$α$-PFN: Fast Entropy Search via In-Context Learning

Prior-Fitted Networks (PFNs) amortize Bayesian prediction by meta-learning over a synthetic task prior, but their standard output is a posterior predictive distribution over noisy observations. For sequential decision-making, such as active learning and Bayesian optimization, acquisition should prioritize epistemic uncertainty about the latent signal rather than irreducible aleatoric observation noise. We show that this epistemic--aleatoric split is not identifiable in general from the posterior predictive distribution alone, even when that distribution is known exactly. We then exploit a distinctive advantage of PFNs: because the synthetic data-generating process is under our control, each task can contain an explicit latent signal and noise function, and the generator can provide query-level labels for both the noiseless target and the observation-noise variance. We use these labels to train a decoupled PFN with separate latent-signal and aleatoric heads. The observation-level predictive is induced by convolving the latent signal distribution with the learned noise model. Empirically, epistemic-only acquisition mitigates the failure mode of total-variance exploration in noisy and heteroscedastic settings. In matched comparisons, decoupled models usually improve over tuned observation-level baselines, with the clearest gains in HPO; in broader sweeps, a decoupled model obtains the best average rank in both HPO and synthetic BO.

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a popular and effective approach for tuning expensive, noisy experiments, but requires the formulation of an explicit objective function. Preferential BO (PBO) removes this requirement by learning from pairwise human feedback, yet existing methods struggle to efficiently optimize beyond low- and medium-dimensional problems due to their global search approaches. We address this limitation by developing a family of local PBO methods that transfer key ideas from high-dimensional BO to the preferential setting. In particular, we introduce local PBO methods which adapt trust-region and derivative-informed local search to pairwise preference feedback, where the latter exploits first- and second-order derivatives of the Laplace-approximated GP posterior. Our benchmark on GP sample paths, standard optimization benchmark functions, and policy-search tasks shows that local PBO methods are especially effective in high-dimensional and complex landscapes with steep optima. Compared with global preference-based baselines, they can substantially reduce cumulative regret, making them particularly useful for real-world preference-based optimization tasks such as policy search.

We propose an Expected Free Energy-based acquisition function for Bayesian optimization to solve the joint learning and optimization problem, i.e., optimize and learn the underlying function simultaneously. We show that, under specific assumptions, Expected Free Energy reduces to Upper Confidence Bound, Lower Confidence Bound, and Expected Information Gain. We prove that Expected Free Energy has unbiased convergence guarantees for concave functions. Using the results from these derivations, we introduce a curvature-aware update law for Expected Free Energy and show its proof of concept using a system identification problem on a Van der Pol oscillator. On a two-dimensional benchmark with an oscillatory landscape, our adaptive Expected Free Energy acquisition achieves competitive performance in both regret and mean squared error, unlike the typical acquisition functions that perform well in only one metric.