Collective Alignment in LLM Multi-Agent Systems: Disentangling Bias from Cooperation via Statistical Physics
Authors: Cristiano De Nobili
Organizations: Critiqality, Milan, Italy
Abstract
We investigate the emergent collective dynamics of LLM-based multi-agent systems on a 2D square lattice and present a model-agnostic statistical-physics method to disentangle social conformity from intrinsic bias, compute critical exponents, and probe the collective behavior and possible phase transitions of multi-agent systems. In our framework, each node of an L×L lattice hosts an identical LLM agent holding a binary state (+1/−1, mapped to yes/no) and updating it by querying the model conditioned on the four nearest-neighbor states. The sampler temperature T serves as the sole control parameter. Across three open-weight models (llama3.1:8b, phi4-mini:3.8b, mistral:7b), we measure magnetization and susceptibility under a global-flip protocol designed to probe Z2 symmetry. All models display temperature-driven order-disorder crossovers and susceptibility peaks; finite-size scaling on even-L lattices yields effective exponents γ/ν whose values are model-dependent, close to but incompatible with the 2D Ising universality class (γ/ν=7/4). Our method enables the extraction of effective β-weighted couplings J~(T) and fields h~(T), which serve as a measure of social conformity and intrinsic bias. In the models we analyzed, we found that collective alignment is dominated by an intrinsic bias (h~≫J~) rather than by cooperative neighbor coupling, producing field-driven crossovers instead of genuine phase transitions. These effective parameters vary qualitatively across models, providing compact collective-behavior fingerprints for LLM agents and a quantitative diagnostic for the reliability of multi-agent consensus and collective alignment.
Multi-agent LLM debates achieve strong performance on decision-making tasks as well as problem-solving benchmarks, yet their safety and fairness risks remain poorly understood. Notably, interaction can amplify the biases of single LLMs, raising concerns for real-world deployment. We identify the emergence of collective (often biased) norms in multi-agent LLM debates and show that noise (e.g., LLM sampling temperature) is a key driver. To explain this, we propose an analytical framework drawing on physics-inspired theoretical models of social dynamics. We predict a phase transition to collective bias when conformity surpasses a critical threshold given the LLMs' initial bias and debate noise. We test the theoretical predictions through controlled experiments and observe a finite-size crossover consistent with an underlying phase transition. We further find that agent heterogeneity suppresses emergence by smoothing (rounding) this transition. Finally, we show that these insights generalize to realistic decision-making tasks, including investment decisions and LLM-as-a-judge evaluation.
Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used as agents in simulations of social systems, yet it remains unclear when their behavior can be interpreted as a faithful proxy for human decision-making. Here we test LLM agents against a direct empirical benchmark: a large-scale networked Prisoner's Dilemma experiment with human participants. Using the same interaction protocol, payoff structure, and network topologies, we compare nine open-weight LLMs with the human data. The selected model reproduces several macro-level features of cooperation dynamics, including the early decline and later stabilization of cooperation. This aggregate agreement, however, does not extend uniformly to finer levels of behavior. LLM populations underestimate individual-level heterogeneity and generate conditional cooperation patterns that differ from those observed in humans. Adding a fraction of random agents improves some aspects of micro-level agreement, but does not remove the mismatch in decision rules. These findings reveal a macro--micro dissociation in LLM-based social agents: collective outcomes can appear human-like even when the underlying behavioral distributions and mechanisms are not. They suggest that validating LLM agents as human surrogates requires comparisons across aggregate dynamics, individual heterogeneity, and context-dependent decision rules, rather than outcome-level agreement alone.
Henrique Ferraz de Arruda, Carlos Gracia Lázaro, Alberto Aleta +1
LLM "agent societies" are studied via demonstrations of emergent consensus or polarization -- with no measurable control parameter, no theory of when each regime appears, and no test of whether an outcome is a genuine social dynamic or a model artifact. We introduce the coupling gain gamma, measured per-agent by counterfactually perturbing a neighbour's stated opinion. (i) gamma is stable and model-distinguishing -- across five frontier models it spans 0.15-0.43 (n=20, 95% CIs <= 0.025), paraphrase-invariant; social-neighbour gamma roughly equals numeric-anchor gamma, so gamma is evidence-coupling, not uniquely social. (ii) Classical dynamics with measured (not assumed) coefficients organise the regime: Friedkin-Johnsen for consensus/pluralism, signed-Laplacian/structural-balance for polarization. (iii) Frontier LLMs do not spontaneously backfire (beta <= 0), so default societies do not self-polarize -- polarization is always induced; the beta>0 branch arises only in the FJ surrogate, never in the agents. (iv) A randomized-initial-condition diagnostic -- the (slope, bias) of final vs. initial opinion -- separates genuine averaging from model-prior artifacts (boundary-censoring ruled out by construction via interior-valued facts); applied to a published "emergent consensus" result (Chuang et al. 2023) it reveals a model-specific conflation: averaging on debatable claims, prior-artifact on settled facts. (v) Coupling is context-dependent: pairwise gamma does not predict multi-neighbour outcomes -- it can order them backwards -- whereas a modality-matched group coupling does (sixteen closed+open models, Pearson r=-0.70, permutation p=0.008). The regime laws take this matched coupling, not the single-neighbour gamma: emergent consensus must be read from coupling in the target interaction. We contribute a measurement protocol and a validity instrument, not new theory.