Radiologist-Guided Causal Concept Bottleneck Models for Chest X-Ray Interpretation

Large Vision Language Models (LVLMs) show promise in medical applications, but their inability to faithfully ground responses in visual evidence raises serious concerns about clinical trustworthiness. While visual attribution methods are widely used to explain LVLM predictions, whether these explanations actually reflect the visual evidence underlying the model's decision is largely unverified, since ground-truth annotations for internal model reasoning are typically unavailable. We address this question for chest X-ray (CXR) reasoning by developing a causal evaluation framework that retains only CXR-VQA samples for which the expert-annotated region is verified, via counterfactual editing, to be causally responsible for the model's prediction. Using this framework across 11 attribution methods, six open-source LVLMs, and two output modes (direct answer and step-by-step reasoning), we find that existing attribution methods often fail to identify the evidence used by LVLMs. To address this failure, we propose MedFocus, a concept-based attribution method that localizes clinically meaningful anatomical regions via unbalanced optimal transport and measures their causal effect on model outputs through targeted interventions. MedFocus produces spatial, concept-level, and token-level attributions and substantially outperforms prior methods, taking a step toward more trustworthy attribution for medical LVLMs. Our data and code are available at https://github.com/gzxiong/medfocus/.

Chest X-ray interpretation is one of the most frequently performed diagnostic tasks in medicine and a primary target for AI development, yet current vision-language models are primarily trained on datasets of paired images and reports, not the cognitive processes and visual attention that underlie clinical reasoning. Here, we present CheXthought, a global, multimodal resource containing 103,592 chain-of-thought reasoning traces and 6,609,082 synchronized visual attention annotations across 50,312 multi-read chest X-rays from 501 radiologists in 71 countries. Our analysis reveals clinical reasoning patterns in how experts deploy distinct visual search strategies, integrate clinical context, and communicate uncertainty. We demonstrate the clinical utility of CheXthought across four dimensions. First, CheXthought reasoning significantly outperforms state-of-the-art vision-language model chain-of-thought in factual accuracy and spatial grounding. Second, visual attention data used as an inference-time hint recovers missed findings and significantly reduces hallucinations. Third, vision-language models trained on CheXthought data achieve significantly stronger pathology classification, visual faithfulness, temporal reasoning and uncertainty communication. Fourth, leveraging CheXthought's multi-reader annotations, we predict both human-human and human-AI disagreement directly from an image, enabling transparent communication of case difficulty, uncertainty and model reliability. These findings establish CheXthought as a resource for advancing multimodal clinical reasoning and the development of more transparent, interpretable vision-language models.

Concept bottleneck models (CBMs) can improve the transparency of cancer image diagnostic prediction by expressing predictions through radiological concepts. However, their dependence on instance-level concept annotations limits practical applicability. We propose a prior-guided hybrid CBM that integrates limited concept annotations, class-conditional concept distribution matching on unannotated patients, and prior initialization of the concept-to-diagnosis head. We evaluate the method on CBIS-DDSM mammographic masses and calcifications and LIDC-IDRI pulmonary nodules across 0-100% concept annotation. In the clinically relevant 0-20% annotation regime, the hybrid CBM consistently improves mean concept AUC over a matched standard CBM, while maintaining diagnostic performance close to black-box models. At 10% annotation specifically, concept AUC increases from 0.619 to 0.741 for masses, from 0.650 to 0.787 for calcifications, and from 0.597 to 0.642 for pulmonary nodules. Ablation experiments identify prior initialization as the main component contributing to improved concept detection, likely by stabilizing the concept-to-diagnosis head. Zero-shot VLMs remain insufficient for reliable fine-grained tumor-level concept prediction. These findings suggest that structured priors can substantially reduce the annotation burden of interpretable cancer imaging models.