q-bio.GNMay 30, 2026

Annotation-Informed Block-Sparse Bayesian Modeling for cis-Expression Prediction

Authors: Lei HuangHui ShenKuan-Jui SuChuan QiuMartha Isabel Gonzalez-RamirezAnqi LiuZhe LuoYun Gong+4 more

Organizations: School of Computing Sciences and Computer Engineering, University of Southern Mississippi, Hattiesburg, MS, USA · Tulane Center for Biomedical Informatics and Genomics, Deming Department of Medicine, School of Medicine, Tulane University, New Orleans, LA, USA · Texas Tech University Health Sciences Center, School of Medicine, Texas Tech University

Abstract

Genotype-based cis-expression prediction depends on accurately modeling local regulatory architecture. We present block-sparse Bayesian sparse linear mixed model (bsBSLMM), an extension of Bayesian sparse linear mixed model (BSLMM) that incorporates linkage disequilibrium (LD)-block spike-and-slab sparsity and a transcription start site (TSS)-informed SNP inclusion prior. Across 23,098 genes from GEUVADIS European-ancestry lymphoblastoid cell lines, bsBSLMM retained more predictable genes than BSLMM, LASSO, BLUP, TIGAR elastic net, and TIGAR Dirichlet-process regression under matched evaluation criteria. Compared with BSLMM, bsBSLMM improved held-out prediction performance for most shared genes, with gains driven primarily by LD-block sparsity and further enhanced by the TSS-informed prior. Variants selected by bsBSLMM showed stronger enrichment in GM12878 DNase and H3K27ac regulatory regions than variants selected by BSLMM. In transcriptome-wide association study (TWAS) analysis, bsBSLMM recovered established inflammatory bowel disease signals, including IL23R, and identified additional genome-wide significant genes not detected by BSLMM. Independent validation in the Louisiana Osteoporosis Study reproduced the increased prediction yield across ancestries and recovered biologically relevant bone mineral density pathways in downstream TWAS and gene set enrichment analyses. These results demonstrate that incorporating LD-block structure and biologically informed SNP priors improves cis-expression prediction and enhances downstream TWAS discovery.

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