaluations conducted on real-world temporal QoS datasets reveal that our proposed EKL surpasses existing state-of-the-art models with respect to both computational efficiency and prediction accuracy for missing temporal QoS data.

We introduce the Trajectory-based Quantization Sensitivity Score (TQS), a metric that reframes post-training quantization (PTQ) through the lens of dynamical-systems stability. By modeling the network's rollout as a discrete-time dynamical system, TQS characterizes how quantization-induced errors propagate and amplify over the rollout horizon. Unlike conventional PTQ methods, where sensitivity analysis is often coupled to the quantization procedure, TQS enables a priori sensitivity estimation decoupled from quantizer selection and bit-width assignment. This separation allows for quantization budget planning even for black-box or compiled networks with fused operators. Building on this, we present TQS-PTQ, a flexible mixed-precision framework that requires no calibration data or costly second-order approximations. Our experiments show that a dynamical-systems perspective provides a robust, high-performing pathway for low-precision deployment in resource-constrained settings.

We propose Conformal QoT, a policy-driven framework that combines statistically guaranteed QoT estimation with operational decision policies, enabling reliable lightpath-feasibility predictions under domain shift and improving accuracy from 92% to 99.6% on open datasets.